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Bo3  ·  XP Game Fest 2026
ence ✓
vs
lilmix
97%
3%
Series win probability
ENCE 2–0 96%
LILM 2–1 3%
ENCE 2–1 2%
LILM 2–0 0%
Actual result
Mirage 13–9
Overpass 13–4
Model Insights
ence is strongly favored at 97%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.18 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#100 vs #177), a strong overpass (100% win probability). lilmix's best shot is inferno where they hold a 64% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Mirage · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 2 30% Mirage · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 3 30% Mirage · Overpass · Dust2
Mirage
ENCE 13 – 4 LILM
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Apr 12
13-0 vs CSDIILIT Apr 11
13-6 vs KUUSAMO Apr 10
13-7 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Overpass
ENCE 13 – 3 LILM
99%
1%
Win prob OT 0% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Round Win Rate
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
0-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 6
10-13 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
5-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 1
4-13 vs Metizport Apr 1
lilmix
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
13-3 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
Inferno
ENCE 10 – 13 LILM
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Inferno
ence
4-13 vs rottweilers Mar 28
13-16 vs Ursa Mar 9
8-13 vs eternal fire Feb 27
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Feb 15
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Mirage
ENCE 13 – 4 LILM
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Apr 12
13-0 vs CSDIILIT Apr 11
13-6 vs KUUSAMO Apr 10
13-7 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Overpass
ENCE 13 – 3 LILM
99%
1%
Win prob OT 0% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Round Win Rate
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
0-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 6
10-13 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
5-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 1
4-13 vs Metizport Apr 1
lilmix
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
13-3 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
Ancient
ENCE 13 – 6 LILM
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Ancient
ence
13-9 vs KUUSAMO Apr 10
8-13 vs STATE Apr 6
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Apr 4
13-11 vs UNiTY Apr 3
5-13 vs Lilmix Mar 12
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Mirage
ENCE 13 – 4 LILM
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Mirage
ence
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Apr 12
13-0 vs CSDIILIT Apr 11
13-6 vs KUUSAMO Apr 10
13-7 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Overpass
ENCE 13 – 3 LILM
99%
1%
Win prob OT 0% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Round Win Rate
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Overpass
ence
0-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 6
10-13 vs STATE Apr 6
3-13 vs Johnny Speeds Apr 5
5-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 1
4-13 vs Metizport Apr 1
lilmix
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
13-3 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
Dust2
ENCE 13 – 9 LILM
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Dust2
ence
5-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 29
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 26
8-13 vs Dziuseppe Mar 16
11-13 vs Bebop Mar 13
13-9 vs bestia Feb 26
lilmix
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
13-4 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Recent Results last 11 matches
ence
lilmix
W 2-0 vs CSDIILIT NukeMirage Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs CSDIILIT NukeMirage Apr 11 15d ago
W 2-0 vs KUUSAMO AncientMirage Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs eLITenergy OverpassNuke Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs STATE OverpassMirageAncient Apr 6 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds MirageOverpass Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Rune Eaters NukeAncient Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs UNiTY MirageAncient Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs QUAZAR OverpassNukeMirage Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Metizport MirageOverpass Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-0 vs playersclub MirageNuke Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU OverpassDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 1-2 vs Rune Eaters InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs yngods MirageOverpassAnubis Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs AaB MirageOverpass Mar 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs MANA Dust2Inferno Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs CSDIILIT MirageAnubis Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-0 vs AKA HERO KAJO Dust2Mirage Mar 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs BIG Academy OverpassDust2Ancient Mar 20 37d ago
L 1-2 vs CSDIILIT OverpassMirageInferno Mar 19 38d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats AnubisInfernoMirage Mar 18 39d ago
Player Matchups
ence
Rating 3.0
lilmix
TE
teme
AWPADR 74.6KAST 75%
1.16 vs 1.03
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 70%
HE
HENU
AWPADR 80.3KAST 73%
1.13 vs 0.99
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 68.0KAST 72%
SC
Schwarz
AWPADR 79.4KAST 72%
1.09 vs 0.99
BS
bsover
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 67%
MI
millert
AWPADR 68.4KAST 73%
1.06 vs 0.92
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 69%
CL
Cliqq
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 72%
1.00 vs 0.79
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.3KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
ENCE 13 – 3 LILM
98%
2%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Nuke
ence
13-5 vs CSDIILIT Apr 12
13-10 vs CSDIILIT Apr 11
11-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 6
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Apr 4
13-11 vs QUAZAR Apr 1
lilmix
no data
Ancient
ENCE 13 – 6 LILM
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Ancient
ence
13-9 vs KUUSAMO Apr 10
8-13 vs STATE Apr 6
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Apr 4
13-11 vs UNiTY Apr 3
5-13 vs Lilmix Mar 12
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Dust2
ENCE 13 – 9 LILM
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Dust2
ence
5-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 29
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 26
8-13 vs Dziuseppe Mar 16
11-13 vs Bebop Mar 13
13-9 vs bestia Feb 26
lilmix
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
13-4 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Anubis
ENCE 13 – 11 LILM
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ENCE
LILM
After First Death
ENCE
LILM
After First Kill
ENCE
LILM
Head-to-Head
ENCE
LILM
Ranking
ENCE
LILM
Recent on Anubis
ence
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 4
16-13 vs WW Mar 1
9-13 vs cybershoke Feb 26
13-8 vs 100 thieves Feb 25
9-13 vs illwill Feb 13
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18