Bo5 · IEM Rio 2026
vitality
✓
vs
spirit
94%
6%
Series win probability
VIT
3–0
55%
VIT
3–1
23%
VIT
3–2
16%
SPIR
3–2
4%
SPIR
3–1
2%
Actual result
Dust2
13–5
Nuke
13–10
Mirage
16–13
Model Insights
vitality is strongly favored at 94%, holding a map advantage on 5 of 5 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.18 vs 1.09), a strong nuke (99% win probability).
Predicted Maps
5 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Nuke · Dust2 · Overpass · Anubis · Mirage
Nuke
VIT
13
–
5
SPIR
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 1%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
VIT
SPIR
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
Round Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
After First Kill
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
vitality
14-16
vs Falcons
Apr 15
13-4
vs RED Canids
Apr 13
13-5
vs Aurora
Mar 28
13-5
vs 9z
Mar 19
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Feb 15
spirit
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
7-13
vs FURIA
Feb 7
Dust2
VIT
13
–
5
SPIR
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
VIT
SPIR
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
After First Kill
VIT
SPIR
Round Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
vitality
13-6
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 17
13-6
vs Falcons
Apr 15
13-11
vs G2
Apr 14
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-4
vs PARIVISION
Feb 22
spirit
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
13-11
vs Liquid
Apr 13
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
Overpass
VIT
13
–
9
SPIR
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
VIT
SPIR
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
Map Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
T Side
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
13-6
vs RED Canids
Apr 13
16-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 21
13-3
vs 9z
Mar 19
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Feb 22
spirit
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
8-13
vs G2
Feb 3
Anubis
VIT
13
–
10
SPIR
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
Round Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Map Player Rating
VIT
SPIR
Map Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
vitality
13-10
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 29
13-8
vs G2
Feb 14
spirit
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-10
vs G2
Mar 8
13-7
vs B8
Mar 7
13-8
vs G2
Feb 3
Mirage
VIT
13
–
8
SPIR
82%
18%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
VIT
SPIR
Head-to-Head
VIT
SPIR
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
Map Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
vitality
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 17
10-13
vs Falcons
Apr 15
5-13
vs G2
Apr 14
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Mar 23
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Mar 21
spirit
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
5-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
Recent Results
last 11 matches
vitality
spirit
W
2-0
vs FURIA
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
8d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
MirageDust2
Apr 17
9d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
11d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 14
12d ago
W
2-0
vs RED Canids
NukeOverpass
Apr 13
13d ago
W
3-0
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoAnubisDust2
Mar 29
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
InfernoNuke
Mar 28
29d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
MirageInferno
Mar 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
MirageOverpass
Mar 21
36d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
OverpassNuke
Mar 19
38d ago
W
3-0
vs PARIVISION
OverpassDust2Inferno
Feb 22
63d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
8d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 17
9d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
MirageDust2
Apr 15
11d ago
W
2-1
vs RED Canids
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 15
11d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientDust2
Apr 13
13d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
NukeOverpass
Mar 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
OverpassDust2
Mar 22
35d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
AnubisAncient
Mar 21
36d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
MirageAncient
Mar 19
38d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
Dust2Ancient
Mar 13
44d ago
Player Matchups
vitality
Rating 3.0
spirit
ZY
ZywOo
AWPADR 87.5KAST 78%
DO
donk
EntryADR 94.9KAST 77%
FL
flameZ
RiflerADR 81.3KAST 77%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 78.1KAST 77%
RO
ropz
EntryADR 75.0KAST 78%
TN
tN1R
AWPADR 73.3KAST 74%
ME
mezii
AWPADR 66.9KAST 77%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 66.5KAST 74%
AP
apEX
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 74%
ZO
zont1x
AWPADR 66.6KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
1 map
Ancient
VIT
13
–
8
SPIR
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
VIT
SPIR
After First Kill
VIT
SPIR
Map Win Rate
VIT
SPIR
Map Player Rating
VIT
SPIR
Ranking
VIT
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
vitality
13-10
vs FURIA
Apr 18
25-22
vs Aurora
Feb 3
spirit
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-2
vs Liquid
Apr 13
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-11
vs Liquid
Mar 19
7-13
vs Astralis
Mar 13