Bo3 · XP Game Fest 2026
mana
✓
vs
the last resort
76%
24%
Series win probability
MANA
2–0
47%
MANA
2–1
28%
TLR
2–1
15%
TLR
2–0
9%
Actual result
Ancient
13–6
MANA
Mirage
13–3
MANA
Model Insights
mana is strongly favored at 76%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (77% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Inferno
MANA
13
–
8
TLR
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
Ranking
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Sniper Score
MANA
TLR
Recent on Inferno
mana
5-13
vs Bebop
Apr 19
13-7
vs Hashiras
Apr 10
13-7
vs Famalicão
Apr 9
13-6
vs UNiTY
Apr 5
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 31
the last resort
4-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-4
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
13-6
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 21
13-9
vs rottweilers
Mar 20
Nuke
MANA
13
–
10
TLR
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
CT 4v5
MANA
TLR
Recent on Nuke
mana
11-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 10
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Mar 23
13-5
vs AKA HERO KAJO
Mar 18
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 13
10-13
vs QWENTRY
Mar 9
the last resort
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
3-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
8-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
Ancient
MANA
13
–
11
TLR
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Opening Kills
MANA
TLR
Recent on Ancient
mana
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 17
20-22
vs TNC
Apr 6
3-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 4
4-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 3
13-5
vs TNT
Mar 30
the last resort
16-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
13-11
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
16-14
vs CTRL
Mar 21
10-13
vs rottweilers
Mar 20
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps
7 maps
Mirage
MANA
13
–
6
TLR
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Experience
MANA
TLR
Ranking
MANA
TLR
Recent on Mirage
mana
8-13
vs Bebop
Apr 19
3-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 17
13-2
vs Persona Grata
Apr 12
13-6
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 4
10-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 3
the last resort
15-19
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-8
vs MANA
Mar 21
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18
13-11
vs Lilmix
Mar 13
9-13
vs Bebop
Mar 12
Dust2
MANA
13
–
6
TLR
89%
11%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Star Player
MANA
TLR
Recent on Dust2
mana
4-13
vs TDK
Apr 15
22-18
vs Hashiras
Apr 10
13-3
vs Famalicão
Apr 9
9-13
vs TNC
Apr 6
13-9
vs UNiTY
Apr 5
the last resort
no data
Overpass
MANA
13
–
7
TLR
71%
29%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Ban Rate
MANA
TLR
Map Win Rate
MANA
TLR
Recent on Overpass
mana
13-11
vs Persona Grata
Apr 12
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 31
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Mar 21
4-13
vs HOTU
Feb 13
the last resort
9-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
2-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 2
4-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
10-13
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
Anubis
MANA
11
–
13
TLR
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
T Side
MANA
TLR
Opening Kills
MANA
TLR
Recent on Anubis
mana
11-13
vs TDK
Apr 15
13-16
vs Famalicão
Apr 9
10-13
vs TNT
Mar 30
5-13
vs Leo
Mar 25
8-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 22
the last resort
12-16
vs DONSTU
Apr 2
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
13-11
vs CTRL
Mar 21
13-3
vs Leo
Mar 19
14-16
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 19
Inferno
MANA
13
–
8
TLR
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
Ranking
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Sniper Score
MANA
TLR
Recent on Inferno
mana
5-13
vs Bebop
Apr 19
13-7
vs Hashiras
Apr 10
13-7
vs Famalicão
Apr 9
13-6
vs UNiTY
Apr 5
8-13
vs ECSTATIC
Mar 31
the last resort
4-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-4
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
13-6
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 21
13-9
vs rottweilers
Mar 20
Nuke
MANA
13
–
10
TLR
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
CT 4v5
MANA
TLR
Recent on Nuke
mana
11-13
vs Hashiras
Apr 10
5-13
vs ex-RUBY
Mar 23
13-5
vs AKA HERO KAJO
Mar 18
13-5
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 13
10-13
vs QWENTRY
Mar 9
the last resort
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
3-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
8-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
Ancient
MANA
13
–
11
TLR
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Opening Kills
MANA
TLR
Recent on Ancient
mana
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 17
20-22
vs TNC
Apr 6
3-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 4
4-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Apr 3
13-5
vs TNT
Mar 30
the last resort
16-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
13-11
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
16-14
vs CTRL
Mar 21
10-13
vs rottweilers
Mar 20
More from XP Game Fest 2026
3 matches