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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · 2026-06-13
RUSTEC
vs
HEROIC Academy
68%
32%
Series win probability
RUST 2–0 40%
RUST 2–1 32%
HA 2–1 17%
HA 2–0 11%
Model Insights
RUSTEC has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 0.99), a significant ranking advantage (#133 vs #173), a strong dust2 (77% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 42% Dust2 · Inferno · Overpass
Scenario 2 32% Dust2 · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 3 26% Dust2 · Overpass · Ancient
Dust2
RUST 13 8 HA
77%
23%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
Overall Rating
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
HEROIC Academy
13-2 vs Ursa Jun 10
8-13 vs aAa May 28
5-13 vs GenOne May 27
10-13 vs Lavked May 22
4-13 vs PsychoFace May 19
Inferno
RUST 16 14 HA
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
Recent on Inferno
RUSTEC
13-7 vs Ursa Jun 8
13-7 vs Lilmix May 26
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
13-5 vs INOX Division Apr 26
13-4 vs aimclub Apr 25
HEROIC Academy
9-13 vs Ursa Jun 10
7-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 31
13-9 vs aAa May 28
11-13 vs DONSTU May 23
8-13 vs ALGO May 20
Overpass
RUST 13 9 HA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Map Win Rate
RUST
HA
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-7 vs aAa Jun 10
2-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
16-19 vs Ursa Jun 8
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
HEROIC Academy
4-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
10-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 31
7-13 vs The Last Resort May 4
5-13 vs SPARTA May 3
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Apr 28
Dust2
RUST 13 8 HA
77%
23%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
Overall Rating
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
HEROIC Academy
13-2 vs Ursa Jun 10
8-13 vs aAa May 28
5-13 vs GenOne May 27
10-13 vs Lavked May 22
4-13 vs PsychoFace May 19
Overpass
RUST 13 9 HA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Map Win Rate
RUST
HA
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-7 vs aAa Jun 10
2-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
16-19 vs Ursa Jun 8
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
HEROIC Academy
4-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
10-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 31
7-13 vs The Last Resort May 4
5-13 vs SPARTA May 3
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Apr 28
Mirage
RUST 16 14 HA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Opening Kills
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Overall Rating
RUST
HA
Opening Score
RUST
HA
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
7-13 vs illwill Jun 11
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
HEROIC Academy
5-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
11-13 vs Ursa Jun 10
13-11 vs NEW VISION Jun 8
13-7 vs TNC Jun 3
13-9 vs Lavked May 29
Dust2
RUST 13 8 HA
77%
23%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
Overall Rating
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
13-8 vs Ursa Jun 8
2-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
HEROIC Academy
13-2 vs Ursa Jun 10
8-13 vs aAa May 28
5-13 vs GenOne May 27
10-13 vs Lavked May 22
4-13 vs PsychoFace May 19
Overpass
RUST 13 9 HA
65%
35%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Map Win Rate
RUST
HA
Recent on Overpass
RUSTEC
13-7 vs aAa Jun 10
2-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
16-19 vs Ursa Jun 8
19-22 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
13-9 vs Entropy May 25
HEROIC Academy
4-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
10-13 vs Bushido Wildcats May 31
7-13 vs The Last Resort May 4
5-13 vs SPARTA May 3
13-9 vs HYPERSPIRIT Apr 28
Ancient
RUST 13 10 HA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
T 5v4
RUST
HA
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
HEROIC Academy
8-13 vs Lavked May 29
13-2 vs aAa May 28
13-10 vs GenOne May 27
7-13 vs Rune Eaters May 25
6-13 vs Just Players Apr 27
Recent Results last 11 matches
RUSTEC
HEROIC Academy
L 0-2 vs illwill Dust2Mirage Jun 11 2d ago
L 1-2 vs aAa OverpassDust2Nuke Jun 10 3d ago
L 0-2 vs KOLESIE MirageNuke Jun 9 4d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeDust2Overpass Jun 9 4d ago
W 2-1 vs Ursa OverpassDust2Inferno Jun 8 5d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas Dust2Nuke Jun 6 7d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY OverpassNukeDust2 Jun 5 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2Anubis Jun 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Young Ninjas NukeDust2Mirage May 31 13d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix InfernoAnubis May 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Entropy OverpassMirage May 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs KOLESIE AnubisOverpassMirage Jun 11 2d ago
L 1-2 vs Ursa Dust2MirageInferno Jun 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION AnubisMirage Jun 8 5d ago
W 2-0 vs TNC MirageAnubis Jun 3 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Bushido Wildcats OverpassInferno May 31 13d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageAncient May 29 15d ago
W 2-1 vs aAa AncientDust2Inferno May 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs GenOne Dust2AncientAnubis May 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC AnubisMirage May 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters MirageAncient May 25 19d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU InfernoAnubis May 23 21d ago
Player Matchups
RUSTEC
Ratings
HEROIC Academy
YO
youka
AWPADR 76.3KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.16
ST
St0m4k
EntryADR 80.7KAST 74%
BR
Brilliance
EntryADR 76.5KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.00
HO
HOLY
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 70%
SU
supra
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 70%
1.06 vs 0.98
MU
Muciek
AWPADR 69.4KAST 69%
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 66.8KAST 72%
1.01 vs 0.98
HR
Hrdina
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 71%
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 70%
1.00 vs 0.81
YO
Yoghi
RiflerADR 59.5KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
RUST 13 7 HA
82%
18%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Kill
RUST
HA
T 5v4
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Recent on Nuke
RUSTEC
8-13 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
13-8 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
HEROIC Academy
8-13 vs The Last Resort May 4
8-13 vs The Last Resort Apr 18
8-13 vs Phantom Apr 13
13-7 vs GenOne Apr 10
8-13 vs Imperial Academy Apr 5
Ancient
RUST 13 10 HA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
T 5v4
RUST
HA
After First Kill
RUST
HA
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
HEROIC Academy
8-13 vs Lavked May 29
13-2 vs aAa May 28
13-10 vs GenOne May 27
7-13 vs Rune Eaters May 25
6-13 vs Just Players Apr 27
Anubis
RUST 13 10 HA
62%
38%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HA
After First Death
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Round Win Rate
RUST
HA
Map Player Rating
RUST
HA
Recent on Anubis
RUSTEC
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-11 vs Lilmix May 26
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
HEROIC Academy
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
22-20 vs NEW VISION Jun 8
13-6 vs TNC Jun 3
9-13 vs Lavked May 29
4-13 vs GenOne May 27
Mirage
RUST 16 14 HA
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HA
Opening Kills
RUST
HA
Ranking
RUST
HA
Overall Rating
RUST
HA
Opening Score
RUST
HA
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
7-13 vs illwill Jun 11
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 26
HEROIC Academy
5-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
11-13 vs Ursa Jun 10
13-11 vs NEW VISION Jun 8
13-7 vs TNC Jun 3
13-9 vs Lavked May 29
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