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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · 2026-06-12
Ursa
vs
Leo
60%
40%
Series win probability
URSA 2–0 40%
URSA 2–1 28%
LEO 2–1 18%
LEO 2–0 13%
Model Insights
Ursa has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong dust2 (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 37% Dust2 · Anubis · Nuke
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Anubis · Inferno
Scenario 3 30% Dust2 · Anubis · Mirage
Dust2
URSA 13 9 LEO
66%
34%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Days With Lineup Diff
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
2-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
8-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
Leo
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 10
13-7 vs HYPERSPIRIT Jun 8
13-3 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
13-6 vs Lilmix Jun 5
6-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
Anubis
URSA 13 8 LEO
61%
39%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Map Win Rate
URSA
LEO
T Side
URSA
LEO
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
13-10 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 4
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 24
9-13 vs big Apr 9
Leo
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
7-13 vs Oramond May 30
2-13 vs Oramond May 26
4-13 vs GenOne May 25
Nuke
URSA 13 9 LEO
61%
39%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Days With Lineup Diff
URSA
LEO
Recent on Nuke
Ursa
13-3 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
11-13 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-6 vs aAa May 25
11-13 vs TNC May 22
16-14 vs ASTRAL May 22
Leo
3-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 10
4-13 vs HAVU May 27
7-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 25
9-13 vs Phantom May 21
13-4 vs Lavked Apr 28
Dust2
URSA 13 9 LEO
66%
34%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Days With Lineup Diff
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
2-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
8-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
Leo
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 10
13-7 vs HYPERSPIRIT Jun 8
13-3 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
13-6 vs Lilmix Jun 5
6-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
Anubis
URSA 13 8 LEO
61%
39%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Map Win Rate
URSA
LEO
T Side
URSA
LEO
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
13-10 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 4
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 24
9-13 vs big Apr 9
Leo
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
7-13 vs Oramond May 30
2-13 vs Oramond May 26
4-13 vs GenOne May 25
Inferno
URSA 9 13 LEO
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
7-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
13-5 vs aAa May 25
Leo
13-8 vs HAVU May 27
Dust2
URSA 13 9 LEO
66%
34%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Days With Lineup Diff
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
Ursa
2-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
8-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
8-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
Leo
19-17 vs KOLESIE Jun 10
13-7 vs HYPERSPIRIT Jun 8
13-3 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
13-6 vs Lilmix Jun 5
6-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
Anubis
URSA 13 8 LEO
61%
39%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Map Win Rate
URSA
LEO
T Side
URSA
LEO
Recent on Anubis
Ursa
6-13 vs Oramond May 20
11-13 vs ALGO May 19
13-10 vs HYPERSPIRIT May 4
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 24
9-13 vs big Apr 9
Leo
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jun 6
11-13 vs ASTRAL May 31
7-13 vs Oramond May 30
2-13 vs Oramond May 26
4-13 vs GenOne May 25
Mirage
URSA 13 9 LEO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Map Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
13-11 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
5-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
Leo
16-14 vs HYPERSPIRIT Jun 8
13-2 vs Lilmix Jun 5
13-10 vs fnatic Apr 27
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ursa
Leo
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy Dust2MirageInferno Jun 10 2d ago
L 1-2 vs RUSTEC OverpassDust2Inferno Jun 8 4d ago
L 0-2 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Jun 5 7d ago
L 0-2 vs 100 Thieves InfernoDust2 Jun 4 8d ago
L 0-2 vs SPARTA MirageDust2 Jun 4 8d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-Zero Tenacity MirageNukeDust2 Jun 1 11d ago
L 0-2 vs FOKUS OverpassDust2 May 28 15d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUBY Dust2NukeMirage May 25 18d ago
W 2-0 vs aAa NukeInferno May 25 18d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC Dust2Nuke May 22 21d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL MirageInfernoNuke May 22 21d ago
W 2-1 vs KOLESIE Dust2NukeAncient Jun 10 2d ago
W 2-0 vs HYPERSPIRIT Dust2Mirage Jun 8 4d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION Dust2Anubis Jun 6 6d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix Dust2Mirage Jun 5 7d ago
L 1-2 vs ASTRAL AncientDust2Anubis May 31 12d ago
L 1-2 vs Oramond AnubisDust2Ancient May 30 13d ago
W 2-1 vs HAVU Dust2NukeInferno May 27 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Oramond AncientAnubis May 26 17d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne Dust2Anubis May 25 18d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity AnubisNuke May 25 18d ago
W 2-1 vs Lazer Cats AncientAnubisDust2 May 23 20d ago
Player Matchups
Ursa
Ratings
Leo
AL
Alv
AWPADR 77.4KAST 73%
1.16 vs 1.18
ON
OneUn1que
AWPADR 85.9KAST 75%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 79.6KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.06
AM
amster
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 73%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 71%
1.06 vs 1.06
KL
kL1o
EntryADR 74.6KAST 73%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 70%
0.96 vs 0.98
LE
leen
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Overpass
URSA 8 13 LEO
28%
72%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Round Win %
URSA
LEO
After First Kill
URSA
LEO
Recent on Overpass
Ursa
19-16 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
13-16 vs FOKUS May 28
11-13 vs PsychoFace May 21
2-13 vs PsychoFace May 2
8-13 vs BRUTE Apr 27
Leo
no data
Inferno
URSA 9 13 LEO
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Inferno
Ursa
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
7-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 8
10-13 vs Acend Jun 5
11-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 4
13-5 vs aAa May 25
Leo
13-8 vs HAVU May 27
Mirage
URSA 13 9 LEO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Map Win Rate
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Recent on Mirage
Ursa
13-11 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 10
5-13 vs SPARTA Jun 4
11-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Jun 1
22-19 vs ex-RUBY May 25
13-5 vs ASTRAL May 22
Leo
16-14 vs HYPERSPIRIT Jun 8
13-2 vs Lilmix Jun 5
13-10 vs fnatic Apr 27
Ancient
URSA 13 10 LEO
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
URSA
LEO
Ban Rate
URSA
LEO
Experience
URSA
LEO
Opening Score
URSA
LEO
Ranking
URSA
LEO
Recent on Ancient
Ursa
11-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 17
Leo
13-6 vs KOLESIE Jun 10
13-3 vs ASTRAL May 31
10-13 vs Oramond May 30
11-13 vs Oramond May 26
5-13 vs Lazer Cats May 23
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