Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 Playoffs
· 2026-04-29
Rebels
vs
SPARTA
67%
33%
Series win probability
REBE
2–0
40%
REBE
2–1
27%
SPAR
2–1
19%
SPAR
2–0
14%
Model Insights
Rebels has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#92 vs #69), a strong dust2 (67% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 3
32%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Dust2
REBE
13
–
9
SPAR
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
Rebels
13-9
vs aimclub
Apr 23
6-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
13-4
vs XI
Apr 19
6-13
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
10-13
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
13-10
vs megoshort
Apr 28
13-16
vs tdk
Apr 25
13-3
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs tdk
Apr 2
Nuke
REBE
13
–
10
SPAR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
Opening Score
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
Rebels
13-5
vs aAa
Apr 27
13-8
vs playersclub
Apr 25
9-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
10-13
vs XI
Apr 19
13-5
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
8-13
vs Lavked
Apr 25
7-13
vs ww
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs ww
Mar 6
11-13
vs nuclear tigeres
Mar 3
Ancient
REBE
13
–
9
SPAR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Ancient
Rebels
8-13
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
13-6
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
11-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 2
13-10
vs bet-m
Mar 31
13-10
vs Leo
Mar 29
SPARTA
13-6
vs GenOne
Apr 27
17-19
vs BIG
Apr 26
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs nemiga
Mar 10
Dust2
REBE
13
–
9
SPAR
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
Rebels
13-9
vs aimclub
Apr 23
6-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
13-4
vs XI
Apr 19
6-13
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
10-13
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
13-10
vs megoshort
Apr 28
13-16
vs tdk
Apr 25
13-3
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs tdk
Apr 2
Nuke
REBE
13
–
10
SPAR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
Opening Score
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
Rebels
13-5
vs aAa
Apr 27
13-8
vs playersclub
Apr 25
9-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
10-13
vs XI
Apr 19
13-5
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
8-13
vs Lavked
Apr 25
7-13
vs ww
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs ww
Mar 6
11-13
vs nuclear tigeres
Mar 3
Inferno
REBE
7
–
13
SPAR
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
4v5 Rounds
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Inferno
Rebels
13-9
vs aAa
Apr 27
13-6
vs aimclub
Apr 23
13-7
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
8-13
vs illwill
Mar 30
13-9
vs Leo
Mar 29
SPARTA
16-12
vs Lavked
Apr 25
13-3
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
9-13
vs 1win
Mar 6
16-13
vs alliance
Feb 26
16-14
vs omega
Feb 19
Dust2
REBE
13
–
9
SPAR
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
Rebels
13-9
vs aimclub
Apr 23
6-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
13-4
vs XI
Apr 19
6-13
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
10-13
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
13-10
vs megoshort
Apr 28
13-16
vs tdk
Apr 25
13-3
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs tdk
Apr 2
Nuke
REBE
13
–
10
SPAR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
Opening Score
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
Rebels
13-5
vs aAa
Apr 27
13-8
vs playersclub
Apr 25
9-13
vs TNC
Apr 20
10-13
vs XI
Apr 19
13-5
vs Phantom Academy
Apr 19
SPARTA
8-13
vs Lavked
Apr 25
7-13
vs ww
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs ww
Mar 6
11-13
vs nuclear tigeres
Mar 3
Overpass
REBE
7
–
13
SPAR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Utility Score
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Overpass
Rebels
13-6
vs playersclub
Apr 25
13-8
vs XI
Apr 19
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 2
13-6
vs Persona Grata
Mar 25
5-13
vs ALGO
Mar 19
SPARTA
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 27
16-14
vs tdk
Apr 25
13-1
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
11-13
vs tdk
Apr 2
13-6
vs ww
Mar 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Rebels
SPARTA
W
2-0
vs aAa
NukeInferno
Apr 27
2d ago
W
2-0
vs playersclub
NukeOverpass
Apr 25
4d ago
W
2-0
vs aimclub
InfernoDust2
Apr 23
6d ago
L
0-2
vs TNC
Dust2Nuke
Apr 20
9d ago
W
2-1
vs XI
Dust2NukeOverpass
Apr 19
10d ago
L
1-2
vs INFINITE
Dust2InfernoAncient
Apr 19
10d ago
W
2-1
vs Phantom Academy
AncientDust2Nuke
Apr 19
10d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemesis
OverpassDust2Ancient
Apr 2
27d ago
W
2-1
vs bet-m
NukeDust2Ancient
Mar 31
29d ago
L
1-2
vs illwill
Dust2NukeInferno
Mar 30
30d ago
W
2-0
vs Leo
AncientInferno
Mar 29
31d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
AncientOverpass
Apr 27
2d ago
L
0-2
vs BIG
MirageAncient
Apr 26
3d ago
W
2-1
vs tdk
OverpassDust2Mirage
Apr 25
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
InfernoNukeMirage
Apr 25
4d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
AncientDust2Overpass
Apr 23
6d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
InfernoDust2
Apr 2
27d ago
L
0-2
vs tdk
OverpassDust2
Apr 2
27d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
AncientDust2
Apr 2
27d ago
L
1-2
vs ww
OverpassMirageNuke
Mar 25
35d ago
L
0-2
vs nemiga
AncientDust2
Mar 10
50d ago
L
1-2
vs 5Actors
MirageNukeAncient
Mar 10
50d ago
Player Matchups
Rebels
Rating 3.0
SPARTA
ST
stadodo
AWPADR 70.9KAST 7140%
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 75.6KAST 7500%
NO
NOPEEj
EntryADR 72.0KAST 7330%
FO
Forester
EntryADR 75.0KAST 7300%
TM
TMKj
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 7180%
LA
Lack1
RiflerADR 77.3KAST 6950%
IC
Icarus
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 7150%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 67.9KAST 7090%
SN
snapy
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 6720%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 7120%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
REBE
7
–
13
SPAR
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
4v5 Rounds
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Inferno
Rebels
13-9
vs aAa
Apr 27
13-6
vs aimclub
Apr 23
13-7
vs INFINITE
Apr 19
8-13
vs illwill
Mar 30
13-9
vs Leo
Mar 29
SPARTA
16-12
vs Lavked
Apr 25
13-3
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
9-13
vs 1win
Mar 6
16-13
vs alliance
Feb 26
16-14
vs omega
Feb 19
Overpass
REBE
7
–
13
SPAR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Utility Score
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Overpass
Rebels
13-6
vs playersclub
Apr 25
13-8
vs XI
Apr 19
8-13
vs Nemesis
Apr 2
13-6
vs Persona Grata
Mar 25
5-13
vs ALGO
Mar 19
SPARTA
13-7
vs GenOne
Apr 27
16-14
vs tdk
Apr 25
13-1
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
11-13
vs tdk
Apr 2
13-6
vs ww
Mar 25
Anubis
REBE
13
–
10
SPAR
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
REBE
SPAR
After First Death
REBE
SPAR
Ranking
REBE
SPAR
Round Win Rate
REBE
SPAR
Schedule Strength
REBE
SPAR
Recent on Anubis
Rebels
13-4
vs Fuzos
Mar 1
11-13
vs CSDIILIT
Feb 16
13-10
vs ww
Feb 6
SPARTA
8-13
vs tdk
Feb 18
13-10
vs TNT
Feb 14
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 Playoffs
3 matches