Bo3 · NSTLGA League Season 1
· 2026-06-11
Marsborne
vs
F5
47%
53%
Series win probability
F5
2–1
36%
F5
2–0
34%
MARS
2–0
17%
MARS
2–1
13%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — F5 is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#168 vs #109), a strong ancient (73% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Mirage · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 3
24%
Mirage · Overpass · Anubis
Mirage
MARS
14
–
16
F5
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Flash Assists
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Round Win %
MARS
F5
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-8
vs SportsBetExpert
May 31
13-10
vs LAG
May 30
22-20
vs Overtake Sector
May 24
2-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 25
F5
13-6
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-4
vs makeSHIFT
May 30
13-11
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-7
vs FarmVille
Apr 2
13-10
vs FRZ
Mar 28
Overpass
MARS
10
–
13
F5
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Opening Kills
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Recent on Overpass
Marsborne
7-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 31
2-13
vs Voca
Apr 25
16-14
vs Voca
Apr 25
13-10
vs Aether
Apr 13
F5
10-13
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-8
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
8-13
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-10
vs regain
Apr 7
13-5
vs InControl
Apr 5
Ancient
MARS
8
–
13
F5
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Ranking
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Recent on Ancient
Marsborne
3-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 31
13-2
vs Reign Above
May 30
10-13
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
10-13
vs Voca
Apr 25
13-11
vs FRZ
Apr 25
F5
13-9
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-3
vs makeSHIFT
May 30
13-3
vs FRZ
May 30
5-13
vs Reign Above
May 30
1-13
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
Mirage
MARS
14
–
16
F5
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Flash Assists
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Round Win %
MARS
F5
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-8
vs SportsBetExpert
May 31
13-10
vs LAG
May 30
22-20
vs Overtake Sector
May 24
2-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 25
F5
13-6
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-4
vs makeSHIFT
May 30
13-11
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-7
vs FarmVille
Apr 2
13-10
vs FRZ
Mar 28
Overpass
MARS
10
–
13
F5
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Opening Kills
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Recent on Overpass
Marsborne
7-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 31
2-13
vs Voca
Apr 25
16-14
vs Voca
Apr 25
13-10
vs Aether
Apr 13
F5
10-13
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-8
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
8-13
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-10
vs regain
Apr 7
13-5
vs InControl
Apr 5
Inferno
MARS
13
–
7
F5
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Ranking
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Opening Kills
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Recent on Inferno
Marsborne
13-9
vs SportsBetExpert
May 31
13-6
vs LAG
May 30
10-13
vs SportsBetExpert
May 24
13-11
vs Overtake Sector
May 24
16-19
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
F5
2-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 30
13-1
vs Surge
Apr 27
5-13
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
16-13
vs regain
Apr 7
13-7
vs InControl
Apr 5
Mirage
MARS
14
–
16
F5
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Flash Assists
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Round Win %
MARS
F5
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-8
vs SportsBetExpert
May 31
13-10
vs LAG
May 30
22-20
vs Overtake Sector
May 24
2-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-3
vs Voca
Apr 25
F5
13-6
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-4
vs makeSHIFT
May 30
13-11
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-7
vs FarmVille
Apr 2
13-10
vs FRZ
Mar 28
Overpass
MARS
10
–
13
F5
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Opening Kills
MARS
F5
Best Player
MARS
F5
Opening Score
MARS
F5
Recent on Overpass
Marsborne
7-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 31
2-13
vs Voca
Apr 25
16-14
vs Voca
Apr 25
13-10
vs Aether
Apr 13
F5
10-13
vs absolute cinema
May 30
13-8
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
8-13
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-10
vs regain
Apr 7
13-5
vs InControl
Apr 5
Anubis
MARS
13
–
8
F5
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
5v4 Rounds
MARS
F5
Recent on Anubis
Marsborne
13-10
vs Reign Above
May 30
2-13
vs SportsBetExpert
May 24
13-8
vs M80
Apr 25
13-11
vs Aether
Apr 13
F5
13-5
vs FRZ
May 30
10-13
vs Reign Above
May 30
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Marsborne
F5
L
0-2
vs Chicken Coop
OverpassAncient
May 31
11d ago
W
2-0
vs SportsBetExpert
InfernoMirage
May 31
11d ago
W
2-0
vs LAG
InfernoMirage
May 30
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Reign Above
AnubisAncient
May 30
12d ago
L
0-2
vs SportsBetExpert
InfernoAnubis
May 24
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Overtake Sector
MirageInferno
May 24
18d ago
L
0-2
vs Fisher College
InfernoAncient
Apr 26
46d ago
L
0-2
vs Passion UA
MirageDust2
Apr 26
46d ago
L
1-2
vs Voca
AncientMirageOverpass
Apr 25
47d ago
W
2-0
vs FRZ
InfernoAncient
Apr 25
47d ago
W
2-1
vs Voca
Dust2OverpassMirage
Apr 25
47d ago
W
2-1
vs absolute cinema
MirageOverpassAncient
May 30
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Chicken Coop
InfernoNuke
May 30
12d ago
W
2-0
vs makeSHIFT
MirageAncient
May 30
12d ago
W
2-1
vs FRZ
NukeAnubisAncient
May 30
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Reign Above
AncientAnubis
May 30
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Surge
InfernoNuke
Apr 27
45d ago
L
1-2
vs Chicken Coop
OverpassInfernoAncient
Apr 26
46d ago
L
1-2
vs InControl
MirageOverpassNuke
Apr 9
63d ago
W
2-0
vs regain
OverpassInferno
Apr 7
65d ago
W
2-0
vs InControl
OverpassInferno
Apr 5
67d ago
W
2-0
vs Outfit 49
OverpassNuke
Apr 3
69d ago
Player Matchups
Marsborne
Ratings
F5
OG
ogwizard
AWPADR 71.0KAST 76%
CM
cmrn
EntryADR 83.0KAST 74%
WU
WUMBO
RiflerADR 79.0KAST 73%
NE
neight
RiflerADR 81.4KAST 72%
GR
Grizz
RiflerADR 85.9KAST 71%
KE
Kermi
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 70%
FR
freshie
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 74%
BO
bones
AWPADR 70.4KAST 71%
MA
marekiew
EntryADR 65.3KAST 70%
SI
Signal
RiflerADR 62.0KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
MARS
13
–
6
F5
87%
13%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Ranking
MARS
F5
Ban Rate
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Recent on Dust2
Marsborne
5-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
4-13
vs Voca
Apr 25
13-11
vs Voca
Apr 14
F5
7-13
vs LAG
Mar 24
6-13
vs OverKnight
Mar 22
11-13
vs Outfit 49
Feb 5
Anubis
MARS
13
–
8
F5
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
5v4 Rounds
MARS
F5
Recent on Anubis
Marsborne
13-10
vs Reign Above
May 30
2-13
vs SportsBetExpert
May 24
13-8
vs M80
Apr 25
13-11
vs Aether
Apr 13
F5
13-5
vs FRZ
May 30
10-13
vs Reign Above
May 30
Inferno
MARS
13
–
7
F5
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Ranking
MARS
F5
Round Win Rate
MARS
F5
Opening Kills
MARS
F5
Map Win Rate
MARS
F5
Recent on Inferno
Marsborne
13-9
vs SportsBetExpert
May 31
13-6
vs LAG
May 30
10-13
vs SportsBetExpert
May 24
13-11
vs Overtake Sector
May 24
16-19
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
F5
2-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 30
13-1
vs Surge
Apr 27
5-13
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 26
16-13
vs regain
Apr 7
13-7
vs InControl
Apr 5
Nuke
MARS
14
–
16
F5
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MARS
F5
Ranking
MARS
F5
After First Death
MARS
F5
Experience
MARS
F5
After First Kill
MARS
F5
Recent on Nuke
Marsborne
3-13
vs Voca
Apr 14
F5
6-13
vs Chicken Coop
May 30
9-13
vs FRZ
May 30
13-2
vs Surge
Apr 27
6-13
vs InControl
Apr 9
13-4
vs Outfit 49
Apr 3