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Bo3  ·  XP Game Fest 2026
mana ✓
vs
the last resort
82%
18%
Series win probability
MANA 2–0 45%
MANA 2–1 37%
TLR 2–0 11%
TLR 2–1 7%
Actual result
Ancient 13–6
Model Insights
mana is strongly favored at 82%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong ancient (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 47% Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 41% Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3 12% Nuke · Ancient · Anubis
Inferno
MANA 13 – 10 TLR
68%
32%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Recent on Inferno
mana
5-13 vs Bebop Apr 19
13-7 vs Hashiras Apr 10
13-7 vs Famalicão Apr 9
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 5
8-13 vs ECSTATIC Mar 31
the last resort
4-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-4 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 18
13-6 vs DONSTU Mar 29
13-9 vs MANA Mar 21
13-9 vs rottweilers Mar 20
Nuke
MANA 13 – 10 TLR
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
CT 4v5
MANA
TLR
Recent on Nuke
mana
11-13 vs Hashiras Apr 10
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Mar 23
13-5 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 18
13-5 vs CSDIILIT Mar 13
10-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 9
the last resort
11-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 18
8-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
Ancient
MANA 13 – 9 TLR
85%
15%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Map Win Rate
MANA
TLR
Recent on Ancient
mana
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 17
20-22 vs TNC Apr 6
3-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 3
13-5 vs TNT Mar 30
the last resort
16-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
8-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
16-14 vs CTRL Mar 21
10-13 vs rottweilers Mar 20
Nuke
MANA 13 – 10 TLR
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
CT 4v5
MANA
TLR
Recent on Nuke
mana
11-13 vs Hashiras Apr 10
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Mar 23
13-5 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 18
13-5 vs CSDIILIT Mar 13
10-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 9
the last resort
11-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 18
8-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
Ancient
MANA 13 – 9 TLR
85%
15%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Map Win Rate
MANA
TLR
Recent on Ancient
mana
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 17
20-22 vs TNC Apr 6
3-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 3
13-5 vs TNT Mar 30
the last resort
16-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
8-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
16-14 vs CTRL Mar 21
10-13 vs rottweilers Mar 20
Mirage
MANA 13 – 5 TLR
94%
6%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Recent on Mirage
mana
8-13 vs Bebop Apr 19
3-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 17
13-2 vs Persona Grata Apr 12
13-6 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
10-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 3
the last resort
15-19 vs Young Ninjas Apr 22
13-8 vs MANA Mar 21
13-11 vs ex-RUBY Mar 18
13-11 vs Lilmix Mar 13
9-13 vs Bebop Mar 12
Nuke
MANA 13 – 10 TLR
66%
34%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Opening Score
MANA
TLR
CT 4v5
MANA
TLR
Recent on Nuke
mana
11-13 vs Hashiras Apr 10
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Mar 23
13-5 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 18
13-5 vs CSDIILIT Mar 13
10-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 9
the last resort
11-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 18
8-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
Ancient
MANA 13 – 9 TLR
85%
15%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Map Win Rate
MANA
TLR
Recent on Ancient
mana
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 17
20-22 vs TNC Apr 6
3-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
4-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 3
13-5 vs TNT Mar 30
the last resort
16-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
8-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
16-14 vs CTRL Mar 21
10-13 vs rottweilers Mar 20
Anubis
MANA 11 – 13 TLR
63%
37%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
T Side
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
Recent on Anubis
mana
11-13 vs TDK Apr 15
13-16 vs Famalicão Apr 9
10-13 vs TNT Mar 30
5-13 vs Leo Mar 25
8-13 vs Nemiga Mar 22
the last resort
12-16 vs DONSTU Apr 2
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
13-11 vs CTRL Mar 21
13-3 vs Leo Mar 19
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Mar 19
Recent Results last 11 matches
mana
the last resort
L 0-2 vs Bebop MirageInferno Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE MirageAncient Apr 17 9d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK Dust2Anubis Apr 15 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Persona Grata MirageOverpass Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-1 vs Hashiras NukeDust2Inferno Apr 10 16d ago
W 2-1 vs Famalicão AnubisDust2Inferno Apr 9 17d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC Dust2Ancient Apr 6 20d ago
W 2-0 vs UNiTY Dust2Inferno Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy AncientDust2Mirage Apr 4 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds AncientMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs RUSTEC MirageDust2 Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas NukeMirage Apr 22 4d ago
L 0-2 vs eLITenergy NukeInferno Apr 21 5d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy NukeOverpassInferno Apr 18 8d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU AnubisOverpass Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs QWENTRY AncientOverpassNuke Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds AncientOverpass Mar 31 26d ago
W 2-0 vs BIG EQUIPA NukeAnubis Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU AncientOverpassInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 3-0 vs CTRL NukeAnubisAncient Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-1 vs MANA OverpassMirageInferno Mar 21 36d ago
L 1-2 vs rottweilers InfernoNukeAncient Mar 20 37d ago
Player Matchups
mana
Rating 3.0
the last resort
AM
ammar
AWPADR 72.2KAST 74%
1.11 vs 1.10
AR
arTisT
AWPADR 76.7KAST 73%
CA
Caleyy
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 70%
1.08 vs 1.07
GI
Girafffe
AWPADR 74.0KAST 71%
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 74.7KAST 71%
1.06 vs 1.03
VA
Vacancy
AWPADR 70.4KAST 72%
SE
SENER1
AWPADR 72.8KAST 72%
1.03 vs 1.02
EX
Extinct
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 71%
CE
cerber
AWPADR 72.0KAST 71%
1.01 vs 1.01
BE
bevve
AWPADR 71.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
MANA 13 – 5 TLR
95%
5%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Star Player
MANA
TLR
Recent on Dust2
mana
4-13 vs TDK Apr 15
22-18 vs Hashiras Apr 10
13-3 vs Famalicão Apr 9
9-13 vs TNC Apr 6
13-9 vs UNiTY Apr 5
the last resort
no data
Mirage
MANA 13 – 5 TLR
94%
6%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
After First Kill
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Recent on Mirage
mana
8-13 vs Bebop Apr 19
3-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Apr 17
13-2 vs Persona Grata Apr 12
13-6 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
10-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 3
the last resort
15-19 vs Young Ninjas Apr 22
13-8 vs MANA Mar 21
13-11 vs ex-RUBY Mar 18
13-11 vs Lilmix Mar 13
9-13 vs Bebop Mar 12
Overpass
MANA 13 – 8 TLR
66%
34%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
After First Death
MANA
TLR
Map Win Rate
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
Recent on Overpass
mana
13-11 vs Persona Grata Apr 12
8-13 vs ECSTATIC Mar 31
13-4 vs The Last Resort Mar 21
4-13 vs HOTU Feb 13
the last resort
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 18
2-13 vs DONSTU Apr 2
4-13 vs QWENTRY Apr 1
9-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 31
10-13 vs DONSTU Mar 29
Anubis
MANA 11 – 13 TLR
63%
37%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
MANA
TLR
Map Player Rating
MANA
TLR
Round Win Rate
MANA
TLR
T Side
MANA
TLR
Opening Duels
MANA
TLR
Recent on Anubis
mana
11-13 vs TDK Apr 15
13-16 vs Famalicão Apr 9
10-13 vs TNT Mar 30
5-13 vs Leo Mar 25
8-13 vs Nemiga Mar 22
the last resort
12-16 vs DONSTU Apr 2
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
13-11 vs CTRL Mar 21
13-3 vs Leo Mar 19
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Mar 19