Bo3 · CCT 2026 Europe Series 4
· 2026-06-14
SPARTA
vs
Leo
50%
50%
Series win probability
SPAR
2–1
33%
LEO
2–0
23%
SPAR
2–0
23%
LEO
2–1
20%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Leo is slightly favored at 50% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.02), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#131 vs #100), a strong ancient (63% win probability). SPARTA's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
44%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
36%
Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3
21%
Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Dust2
SPAR
13
–
10
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
13-9
vs GenOne
Jun 12
9-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 11
13-5
vs brazylijski luz
Jun 10
13-8
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
8-13
vs Ursa
Jun 12
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 6
13-6
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
Ancient
SPAR
10
–
13
LEO
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
Round Win Rate
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Ancient
SPARTA
4-13
vs GenOne
Jun 12
13-7
vs brazylijski luz
Jun 10
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 5
Leo
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
13-3
vs ASTRAL
May 31
10-13
vs Oramond
May 30
11-13
vs Oramond
May 26
5-13
vs Lazer Cats
May 23
Mirage
SPAR
13
–
9
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Map Win Rate
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-6
vs AM
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 5
13-5
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
16-14
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-2
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 27
Dust2
SPAR
13
–
10
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
13-9
vs GenOne
Jun 12
9-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 11
13-5
vs brazylijski luz
Jun 10
13-8
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
8-13
vs Ursa
Jun 12
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 6
13-6
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
Mirage
SPAR
13
–
9
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Map Win Rate
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-6
vs AM
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 5
13-5
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
16-14
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-2
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 27
Nuke
SPAR
13
–
10
LEO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
8-13
vs GenOne
Jun 12
9-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 11
13-10
vs Atreides
Jun 10
6-13
vs AM
Jun 7
Leo
3-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
4-13
vs HAVU
May 27
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
9-13
vs Phantom
May 21
13-4
vs Lavked
Apr 28
Dust2
SPAR
13
–
10
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Dust2
SPARTA
13-9
vs GenOne
Jun 12
9-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 11
13-5
vs brazylijski luz
Jun 10
13-8
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
8-13
vs Ursa
Jun 12
19-17
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
13-7
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 6
13-6
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
Mirage
SPAR
13
–
9
LEO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ban Rate
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Map Win Rate
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Mirage
SPARTA
13-6
vs AM
Jun 7
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 5
13-5
vs Ursa
Jun 4
Leo
16-14
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-2
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 27
Overpass
SPAR
5
–
13
LEO
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
2-13
vs AM
Jun 7
Leo
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
SPARTA
Leo
L
1-2
vs GenOne
AncientDust2Nuke
Jun 12
2d ago
L
0-2
vs KOLESIE
NukeDust2
Jun 11
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Atreides
InfernoNuke
Jun 10
4d ago
W
2-0
vs brazylijski luz
AncientDust2
Jun 10
4d ago
L
1-2
vs AM
MirageNukeOverpass
Jun 7
7d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE
AncientMirage
Jun 5
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
MirageDust2
Jun 4
10d ago
L
0-2
vs Ursa
Dust2Anubis
Jun 12
2d ago
W
2-1
vs KOLESIE
Dust2NukeAncient
Jun 10
4d ago
W
2-0
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Dust2Mirage
Jun 8
6d ago
W
2-0
vs NEW VISION
Dust2Anubis
Jun 6
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
Dust2Mirage
Jun 5
9d ago
L
1-2
vs ASTRAL
AncientDust2Anubis
May 31
14d ago
L
1-2
vs Oramond
AnubisDust2Ancient
May 30
15d ago
W
2-1
vs HAVU
Dust2NukeInferno
May 27
18d ago
L
0-2
vs Oramond
AncientAnubis
May 26
19d ago
L
0-2
vs GenOne
Dust2Anubis
May 25
20d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
AnubisNuke
May 25
20d ago
Player Matchups
SPARTA
Ratings
Leo
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 82.2KAST 72%
ON
OneUn1que
AWPADR 85.9KAST 75%
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 76.2KAST 73%
AM
amster
RiflerADR 76.9KAST 73%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 76.5KAST 72%
KL
kL1o
EntryADR 74.1KAST 73%
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 73%
LE
leen
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 71%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Overpass
SPAR
5
–
13
LEO
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Overpass
SPARTA
2-13
vs AM
Jun 7
Leo
no data
Inferno
SPAR
9
–
13
LEO
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Inferno
SPARTA
13-9
vs Atreides
Jun 10
Leo
13-8
vs HAVU
May 27
Nuke
SPAR
13
–
10
LEO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPAR
LEO
Ranking
SPAR
LEO
After First Death
SPAR
LEO
Map Player Rating
SPAR
LEO
After First Kill
SPAR
LEO
Recent on Nuke
SPARTA
8-13
vs GenOne
Jun 12
9-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 11
13-10
vs Atreides
Jun 10
6-13
vs AM
Jun 7
Leo
3-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
4-13
vs HAVU
May 27
7-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
9-13
vs Phantom
May 21
13-4
vs Lavked
Apr 28
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 4
2 matches