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Bo3  ·  NSTLGA League Season 1 · 2026-06-14
Marsborne
vs
Iowa Stormboar
68%
32%
Series win probability
MARS 2–0 47%
MARS 2–1 36%
IS 2–0 9%
IS 2–1 8%
Model Insights
Marsborne has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#105 vs #171), a strong anubis (82% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Mirage · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 2 25% Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3 25% Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Mirage
MARS 13 – 10 IS
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Map Win Rate
MARS
IS
T 5v4
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 12
13-8 vs SportsBetExpert May 31
13-10 vs LAG May 30
22-20 vs Overtake Sector May 24
2-13 vs Passion UA Apr 26
Iowa Stormboar
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
14-16 vs DETONATE Jun 13
13-8 vs Club 333 Jun 12
10-13 vs DETONATE Jun 11
11-13 vs M80 May 26
Ancient
MARS 13 – 8 IS
77%
23%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Multi-Kills
MARS
IS
Recent on Ancient
Marsborne
13-9 vs Festina Lente Jun 13
3-13 vs Chicken Coop May 31
13-2 vs Reign Above May 30
10-13 vs Fisher College Apr 26
10-13 vs Voca Apr 25
Iowa Stormboar
13-9 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
5-13 vs M80 May 26
Anubis
MARS 13 – 7 IS
82%
18%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Opening Kills
MARS
IS
Recent on Anubis
Marsborne
13-9 vs Festina Lente Jun 13
13-10 vs Reign Above May 30
2-13 vs SportsBetExpert May 24
13-8 vs M80 Apr 25
13-11 vs Aether Apr 13
Iowa Stormboar
13-9 vs DETONATE Jun 13
Mirage
MARS 13 – 10 IS
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Map Win Rate
MARS
IS
T 5v4
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 12
13-8 vs SportsBetExpert May 31
13-10 vs LAG May 30
22-20 vs Overtake Sector May 24
2-13 vs Passion UA Apr 26
Iowa Stormboar
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
14-16 vs DETONATE Jun 13
13-8 vs Club 333 Jun 12
10-13 vs DETONATE Jun 11
11-13 vs M80 May 26
Ancient
MARS 13 – 8 IS
77%
23%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Multi-Kills
MARS
IS
Recent on Ancient
Marsborne
13-9 vs Festina Lente Jun 13
3-13 vs Chicken Coop May 31
13-2 vs Reign Above May 30
10-13 vs Fisher College Apr 26
10-13 vs Voca Apr 25
Iowa Stormboar
13-9 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
5-13 vs M80 May 26
Dust2
MARS 14 – 16 IS
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Opening Kills
MARS
IS
Map Win Rate
MARS
IS
Recent on Dust2
Marsborne
5-13 vs Passion UA Apr 26
4-13 vs Voca Apr 25
13-11 vs Voca Apr 14
Iowa Stormboar
4-13 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
13-5 vs DETONATE Jun 11
Mirage
MARS 13 – 10 IS
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Map Win Rate
MARS
IS
T 5v4
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Recent on Mirage
Marsborne
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 12
13-8 vs SportsBetExpert May 31
13-10 vs LAG May 30
22-20 vs Overtake Sector May 24
2-13 vs Passion UA Apr 26
Iowa Stormboar
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
14-16 vs DETONATE Jun 13
13-8 vs Club 333 Jun 12
10-13 vs DETONATE Jun 11
11-13 vs M80 May 26
Ancient
MARS 13 – 8 IS
77%
23%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Multi-Kills
MARS
IS
Recent on Ancient
Marsborne
13-9 vs Festina Lente Jun 13
3-13 vs Chicken Coop May 31
13-2 vs Reign Above May 30
10-13 vs Fisher College Apr 26
10-13 vs Voca Apr 25
Iowa Stormboar
13-9 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
5-13 vs M80 May 26
Nuke
MARS 7 – 13 IS
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Ban Rate
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Recent on Nuke
Marsborne
3-13 vs Voca Apr 14
Iowa Stormboar
13-2 vs DETONATE Jun 13
13-6 vs Club 333 Jun 12
7-13 vs DETONATE Jun 11
Recent Results last 11 matches
Marsborne
Iowa Stormboar
W 2-1 vs Festina Lente OverpassAnubisAncient Jun 13 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Overtake Sector MirageInferno Jun 12 2d ago
W 2-0 vs F5 OverpassInferno Jun 11 3d ago
L 0-2 vs Chicken Coop OverpassAncient May 31 14d ago
W 2-0 vs SportsBetExpert InfernoMirage May 31 14d ago
W 2-0 vs LAG InfernoMirage May 30 15d ago
W 2-0 vs Reign Above AnubisAncient May 30 15d ago
L 0-2 vs SportsBetExpert InfernoAnubis May 24 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Overtake Sector MirageInferno May 24 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Fisher College InfernoAncient Apr 26 49d ago
L 0-2 vs Passion UA MirageDust2 Apr 26 49d ago
W 2-1 vs Overtake Sector Dust2MirageAncient Jun 13 1d ago
W 2-1 vs DETONATE MirageAnubisNuke Jun 13 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Club 333 NukeMirage Jun 12 2d ago
L 1-2 vs DETONATE NukeDust2Mirage Jun 11 3d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 AncientMirage May 26 19d ago
Player Matchups
Marsborne
Ratings
Iowa Stormboar
GR
Grizz
RiflerADR 86.5KAST 72%
1.15 vs 1.09
SC
Scorchyy
AWPADR 69.4KAST 74%
OG
ogwizard
AWPADR 71.1KAST 76%
1.14 vs 1.05
TY
TyRa
EntryADR 78.0KAST 67%
WU
WUMBO
RiflerADR 79.4KAST 74%
1.14 vs 1.00
JS
jsfeltner
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 72%
FR
freshie
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 74%
1.05 vs —
MA
marekiew
EntryADR 65.3KAST 71%
0.98 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
MARS 13 – 5 IS
93%
7%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Ban Rate
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Recent on Inferno
Marsborne
13-7 vs Overtake Sector Jun 12
13-4 vs F5 Jun 11
13-9 vs SportsBetExpert May 31
13-6 vs LAG May 30
10-13 vs SportsBetExpert May 24
Iowa Stormboar
no data
Overpass
MARS 13 – 6 IS
92%
8%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Map Player Rating
MARS
IS
Opening Kills
MARS
IS
Recent on Overpass
Marsborne
10-13 vs Festina Lente Jun 13
13-3 vs F5 Jun 11
7-13 vs Chicken Coop May 31
2-13 vs Voca Apr 25
16-14 vs Voca Apr 25
Iowa Stormboar
no data
Nuke
MARS 7 – 13 IS
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
MARS
IS
After First Death
MARS
IS
Ban Rate
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Recent on Nuke
Marsborne
3-13 vs Voca Apr 14
Iowa Stormboar
13-2 vs DETONATE Jun 13
13-6 vs Club 333 Jun 12
7-13 vs DETONATE Jun 11
Dust2
MARS 14 – 16 IS
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
MARS
IS
Round Win Rate
MARS
IS
Ranking
MARS
IS
Opening Kills
MARS
IS
Map Win Rate
MARS
IS
Recent on Dust2
Marsborne
5-13 vs Passion UA Apr 26
4-13 vs Voca Apr 25
13-11 vs Voca Apr 14
Iowa Stormboar
4-13 vs Overtake Sector Jun 13
13-5 vs DETONATE Jun 11