Bo3 · IEM Cologne Major 2026
· 2026-06-15
Natus Vincere
vs
G2
49%
51%
Series win probability
G2
2–1
35%
NAVI
2–0
26%
NAVI
2–1
24%
G2
2–0
14%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — G2 is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#11 vs #4), a strong dust2 (67% win probability). Natus Vincere's best shot is mirage where they hold a 79% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Mirage · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3
30%
Mirage · Ancient · Anubis
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
8
G2
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
CT Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-7
vs Falcons
Jun 14
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Dust2
NAVI
8
–
13
G2
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Map Player Rating
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Dust2
Natus Vincere
3-13
vs Falcons
Jun 14
1-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
11-13
vs Vitality
May 15
6-13
vs Legacy
May 13
3-13
vs Vitality
May 3
G2
13-7
vs Legacy
Jun 14
8-13
vs Falcons
Jun 11
6-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-4
vs Monte
May 13
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Ancient
NAVI
10
–
13
G2
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Multi-Kills
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
8
G2
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
CT Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-7
vs Falcons
Jun 14
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Ancient
NAVI
10
–
13
G2
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Multi-Kills
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Inferno
NAVI
10
–
13
G2
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-3
vs Vitality
May 15
11-13
vs Legacy
May 13
13-4
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
G2
13-10
vs Falcons
Jun 11
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
Mirage
NAVI
13
–
8
G2
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
CT Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Mirage
Natus Vincere
13-7
vs Falcons
Jun 14
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-3
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Passion UA
May 11
G2
13-9
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-8
vs BIG
Jun 8
13-8
vs M80
Jun 6
22-19
vs Monte
Jun 6
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
Ancient
NAVI
10
–
13
G2
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Multi-Kills
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Recent on Ancient
Natus Vincere
16-13
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
13-10
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-8
vs BetBoom
May 16
13-8
vs Legacy
May 13
1-13
vs GamerLegion
May 12
G2
6-13
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-16
vs Falcons
Jun 11
4-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
11-13
vs Spirit
May 15
13-2
vs Monte
May 13
Anubis
NAVI
16
–
14
G2
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Map Win Rate
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
16-19
vs Falcons
Jun 14
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
13-9
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs Vitality
May 15
16-13
vs Passion UA
May 11
G2
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Natus Vincere
G2
L
1-2
vs Falcons
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jun 14
1d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
NukeAncientMirage
Jun 13
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
InfernoAncient
Jun 12
3d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Anubis
Jun 11
4d ago
W
3-0
vs GamerLegion
MirageAnubisNuke
May 17
29d ago
W
2-0
vs BetBoom
AncientNuke
May 16
30d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 15
31d ago
L
1-2
vs Legacy
InfernoAncientDust2
May 13
33d ago
W
2-1
vs GamerLegion
InfernoAncientMirage
May 12
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
AnubisMirage
May 11
35d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
NukeAnubisDust2
May 3
43d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Overpass
Jun 14
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
OverpassAnubis
Jun 13
2d ago
W
2-1
vs FUT
OverpassAncientMirage
Jun 12
3d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
4d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
InfernoMirage
Jun 8
7d ago
L
1-2
vs FUT
AnubisOverpassAncient
Jun 7
8d ago
W
1-0
vs M80
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
W
1-0
vs Monte
Mirage
Jun 6
9d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 15
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 13
33d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
34d ago
Player Matchups
Natus Vincere
Ratings
G2
W0
w0nderful
AWPADR 74.7KAST 77%
HE
HeavyGod
EntryADR 77.3KAST 75%
MA
makazze
RiflerADR 80.4KAST 74%
NE
NertZ
RiflerADR 79.8KAST 72%
B1
b1t
RiflerADR 78.6KAST 75%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 74%
IM
iM
EntryADR 78.2KAST 74%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 75%
AL
Aleksib
RiflerADR 60.2KAST 73%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 70.0KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
NAVI
5
–
13
G2
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Map Player Rating
NAVI
G2
Ban Rate
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
Recent on Overpass
Natus Vincere
no data
G2
13-4
vs Legacy
Jun 14
8-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
13-5
vs FUT
Jun 12
13-7
vs FUT
Jun 7
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
Nuke
NAVI
13
–
7
G2
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
T 5v4
NAVI
G2
Pistol Rounds
NAVI
G2
Recent on Nuke
Natus Vincere
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Jun 13
16-13
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-6
vs BetBoom
May 16
12-16
vs Vitality
May 3
13-16
vs FURIA
Apr 14
G2
no data
Inferno
NAVI
10
–
13
G2
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Round Win Rate
NAVI
G2
Recent on Inferno
Natus Vincere
13-4
vs Legacy
Jun 12
13-3
vs Vitality
May 15
11-13
vs Legacy
May 13
13-4
vs GamerLegion
May 12
13-4
vs Aurora
Apr 15
G2
13-10
vs Falcons
Jun 11
13-3
vs BIG
Jun 8
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
Anubis
NAVI
16
–
14
G2
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NAVI
G2
After First Kill
NAVI
G2
Map Win Rate
NAVI
G2
Ranking
NAVI
G2
Opening Kills
NAVI
G2
Recent on Anubis
Natus Vincere
16-19
vs Falcons
Jun 14
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 11
13-9
vs GamerLegion
May 17
13-11
vs Vitality
May 15
16-13
vs Passion UA
May 11
G2
7-13
vs Aurora
Jun 13
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 7
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
More from IEM Cologne Major 2026
2 matches