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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · 2026-06-08
Ursa
vs
RUSTEC
58%
42%
Series win probability
URSA 2–1 30%
URSA 2–0 24%
RUST 2–1 24%
RUST 2–0 21%
Model Insights
Ursa has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (67% win probability). RUSTEC's best shot is overpass where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 3 25% Dust2 · Overpass · Inferno
Dust2
URSA 13 – 8 RUST
67%
33%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Experience
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
RUSTEC
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
Overpass
URSA 8 – 13 RUST
37%
63%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
RUSTEC
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
Nuke
URSA 13 – 10 RUST
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Experience
URSA
RUST
Best Player
URSA
RUST
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-3 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-6 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-16 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
Dust2
URSA 13 – 8 RUST
67%
33%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Experience
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
RUSTEC
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
Overpass
URSA 8 – 13 RUST
37%
63%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
RUSTEC
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
Mirage
URSA 13 – 10 RUST
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
After First Death
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
5-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
RUSTEC
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
11-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Dust2
URSA 13 – 8 RUST
67%
33%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Experience
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs FOKUS May 28
RUSTEC
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
8-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
5-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-3 vs Young Ninjas May 31
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 26
Overpass
URSA 8 – 13 RUST
37%
63%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
19-16 vs GenOne Apr 22
RUSTEC
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
16-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
Inferno
URSA 13 – 10 RUST
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Best Player
URSA
RUST
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
13-5 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
RUSTEC
13-7 vs Lilmix May 26
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-5 vs INOX Division Apr 26
13-4 vs aimclub Apr 25
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ursa
RUSTEC
L 0-2 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Jun 5 3d ago
L 0-2 vs 100 Thieves InfernoDust2 Jun 4 4d ago
L 0-2 vs SPARTA MirageDust2 Jun 4 4d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-Zero Tenacity MirageNukeDust2 Jun 1 7d ago
L 0-2 vs FOKUS OverpassDust2 May 28 11d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY Dust2NukeMirage May 25 14d ago
W 2-0 vs aAa NukeInferno May 25 14d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC Dust2Nuke May 22 17d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL MirageInfernoNuke May 22 17d ago
L 0-2 vs PsychoFace Dust2Overpass May 21 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond MirageAnubis May 20 19d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas Dust2Nuke Jun 6 2d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY OverpassNukeDust2 Jun 5 3d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2Anubis Jun 3 5d ago
W 2-1 vs Young Ninjas NukeDust2Mirage May 31 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix InfernoAnubis May 26 13d ago
W 2-0 vs Entropy OverpassMirage May 25 14d ago
W 2-1 vs BRUTE InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 26 43d ago
W 2-0 vs INOX Division Dust2Inferno Apr 26 43d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom Dust2Mirage Apr 26 43d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division AncientAnubis Apr 25 44d ago
W 2-0 vs aimclub Dust2Inferno Apr 25 44d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
RUSTEC
AL
Alv
AWPADR 77.8KAST 73%
1.16 vs 1.11
BR
Brilliance
EntryADR 77.8KAST 74%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 80.6KAST 72%
1.13 vs 1.10
YO
youka
AWPADR 74.3KAST 72%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.07
SU
supra
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 71%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 71%
0.96 vs 1.03
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 73.1KAST 71%
— vs 1.00
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 66.3KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
URSA 13 – 10 RUST
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Best Player
URSA
RUST
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
13-5 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 22
13-9 vs ALGO May 19
RUSTEC
13-7 vs Lilmix May 26
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-5 vs INOX Division Apr 26
13-4 vs aimclub Apr 25
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
Mirage
URSA 13 – 10 RUST
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Opening Kills
URSA
RUST
After First Death
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
5-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
2-13 vs Oramond May 20
RUSTEC
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
11-13 vs Phantom Apr 26
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 24
Anubis
URSA 13 – 11 RUST
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Opening Duels
URSA
RUST
Round Win Rate
URSA
RUST
Opening Score
URSA
RUST
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
13-10 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 4
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 24
9-13 vs big Apr 9
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-11 vs Lilmix May 26
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Ancient
URSA 14 – 16 RUST
49%
51%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
RUST
Ranking
URSA
RUST
Flash Assists
URSA
RUST
Pistol Rounds
URSA
RUST
5v4 Rounds
URSA
RUST
Recent on Ancient
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 17
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 9 3 matches
KOLESIE over ASTRAL 90% Nuclear TigeRES over CYBERSHOKE 53% Acend over ex-RUBY 52%