Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-04-30
100 Thieves
vs
TDK
50%
50%
Series win probability
100T
2–1
29%
TDK
2–0
28%
TDK
2–1
22%
100T
2–0
21%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — 100 Thieves is slightly favored at 50% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. TDK's best shot is inferno where they hold a 60% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Inferno · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 2
38%
Inferno · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 3
24%
Inferno · Overpass · Anubis
Inferno
100T
10
–
13
TDK
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
TDK
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Pistol Rounds
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
6-13
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
13-8
vs magic
Mar 31
14-16
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
19-15
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
13-3
vs Evo Novo
Mar 8
TDK
10-13
vs magic
Mar 3
13-8
vs alliance
Feb 24
13-9
vs kONO
Feb 23
4-13
vs kONO
Feb 20
16-13
vs GenOne
Feb 20
Overpass
100T
13
–
11
TDK
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
T Side
100T
TDK
Recent on Overpass
100 Thieves
13-10
vs k27
Apr 3
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
TDK
14-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-3
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 18
13-10
vs eternal premium
Apr 2
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 2
13-5
vs Ursa
Mar 24
Dust2
100T
13
–
10
TDK
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-16
vs big
Apr 23
6-13
vs k27
Apr 3
13-7
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-7
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
11-13
vs hotu
Apr 1
TDK
16-13
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-2
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-4
vs MANA
Apr 15
4-13
vs 1win
Apr 4
19-17
vs SPARTA
Apr 2
Inferno
100T
10
–
13
TDK
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
TDK
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Pistol Rounds
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
6-13
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
13-8
vs magic
Mar 31
14-16
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
19-15
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
13-3
vs Evo Novo
Mar 8
TDK
10-13
vs magic
Mar 3
13-8
vs alliance
Feb 24
13-9
vs kONO
Feb 23
4-13
vs kONO
Feb 20
16-13
vs GenOne
Feb 20
Overpass
100T
13
–
11
TDK
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
T Side
100T
TDK
Recent on Overpass
100 Thieves
13-10
vs k27
Apr 3
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
TDK
14-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-3
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 18
13-10
vs eternal premium
Apr 2
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 2
13-5
vs Ursa
Mar 24
Ancient
100T
13
–
8
TDK
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Recent Form (1m)
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
13-3
vs big
Apr 23
5-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-8
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
9-13
vs magic
Mar 31
13-10
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
TDK
9-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
6-13
vs 1win
Apr 4
13-7
vs los kogutos
Mar 23
9-13
vs Nemesis
Mar 21
Inferno
100T
10
–
13
TDK
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
TDK
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Pistol Rounds
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
6-13
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
13-8
vs magic
Mar 31
14-16
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
19-15
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
13-3
vs Evo Novo
Mar 8
TDK
10-13
vs magic
Mar 3
13-8
vs alliance
Feb 24
13-9
vs kONO
Feb 23
4-13
vs kONO
Feb 20
16-13
vs GenOne
Feb 20
Overpass
100T
13
–
11
TDK
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
T Side
100T
TDK
Recent on Overpass
100 Thieves
13-10
vs k27
Apr 3
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 9
TDK
14-16
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-3
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 18
13-10
vs eternal premium
Apr 2
13-11
vs SPARTA
Apr 2
13-5
vs Ursa
Mar 24
Anubis
100T
13
–
10
TDK
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
Opening Kills
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Feb 28
8-13
vs ENCE
Feb 25
TDK
13-6
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-11
vs MANA
Apr 15
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
8-13
vs 1win
Mar 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
100 Thieves
TDK
L
0-2
vs ninjas in pyjamas
MirageAnubis
Apr 25
5d ago
L
1-2
vs big
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
7d ago
L
1-2
vs k27
OverpassNukeDust2
Apr 3
27d ago
W
2-1
vs Lavked
NukeAncientDust2
Apr 2
28d ago
W
2-1
vs ACROBATS
Dust2InfernoAncient
Apr 2
28d ago
W
2-1
vs hotu
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 1
29d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
InfernoMirageAncient
Mar 31
30d ago
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
AncientInfernoNuke
Mar 9
52d ago
L
1-2
vs Johnny Speeds
OverpassInfernoDust2
Mar 9
52d ago
L
0-2
vs AM
Dust2Anubis
Mar 9
52d ago
W
1-0
vs Evo Novo
Inferno
Mar 8
53d ago
L
1-2
vs SPARTA
OverpassDust2Mirage
Apr 25
5d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUBY
MirageOverpass
Apr 18
12d ago
W
2-1
vs Oxuji
AncientAnubisDust2
Apr 17
13d ago
W
2-0
vs MANA
Dust2Anubis
Apr 15
15d ago
W
2-1
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
MirageAnubisAncient
Apr 7
23d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
MirageAnubis
Apr 7
23d ago
L
0-2
vs 1win
Dust2Ancient
Apr 4
26d ago
W
2-0
vs eternal premium
MirageOverpass
Apr 2
28d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
OverpassDust2
Apr 2
28d ago
L
1-2
vs Ursa
Dust2OverpassMirage
Mar 24
37d ago
W
2-0
vs los kogutos
AncientOverpass
Mar 23
38d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
TDK
PO
poiii
RiflerADR 81.9KAST 74%
AX
Ax1Le
AWPADR 82.5KAST 74%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 74%
NA
nafany
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 72%
AG
Ag1l
EntryADR 74.8KAST 74%
XA
Xant3r
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 74%
DE
device
AWPADR 70.8KAST 73%
SU
sugaR
EntryADR 70.2KAST 74%
RA
rain
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
100T
13
–
4
TDK
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Opening Kills
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
CT 4v5
100T
TDK
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
11-13
vs k27
Apr 3
13-1
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-10
vs hotu
Apr 1
13-8
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
13-3
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 8
TDK
no data
Ancient
100T
13
–
8
TDK
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Recent Form (1m)
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
13-3
vs big
Apr 23
5-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-8
vs ACROBATS
Apr 2
9-13
vs magic
Mar 31
13-10
vs FOKUS
Mar 9
TDK
9-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
6-13
vs 1win
Apr 4
13-7
vs los kogutos
Mar 23
9-13
vs Nemesis
Mar 21
Anubis
100T
13
–
10
TDK
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
Opening Kills
100T
TDK
Map Player Rating
100T
TDK
After First Death
100T
TDK
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Feb 28
8-13
vs ENCE
Feb 25
TDK
13-6
vs Oxuji
Apr 17
13-11
vs MANA
Apr 15
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
8-13
vs 1win
Mar 4
Mirage
100T
13
–
11
TDK
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
TDK
Ranking
100T
TDK
After First Kill
100T
TDK
Round Win Rate
100T
TDK
Experience
100T
TDK
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
16-19
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 25
9-13
vs big
Apr 23
13-6
vs hotu
Apr 1
8-13
vs magic
Mar 31
TDK
10-13
vs SPARTA
Apr 25
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 18
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 7
16-14
vs eternal premium
Apr 2
More from Stake Ranked Episode 2 Closed Qualifier
3 matches