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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · 2026-06-04
SPARTA
vs
Ursa
48%
52%
Series win probability
URSA 2–0 34%
SPAR 2–1 31%
URSA 2–1 18%
SPAR 2–0 18%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Ursa is slightly favored at 52% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#105 vs #95), a strong dust2 (61% win probability). SPARTA's best shot is overpass where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 3 29% Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 URSA
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
16-12 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
13-4 vs Lazer Cats May 24
13-1 vs Athlon May 24
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 22
7-13 vs GenOne May 20
Ursa
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
19-15 vs ex-RUBY May 25
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
Inferno
SPAR 10 13 URSA
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Inferno
SPARTA
5-13 vs Oxuji May 25
11-13 vs Lazer Cats May 24
13-6 vs Oxuji May 12
16-12 vs Lavked May 10
6-13 vs fnatic May 2
Ursa
13-5 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
7-13 vs GenOne May 9
Overpass
SPAR 13 7 URSA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ban Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Kill
SPAR
URSA
CT 4v5
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
13-7 vs Athlon May 24
13-11 vs GenOne May 20
20-22 vs Just Players May 18
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 8
13-11 vs GenOne May 5
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 URSA
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
16-12 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
13-4 vs Lazer Cats May 24
13-1 vs Athlon May 24
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 22
7-13 vs GenOne May 20
Ursa
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
19-15 vs ex-RUBY May 25
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
Overpass
SPAR 13 7 URSA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ban Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Kill
SPAR
URSA
CT 4v5
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
13-7 vs Athlon May 24
13-11 vs GenOne May 20
20-22 vs Just Players May 18
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 8
13-11 vs GenOne May 5
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
Mirage
SPAR 16 14 URSA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
T Side
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
3-13 vs Just Players May 18
3-13 vs Walczaki May 16
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
7-13 vs ex-RUBY May 8
4-13 vs BET-M May 8
Ursa
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
Dust2
SPAR 10 13 URSA
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
16-12 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
13-4 vs Lazer Cats May 24
13-1 vs Athlon May 24
13-6 vs Falcons Force May 22
7-13 vs GenOne May 20
Ursa
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
19-15 vs ex-RUBY May 25
4-13 vs TNC May 22
5-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
Overpass
SPAR 13 7 URSA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ban Rate
SPAR
URSA
After First Kill
SPAR
URSA
CT 4v5
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
13-7 vs Athlon May 24
13-11 vs GenOne May 20
20-22 vs Just Players May 18
13-8 vs ex-RUBY May 8
13-11 vs GenOne May 5
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
Nuke
SPAR 10 13 URSA
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
CT 4v5
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
8-13 vs GenOne May 20
13-5 vs Walczaki May 16
13-8 vs AM May 15
10-13 vs Oxuji May 12
Ursa
13-3 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-6 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
SPARTA
Ursa
L 1-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2AncientNuke May 25 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Oxuji AncientInferno May 25 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Lazer Cats AncientDust2Inferno May 24 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Athlon Dust2Overpass May 24 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Falcons Force AncientDust2 May 22 13d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne Dust2OverpassNuke May 20 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Just Players MirageOverpass May 18 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Walczaki NukeDust2Mirage May 16 19d ago
W 2-0 vs AM Dust2Nuke May 15 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemiga AncientDust2 May 14 21d ago
W 2-0 vs TNC AncientDust2 May 13 22d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-Zero Tenacity MirageNukeDust2 Jun 1 3d ago
L 0-2 vs FOKUS OverpassDust2 May 28 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY Dust2NukeMirage May 25 10d ago
W 2-0 vs aAa NukeInferno May 25 10d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC Dust2Nuke May 22 13d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL MirageInfernoNuke May 22 13d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace Dust2Overpass May 21 14d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond MirageAnubis May 20 15d ago
W 2-1 vs ALGO AnubisInfernoNuke May 19 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Lazer Cats InfernoDust2Mirage May 18 17d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne NukeDust2Inferno May 9 26d ago
Player Matchups
SPARTA
Ratings
Ursa
TR
TRAVIS
EntryADR 77.5KAST 74%
1.17 vs 1.17
AL
Alv
AWPADR 78.9KAST 74%
LA
Lack1
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.14
KA
karnez
EntryADR 80.9KAST 73%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 73.4KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.09
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 77.1KAST 72%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 69%
0.88 vs 0.97
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.9KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
SPAR 7 13 URSA
23%
77%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
URSA
Ban Rate
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Anubis
SPARTA
no data
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
13-10 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 4
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 24
9-13 vs big Apr 9
Ancient
SPAR 13 11 URSA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ban Rate
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
Map Win Rate
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
2-13 vs Oxuji May 25
6-13 vs Lazer Cats May 24
19-16 vs Falcons Force May 22
5-13 vs Nemiga May 14
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 17
Nuke
SPAR 10 13 URSA
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
CT 4v5
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 25
8-13 vs GenOne May 20
13-5 vs Walczaki May 16
13-8 vs AM May 15
10-13 vs Oxuji May 12
Ursa
13-3 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-6 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
Mirage
SPAR 16 14 URSA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
URSA
T Rating
SPAR
URSA
Overall Rating
SPAR
URSA
Map ADR
SPAR
URSA
T Side
SPAR
URSA
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
3-13 vs Just Players May 18
3-13 vs Walczaki May 16
5-13 vs Lavked May 10
7-13 vs ex-RUBY May 8
4-13 vs BET-M May 8
Ursa
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
10-13 vs Lazer Cats May 18
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