Bo3 · DFRAG Open Series 5
· 2026-06-09
Abyssal
vs
Rooster
28%
72%
Series win probability
ROOS
2–0
47%
ROOS
2–1
27%
ABYS
2–1
17%
ABYS
2–0
9%
Model Insights
Rooster is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#192 vs #188), a strong overpass (78% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Nuke · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 2
35%
Nuke · Overpass · Anubis
Scenario 3
27%
Nuke · Overpass · Inferno
Nuke
ABYS
11
–
13
ROOS
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Utility Score
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
13-5
vs Rooster
Apr 19
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
Rooster
5-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
4-13
vs ZEVS
Apr 30
5-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
Overpass
ABYS
7
–
13
ROOS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
After First Death
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Overpass
Abyssal
13-11
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
9-13
vs Rooster
Apr 19
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Rooster
9-13
vs Last Bullet
May 3
9-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
13-9
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
Mirage
ABYS
10
–
13
ROOS
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Utility Score
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
13-11
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-3
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
13-2
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 17
Rooster
13-2
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 8
13-8
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
9-13
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 11
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
13-8
vs Skele
Apr 6
Nuke
ABYS
11
–
13
ROOS
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Utility Score
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
13-5
vs Rooster
Apr 19
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
Rooster
5-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
4-13
vs ZEVS
Apr 30
5-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
Overpass
ABYS
7
–
13
ROOS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
After First Death
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Overpass
Abyssal
13-11
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
9-13
vs Rooster
Apr 19
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Rooster
9-13
vs Last Bullet
May 3
9-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
13-9
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
Anubis
ABYS
8
–
13
ROOS
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Opening Kills
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Anubis
Abyssal
7-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Rooster
13-10
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 8
13-5
vs Time Waves
Apr 12
16-14
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
22-20
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
Nuke
ABYS
11
–
13
ROOS
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Utility Score
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
13-5
vs Rooster
Apr 19
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 18
Rooster
5-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
4-13
vs ZEVS
Apr 30
5-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-5
vs The Bardolphs
Apr 11
Overpass
ABYS
7
–
13
ROOS
22%
78%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
After First Death
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Overpass
Abyssal
13-11
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
9-13
vs Rooster
Apr 19
7-13
vs Rooster
Apr 17
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 10
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Apr 7
Rooster
9-13
vs Last Bullet
May 3
9-13
vs Alter Ego
May 2
13-9
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 17
13-4
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 17
Inferno
ABYS
16
–
14
ROOS
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Ranking
ABYS
ROOS
Days With Lineup Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
10-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-11
vs Rooster
Apr 19
Rooster
13-7
vs ZEVS
Apr 30
11-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 9
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Abyssal
Rooster
W
2-0
vs MGLBROS
InfernoNuke
Jun 8
0d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageNukeInferno
May 2
37d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageInferno
Apr 30
39d ago
L
1-2
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
OverpassAnubisInferno
Apr 29
40d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 27
42d ago
W
2-1
vs Rooster
OverpassNukeInferno
Apr 19
50d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 18
51d ago
L
0-2
vs Rooster
OverpassNuke
Apr 17
52d ago
W
2-0
vs DXA
InfernoMirage
Apr 17
52d ago
W
2-1
vs DXA
AncientNukeMirage
Apr 10
59d ago
W
2-1
vs Arcade
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 10
59d ago
W
2-0
vs MARKandLARRY
MirageAnubis
Jun 8
0d ago
L
0-2
vs Last Bullet
Dust2Overpass
May 3
36d ago
L
0-2
vs Alter Ego
NukeOverpass
May 2
37d ago
W
2-1
vs ZEVS
NukeInfernoDust2
Apr 30
39d ago
L
1-2
vs Abyssal
OverpassNukeInferno
Apr 19
50d ago
W
2-0
vs Abyssal
OverpassNuke
Apr 17
52d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
OverpassMirage
Apr 17
52d ago
W
2-0
vs Time Waves
AnubisDust2
Apr 12
57d ago
W
2-0
vs The Bardolphs
NukeOverpass
Apr 11
58d ago
L
0-2
vs Ding Cuts
MirageDust2
Apr 11
58d ago
L
0-2
vs Ground Zero
Dust2Inferno
Apr 9
60d ago
Player Matchups
Abyssal
Ratings
Rooster
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 74%
CH
chelleos
AWPADR 85.0KAST 73%
DA
dangeR
EntryADR 76.5KAST 76%
JU
ju1ces
EntryADR 76.9KAST 74%
GU
gump
AWPADR 77.8KAST 73%
RE
rekonz
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 72%
FO
foggers
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 72%
SK
SkulL
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 69%
AD
ADK
RiflerADR 58.7KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Anubis
ABYS
8
–
13
ROOS
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Opening Kills
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Anubis
Abyssal
7-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Rooster
13-10
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 8
13-5
vs Time Waves
Apr 12
16-14
vs Ground Zero
Mar 26
22-20
vs Mindfreak
Mar 25
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
Inferno
ABYS
16
–
14
ROOS
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ROOS
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ROOS
Ranking
ABYS
ROOS
Days With Lineup Diff
ABYS
ROOS
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-10
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
10-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-11
vs Rooster
Apr 19
Rooster
13-7
vs ZEVS
Apr 30
11-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 19
4-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 9
13-8
vs Abyssal
Apr 8
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Apr 5