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Bo3  ·  Stake Ranked Episode 3 Open Qualifier · 2026-06-07
Acend
vs
Phantom
66%
34%
Series win probability
ACEN 2–0 44%
PHAN 2–1 28%
ACEN 2–1 17%
PHAN 2–0 11%
Model Insights
Acend has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#61 vs #101), a strong ancient (71% win probability). Phantom's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Ancient · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 2 35% Ancient · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 3 25% Ancient · Overpass · Anubis
Ancient
ACEN 13 – 8 PHAN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Utility Score
ACEN
PHAN
Best Player
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
Acend
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
9-13 vs 100 Thieves May 11
14-16 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 11
13-0 vs HAFO May 10
13-11 vs Gatorian May 10
Phantom
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
Overpass
ACEN 13 – 11 PHAN
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Map Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
After First Death
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
Acend
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
11-13 vs Just Players May 28
13-9 vs Gaimin Gladiators May 22
8-13 vs KOLESIE May 21
8-13 vs big Apr 24
Phantom
13-11 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
13-10 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
16-12 vs Young Ninjas May 29
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds May 27
10-13 vs ex-RUBY May 23
Dust2
ACEN 10 – 13 PHAN
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Trade Score
ACEN
PHAN
T Opening Kills
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
Acend
13-10 vs Ursa Jun 5
16-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
11-13 vs Just Players May 28
9-13 vs Wildcard May 23
13-4 vs Betclic May 23
Phantom
9-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-11 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-4 vs TNC May 28
10-13 vs Johnny Speeds May 27
13-7 vs Lavked May 25
Ancient
ACEN 13 – 8 PHAN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Utility Score
ACEN
PHAN
Best Player
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
Acend
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
9-13 vs 100 Thieves May 11
14-16 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 11
13-0 vs HAFO May 10
13-11 vs Gatorian May 10
Phantom
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
Overpass
ACEN 13 – 11 PHAN
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Map Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
After First Death
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
Acend
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
11-13 vs Just Players May 28
13-9 vs Gaimin Gladiators May 22
8-13 vs KOLESIE May 21
8-13 vs big Apr 24
Phantom
13-11 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
13-10 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
16-12 vs Young Ninjas May 29
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds May 27
10-13 vs ex-RUBY May 23
Mirage
ACEN 13 – 7 PHAN
75%
25%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win %
ACEN
PHAN
Pistol Rounds
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
Acend
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
13-6 vs Betclic May 23
5-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators May 22
16-13 vs Inner Circle May 21
Phantom
10-13 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
8-13 vs Young Ninjas May 29
2-13 vs TNC May 28
10-13 vs Atreides May 28
Ancient
ACEN 13 – 8 PHAN
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Utility Score
ACEN
PHAN
Best Player
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
Acend
10-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
9-13 vs 100 Thieves May 11
14-16 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 11
13-0 vs HAFO May 10
13-11 vs Gatorian May 10
Phantom
7-13 vs 100 Thieves Jun 5
13-9 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
8-13 vs Leo May 21
13-6 vs TNC May 6
10-13 vs GenOne May 5
Overpass
ACEN 13 – 11 PHAN
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Map Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
After First Death
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
Acend
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
11-13 vs Just Players May 28
13-9 vs Gaimin Gladiators May 22
8-13 vs KOLESIE May 21
8-13 vs big Apr 24
Phantom
13-11 vs ex-Tricked Jun 3
13-10 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
16-12 vs Young Ninjas May 29
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds May 27
10-13 vs ex-RUBY May 23
Anubis
ACEN 13 – 10 PHAN
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Map Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Opening Kills
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
Acend
8-13 vs Betclic May 23
13-11 vs FAVBET Apr 17
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
13-4 vs BET-M Mar 7
13-7 vs Omega Mar 6
Phantom
13-16 vs fnatic Apr 30
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17
Recent Results last 11 matches
Acend
Phantom
W 2-0 vs Ursa Dust2Inferno Jun 5 2d ago
L 1-2 vs CYBERSHOKE OverpassDust2Mirage Jun 4 3d ago
L 0-2 vs Just Players Dust2Overpass May 28 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Wildcard InfernoDust2 May 23 15d ago
W 2-1 vs Betclic MirageAnubisDust2 May 23 15d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle MirageDust2Ancient May 23 15d ago
W 2-0 vs Gaimin Gladiators MirageOverpass May 22 16d ago
L 0-1 vs KOLESIE Overpass May 21 17d ago
W 1-0 vs Inner Circle Mirage May 21 17d ago
W 1-0 vs HAVU Dust2 May 21 17d ago
W 1-0 vs INFINITE Mirage May 21 17d ago
L 0-2 vs 100 Thieves AncientDust2 Jun 5 2d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Tricked AncientOverpass Jun 3 4d ago
W 2-1 vs DragonClaw MirageDust2Overpass Jun 1 6d ago
W 2-0 vs Bushido Wildcats NukeMirage May 30 8d ago
L 1-2 vs Young Ninjas OverpassNukeMirage May 29 9d ago
L 1-2 vs TNC Dust2MirageNuke May 28 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides MirageNuke May 28 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds Dust2Overpass May 27 11d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE NukeMirage May 25 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked MirageDust2Nuke May 25 13d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY Dust2Overpass May 23 15d ago
Player Matchups
Acend
Ratings
Phantom
H4
h4rn
AWPADR 82.1KAST 75%
1.23 vs 1.11
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 72.4KAST 73%
RE
REDSTAR
EntryADR 77.5KAST 75%
1.15 vs 1.07
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 73%
KA
KalubeR
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.07
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 71.2KAST 71%
SK
Skrimo
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.02
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 70%
SP
SPELLAN
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 70%
0.92 vs 1.01
TM
TMB
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
ACEN 13 – 6 PHAN
86%
14%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Experience
ACEN
PHAN
Ban Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Pistol Rounds
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Inferno
Acend
13-10 vs Ursa Jun 5
11-13 vs Wildcard May 23
13-10 vs 100 Thieves May 11
13-7 vs Nuclear TigeRES Apr 20
13-8 vs GenOne Apr 18
Phantom
no data
Mirage
ACEN 13 – 7 PHAN
75%
25%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win %
ACEN
PHAN
Pistol Rounds
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
Acend
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 4
13-6 vs Betclic May 23
5-13 vs Inner Circle May 23
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators May 22
16-13 vs Inner Circle May 21
Phantom
10-13 vs DragonClaw Jun 1
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
8-13 vs Young Ninjas May 29
2-13 vs TNC May 28
10-13 vs Atreides May 28
Nuke
ACEN 10 – 13 PHAN
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Pistol Rounds
ACEN
PHAN
Ban Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Flash Assists
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win %
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
Acend
no data
Phantom
16-14 vs Bushido Wildcats May 30
14-16 vs Young Ninjas May 29
11-13 vs TNC May 28
9-13 vs Atreides May 28
13-8 vs BRUTE May 25
Anubis
ACEN 13 – 10 PHAN
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ACEN
PHAN
Map Player Rating
ACEN
PHAN
Map Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Opening Kills
ACEN
PHAN
Round Win Rate
ACEN
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
Acend
8-13 vs Betclic May 23
13-11 vs FAVBET Apr 17
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
13-4 vs BET-M Mar 7
13-7 vs Omega Mar 6
Phantom
13-16 vs fnatic Apr 30
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17