Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-16
magic
vs
Falcons
✓
44%
56%
Series win probability
FALC
2–1
30%
FALC
2–0
26%
MAGI
2–0
22%
MAGI
2–1
21%
Actual result
Ancient
13–7
FALC
Dust2
13–5
FALC
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Falcons is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. magic's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 56% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3
22%
Mirage · Dust2 · Inferno
Mirage
MAGI
10
–
13
FALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Days With Lineup Team
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
2-13
vs 9z
May 15
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-8
vs HEROIC
May 12
13-9
vs K27
May 11
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Falcons
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Dust2
MAGI
13
–
10
FALC
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
magic
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
Falcons
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
13-8
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
Ancient
MAGI
9
–
13
FALC
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Days With Lineup Team
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Ancient
magic
13-11
vs 9z
May 15
11-13
vs Monte
May 10
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
Falcons
13-10
vs Monte
May 11
13-11
vs K27
May 9
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
10-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
13-1
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
Mirage
MAGI
10
–
13
FALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Days With Lineup Team
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
2-13
vs 9z
May 15
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-8
vs HEROIC
May 12
13-9
vs K27
May 11
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Falcons
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Dust2
MAGI
13
–
10
FALC
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
magic
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
Falcons
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
13-8
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
8
FALC
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Map ADR
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Anubis
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Mirage
MAGI
10
–
13
FALC
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Days With Lineup Team
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
2-13
vs 9z
May 15
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-8
vs HEROIC
May 12
13-9
vs K27
May 11
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Falcons
9-13
vs FURIA
May 15
16-12
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-9
vs 9z
May 10
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
Dust2
MAGI
13
–
10
FALC
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Schedule Strength
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Dust2
magic
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
Falcons
19-17
vs FURIA
May 15
13-8
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-11
vs Monte
May 11
1-13
vs 9z
May 10
13-5
vs K27
May 9
Inferno
MAGI
16
–
14
FALC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Map ADR
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Inferno
magic
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 12
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
Falcons
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
Recent Results
last 11 matches
magic
Falcons
W
2-1
vs 9z
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 13
14d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
MirageDust2Inferno
May 12
15d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
MirageOverpass
May 11
16d ago
L
0-2
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 10
17d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
MirageInferno
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 3
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Eternal Fire
MirageDust2
May 2
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisMirageAncient
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Drama
InfernoAncient
Apr 5
52d ago
L
0-2
vs big
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
52d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageNukeDust2
May 15
12d ago
W
2-1
vs The MongolZ
Dust2InfernoMirage
May 12
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
Dust2Ancient
May 11
16d ago
L
1-2
vs 9z
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
38d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
39d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
42d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
43d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 13
44d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncient
Mar 27
61d ago
Player Matchups
magic
Ratings
Falcons
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 75.3KAST 73%
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.2KAST 77%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 72%
KY
kyousuke
EntryADR 82.2KAST 73%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 77.5KAST 72%
NI
NiKo
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 72%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 72%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 73%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 75.9KAST 69%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 60.6KAST 65%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
8
FALC
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Map ADR
MAGI
FALC
After First Death
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Anubis
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
Inferno
MAGI
16
–
14
FALC
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
FALC
Overall Rating
MAGI
FALC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
FALC
After First Kill
MAGI
FALC
Map ADR
MAGI
FALC
Recent on Inferno
magic
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 12
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
Falcons
11-13
vs The MongolZ
May 12
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
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