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Bo3  ·  IEM Rio 2026
falcons ✓
vs
furia
84%
16%
Series win probability
FALC 2–0 67%
FALC 2–1 16%
FURI 2–1 13%
FURI 2–0 3%
Actual result
Mirage 13–11
Dust2 13–11
Model Insights
falcons is strongly favored at 84%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.05), a strong mirage (94% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2 31% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3 30% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
FALC 13 – 6 FURI
88%
12%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Recent on Mirage
falcons
4-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
13-10 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-5 vs Spirit Apr 14
11-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 27
13-11 vs FURIA Mar 23
furia
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
13-7 vs Passion UA Apr 13
11-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
10-13 vs NRG Mar 22
Dust2
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
Recent on Dust2
falcons
7-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-16 vs FURIA Mar 23
9-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 20
13-8 vs NRG Mar 18
furia
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-7 vs NRG Mar 22
14-16 vs Aurora Mar 20
Inferno
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Round Win Rate
FALC
FURI
CT Side
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Recent on Inferno
falcons
13-10 vs 3DMAX Apr 13
14-16 vs TYLOO Mar 22
9-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 20
13-4 vs FURIA Feb 16
14-16 vs MOUZ Feb 3
furia
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 20
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
13-6 vs paiN Mar 9
13-9 vs HEROIC Mar 8
Mirage
FALC 13 – 6 FURI
88%
12%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Recent on Mirage
falcons
4-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
13-10 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-5 vs Spirit Apr 14
11-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 27
13-11 vs FURIA Mar 23
furia
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
13-7 vs Passion UA Apr 13
11-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
10-13 vs NRG Mar 22
Dust2
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
Recent on Dust2
falcons
7-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-16 vs FURIA Mar 23
9-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 20
13-8 vs NRG Mar 18
furia
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-7 vs NRG Mar 22
14-16 vs Aurora Mar 20
Nuke
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Recent on Nuke
falcons
16-14 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-10 vs FURIA Mar 23
13-7 vs 3DMAX Feb 14
furia
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-2 vs NRG Mar 22
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
10-13 vs The MongolZ Feb 20
Mirage
FALC 13 – 6 FURI
88%
12%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Recent on Mirage
falcons
4-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
13-10 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-5 vs Spirit Apr 14
11-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 27
13-11 vs FURIA Mar 23
furia
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
13-7 vs Passion UA Apr 13
11-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
10-13 vs NRG Mar 22
Dust2
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
77%
23%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
Recent on Dust2
falcons
7-13 vs Spirit Apr 18
6-13 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-16 vs FURIA Mar 23
9-13 vs Natus Vincere Mar 20
13-8 vs NRG Mar 18
furia
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-7 vs NRG Mar 22
14-16 vs Aurora Mar 20
Anubis
FALC 13 – 7 FURI
80%
20%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Map Win Rate
FALC
FURI
Recent on Anubis
falcons
13-4 vs Spirit Apr 14
13-11 vs FURIA Feb 16
13-9 vs FaZe Feb 15
13-5 vs 3DMAX Feb 3
7-13 vs Aurora Feb 1
furia
11-13 vs Falcons Feb 16
13-9 vs FUT Feb 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
falcons
furia
L 0-2 vs Spirit Dust2Mirage Apr 18 8d ago
W 2-1 vs Vitality MirageDust2Nuke Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Spirit AnubisMirage Apr 14 12d ago
W 2-0 vs 3DMAX InfernoAncient Apr 13 13d ago
L 0-2 vs PARIVISION MirageAncient Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs FURIA MirageDust2Nuke Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-1 vs TYLOO InfernoAncientMirage Mar 22 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Natus Vincere MirageInfernoDust2 Mar 20 37d ago
W 2-0 vs NRG AncientDust2 Mar 18 39d ago
L 1-2 vs PARIVISION Dust2MirageAncient Feb 20 65d ago
W 2-1 vs FURIA MirageInfernoAnubis Feb 16 69d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality OverpassAncient Apr 18 8d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ MirageDust2 Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-1 vs Natus Vincere MirageDust2Nuke Apr 14 12d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA InfernoMirage Apr 13 13d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageDust2Nuke Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-1 vs NRG MirageNukeDust2 Mar 22 35d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora Dust2Inferno Mar 20 37d ago
W 2-0 vs TYLOO MirageOverpass Mar 18 39d ago
L 1-2 vs Astralis NukeDust2Inferno Mar 10 47d ago
W 2-0 vs paiN InfernoDust2 Mar 9 48d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Dust2OverpassInferno Mar 8 49d ago
Player Matchups
falcons
Rating 3.0
furia
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.4KAST 77%
1.26 vs 1.15
KS
KSCERATO
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 73%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 81.9KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.13
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 74.3KAST 73%
NI
NiKo
AWPADR 75.7KAST 74%
1.10 vs 1.06
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 71%
TE
TeSeS
AWPADR 64.7KAST 72%
1.00 vs 0.96
YU
yuurih
AWPADR 66.2KAST 73%
KY
kyxsan
AWPADR 63.1KAST 70%
0.94 vs 0.91
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 62.4KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
FALC 13 – 5 FURI
91%
9%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Round Win Rate
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Recent on Ancient
falcons
13-1 vs 3DMAX Apr 13
10-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 27
13-1 vs TYLOO Mar 22
13-6 vs NRG Mar 18
8-13 vs PARIVISION Feb 20
furia
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
Anubis
FALC 13 – 7 FURI
80%
20%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
FURI
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Map Win Rate
FALC
FURI
Recent on Anubis
falcons
13-4 vs Spirit Apr 14
13-11 vs FURIA Feb 16
13-9 vs FaZe Feb 15
13-5 vs 3DMAX Feb 3
7-13 vs Aurora Feb 1
furia
11-13 vs Falcons Feb 16
13-9 vs FUT Feb 15
Nuke
FALC 13 – 10 FURI
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FALC
FURI
After First Death
FALC
FURI
After First Kill
FALC
FURI
Ranking
FALC
FURI
Head-to-Head
FALC
FURI
Recent on Nuke
falcons
16-14 vs Vitality Apr 15
13-10 vs FURIA Mar 23
13-7 vs 3DMAX Feb 14
furia
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
13-2 vs NRG Mar 22
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
10-13 vs The MongolZ Feb 20