Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-13
Monte
vs
G2
13%
87%
Series win probability
G2
2–0
57%
G2
2–1
30%
MONT
2–1
7%
MONT
2–0
6%
Model Insights
G2 is strongly favored at 87%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.05), a strong mirage (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
50%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
28%
Dust2 · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3
22%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
MONT
7
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Pick Rate
MONT
G2
Recent Form (1m)
MONT
G2
Recent on Dust2
Monte
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
G2
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
Ancient
MONT
6
–
13
G2
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Recent on Ancient
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
6-13
vs Legacy
Mar 7
G2
16-12
vs PARIVISION
May 12
13-1
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-9
vs FaZe
May 1
13-11
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-7
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
Mirage
MONT
5
–
13
G2
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Recent Form (1m)
MONT
G2
Pick Rate
MONT
G2
Recent on Mirage
Monte
16-12
vs The Huns
May 12
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
G2
13-5
vs PARIVISION
May 12
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-16
vs FaZe
May 1
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 30
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 15
Dust2
MONT
7
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Pick Rate
MONT
G2
Recent Form (1m)
MONT
G2
Recent on Dust2
Monte
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
G2
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
Ancient
MONT
6
–
13
G2
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Recent on Ancient
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
6-13
vs Legacy
Mar 7
G2
16-12
vs PARIVISION
May 12
13-1
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-9
vs FaZe
May 1
13-11
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-7
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
Inferno
MONT
5
–
13
G2
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
G2
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Dust2
MONT
7
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Pick Rate
MONT
G2
Recent Form (1m)
MONT
G2
Recent on Dust2
Monte
10-13
vs The Huns
May 12
11-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-7
vs magic
May 10
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
G2
11-13
vs PARIVISION
May 12
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
Ancient
MONT
6
–
13
G2
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Recent on Ancient
Monte
10-13
vs Falcons
May 11
13-11
vs magic
May 10
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
6-13
vs Legacy
Mar 7
G2
16-12
vs PARIVISION
May 12
13-1
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-9
vs FaZe
May 1
13-11
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-7
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
Anubis
MONT
8
–
13
G2
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Map Win Rate
MONT
G2
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
G2
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Monte
G2
W
2-1
vs The Huns
NukeDust2Mirage
May 12
1d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Ancient
May 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs magic
AncientDust2
May 10
3d ago
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
4d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
17d ago
W
3-1
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
17d ago
L
1-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 24
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Apr 23
20d ago
L
1-2
vs M80
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
41d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
AncientDust2
Apr 1
42d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
MirageDust2Ancient
May 12
1d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Inferno
May 10
3d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2MirageInferno
May 9
4d ago
W
2-0
vs Fisher College
AncientInferno
May 8
5d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2AncientMirage
May 1
12d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageOverpassDust2
Apr 30
13d ago
W
2-0
vs Astralis
Dust2Overpass
Apr 29
14d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2
Apr 15
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageDust2
Apr 15
28d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 14
29d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 13
30d ago
Player Matchups
Monte
Ratings
G2
AF
afro
AWPADR 78.2KAST 73%
HE
HeavyGod
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 75%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.7KAST 74%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 75%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 73%
NE
NertZ
EntryADR 80.2KAST 72%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 69%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 71.2KAST 76%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 69%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
MONT
5
–
13
G2
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
G2
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
G2
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Overpass
MONT
6
–
13
G2
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Round Win Rate
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
T Side
MONT
G2
Recent on Overpass
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
G2
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
Anubis
MONT
8
–
13
G2
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Map ADR
MONT
G2
Map Win Rate
MONT
G2
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
G2
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
Nuke
MONT
8
–
13
G2
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
G2
Ranking
MONT
G2
After First Death
MONT
G2
Days With Lineup Opp
MONT
G2
Overall Rating
MONT
G2
Recent on Nuke
Monte
13-2
vs The Huns
May 12
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
14-16
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-0
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
9-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
G2
no data
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