Bo3 · ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 Playoffs
· 2026-06-14
BASEMENT BOYS
vs
Alliance
30%
70%
Series win probability
ALLI
2–1
36%
ALLI
2–0
26%
BB
2–1
22%
BB
2–0
16%
Model Insights
Alliance has a moderate edge at 70%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#30 vs #84), a strong inferno (76% win probability). BASEMENT BOYS's best shot is nuke where they hold a 65% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
44%
Nuke · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 2
40%
Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 3
16%
Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Nuke
BB
13
–
10
ALLI
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
T 5v4
BB
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs By Legends
Jun 13
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
8-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-8
vs MTX
May 16
13-6
vs A Great Chaos
May 11
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
6-13
vs FaZe
May 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
Inferno
BB
7
–
13
ALLI
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
13-2
vs By Legends
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
12-16
vs JiJieHao
May 24
13-4
vs MASONIC
May 16
2-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 10
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 13
13-7
vs EAC
Jun 13
19-17
vs 3DMAX
May 28
Anubis
BB
9
–
13
ALLI
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Ranking
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Recent on Anubis
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs Entropy
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
2-13
vs JiJieHao
May 24
22-20
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-3
vs MTX
May 10
Alliance
9-13
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-16
vs Sharks
May 29
13-8
vs 3DMAX
May 28
8-13
vs FaZe
May 27
7-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
Nuke
BB
13
–
10
ALLI
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
T 5v4
BB
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs By Legends
Jun 13
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
8-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-8
vs MTX
May 16
13-6
vs A Great Chaos
May 11
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
6-13
vs FaZe
May 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
Inferno
BB
7
–
13
ALLI
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
13-2
vs By Legends
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
12-16
vs JiJieHao
May 24
13-4
vs MASONIC
May 16
2-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 10
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 13
13-7
vs EAC
Jun 13
19-17
vs 3DMAX
May 28
Dust2
BB
9
–
13
ALLI
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
3-13
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
19-17
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-6
vs MTX
May 16
13-10
vs MASONIC
May 16
Alliance
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
Nuke
BB
13
–
10
ALLI
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
T 5v4
BB
ALLI
Recent on Nuke
BASEMENT BOYS
13-5
vs By Legends
Jun 13
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
8-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-8
vs MTX
May 16
13-6
vs A Great Chaos
May 11
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-5
vs EAC
Jun 13
11-13
vs Sharks
May 29
6-13
vs FaZe
May 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
May 24
Inferno
BB
7
–
13
ALLI
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Map Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Inferno
BASEMENT BOYS
13-2
vs By Legends
Jun 13
5-13
vs fnatic
Jun 13
12-16
vs JiJieHao
May 24
13-4
vs MASONIC
May 16
2-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 10
Alliance
13-1
vs SAAB
Jun 13
13-9
vs Nexus
Jun 13
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 13
13-7
vs EAC
Jun 13
19-17
vs 3DMAX
May 28
Ancient
BB
5
–
13
ALLI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Ranking
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Opening Kills
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-7
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
16-14
vs Acend
May 11
13-9
vs Linx Legacy
May 10
Alliance
13-7
vs 6666
Jun 13
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
13-5
vs Tricked
Apr 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
BASEMENT BOYS
Alliance
W
2-0
vs By Legends
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Entropy
MirageAncientAnubis
Jun 13
1d ago
L
0-2
vs fnatic
AnubisInferno
Jun 13
1d ago
L
0-2
vs JiJieHao
AnubisInferno
May 24
21d ago
W
2-1
vs UNiTY
MirageDust2Anubis
May 23
22d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle Academy
AncientNukeDust2
May 17
28d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle Academy
AncientNukeDust2
May 17
28d ago
W
2-0
vs MTX
NukeDust2
May 16
29d ago
W
2-0
vs MASONIC
Dust2Inferno
May 16
29d ago
W
2-0
vs A Great Chaos
MirageNuke
May 11
34d ago
W
2-1
vs Acend
Dust2MirageAncient
May 11
34d ago
W
2-0
vs SAAB
InfernoNuke
Jun 13
1d ago
L
1-2
vs Nexus
OverpassInfernoAnubis
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-0
vs 6666
AncientInferno
Jun 13
1d ago
W
2-0
vs EAC
NukeInferno
Jun 13
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Sharks
NukeAnubis
May 29
16d ago
W
2-1
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2Anubis
May 28
17d ago
L
0-2
vs FaZe
AnubisNuke
May 27
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeInferno
May 24
21d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
InfernoOverpassAncient
May 24
21d ago
L
0-2
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeDust2
May 23
22d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
NukeDust2
May 22
23d ago
Player Matchups
BASEMENT BOYS
Ratings
Alliance
OW
OWNER
EntryADR 79.1KAST 72%
ER
eraa
AWPADR 77.9KAST 76%
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 73.1KAST 71%
AV
avid
EntryADR 78.6KAST 75%
FA
fakerealityy
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 73%
TW
twist
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 76%
KR
kr1vda
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 73%
BO
bobeksde
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 67%
MA
maggent
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 75%
UP
upE
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Ancient
BB
5
–
13
ALLI
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Ranking
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Opening Kills
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Ancient
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-6
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-7
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
16-14
vs Acend
May 11
13-9
vs Linx Legacy
May 10
Alliance
13-7
vs 6666
Jun 13
13-9
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
4-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 9
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 26
13-5
vs Tricked
Apr 13
Mirage
BB
11
–
13
ALLI
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Ranking
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Recent on Mirage
BASEMENT BOYS
16-12
vs Entropy
Jun 13
13-7
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-4
vs A Great Chaos
May 11
7-13
vs Acend
May 11
13-8
vs aimclub
Apr 26
Alliance
5-13
vs ENCE
Feb 11
10-13
vs SINNERS
Feb 10
Dust2
BB
9
–
13
ALLI
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Death
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Map Player Rating
BB
ALLI
Recent on Dust2
BASEMENT BOYS
3-13
vs UNiTY
May 23
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
19-17
vs Inner Circle Academy
May 17
13-6
vs MTX
May 16
13-10
vs MASONIC
May 16
Alliance
9-13
vs 3DMAX
May 28
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 23
13-10
vs Walczaki
May 22
16-13
vs Lavked
May 8
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 21
Overpass
BB
14
–
16
ALLI
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
BB
ALLI
After First Kill
BB
ALLI
Ban Rate
BB
ALLI
Round Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Map Win Rate
BB
ALLI
Recent on Overpass
BASEMENT BOYS
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 11
17-19
vs bond1e
Mar 26
Alliance
11-13
vs Nexus
Jun 13
5-13
vs EYEBALLERS
May 24
5-13
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs Aurora
Apr 1
13-10
vs Passion UA
Apr 1