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Bo3  ·  IEM Atlanta 2026 · 2026-05-12
Astralis
vs
Legacy
58%
42%
Series win probability
ASTR 2–1 31%
ASTR 2–0 27%
LEGA 2–0 22%
LEGA 2–1 20%
Model Insights
Astralis has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (61% win probability). Legacy's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 55% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 35% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 33% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3 32% Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Ancient
ASTR 13 – 10 LEGA
60%
40%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
Recent Form (1m)
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Ancient
Astralis
13-11 vs Liquid May 11
5-13 vs FUT Apr 11
16-14 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 9
13-9 vs The MongolZ Apr 6
13-8 vs B8 Apr 5
Legacy
11-13 vs 9z Apr 26
13-1 vs Keyd Stars Apr 23
14-16 vs HOTU Apr 14
4-13 vs B8 Apr 8
11-13 vs Inner Circle Apr 5
Dust2
ASTR 9 – 13 LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
13-4 vs Liquid May 11
5-13 vs G2 Apr 29
3-13 vs FUT Apr 11
13-11 vs 3DMAX Apr 10
8-13 vs FUT Mar 15
Legacy
13-4 vs 9z Apr 26
7-13 vs HOTU Apr 14
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 13
9-13 vs B8 Apr 8
13-6 vs NRG Apr 7
Mirage
ASTR 13 – 11 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
T Side
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
13-5 vs FUT Apr 30
5-13 vs FUT Apr 11
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 9
13-4 vs The MongolZ Apr 6
16-12 vs B8 Apr 5
Legacy
13-7 vs M80 May 11
13-10 vs 9z Apr 26
13-7 vs Keyd Stars Apr 23
13-3 vs alzon Apr 22
4-13 vs MOUZ Apr 13
Dust2
ASTR 9 – 13 LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
13-4 vs Liquid May 11
5-13 vs G2 Apr 29
3-13 vs FUT Apr 11
13-11 vs 3DMAX Apr 10
8-13 vs FUT Mar 15
Legacy
13-4 vs 9z Apr 26
7-13 vs HOTU Apr 14
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 13
9-13 vs B8 Apr 8
13-6 vs NRG Apr 7
Mirage
ASTR 13 – 11 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
T Side
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
13-5 vs FUT Apr 30
5-13 vs FUT Apr 11
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 9
13-4 vs The MongolZ Apr 6
16-12 vs B8 Apr 5
Legacy
13-7 vs M80 May 11
13-10 vs 9z Apr 26
13-7 vs Keyd Stars Apr 23
13-3 vs alzon Apr 22
4-13 vs MOUZ Apr 13
Nuke
ASTR 16 – 14 LEGA
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
T Side
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
Astralis
13-10 vs FUT Apr 30
16-14 vs FUT Apr 11
8-13 vs B8 Apr 5
13-11 vs Aurora Mar 14
13-4 vs FURIA Mar 10
Legacy
4-13 vs 9z Apr 26
13-3 vs 9z Apr 24
13-1 vs alzon Apr 22
9-13 vs MIBR Apr 6
13-4 vs Inner Circle Apr 5
Dust2
ASTR 9 – 13 LEGA
45%
55%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Dust2
Astralis
13-4 vs Liquid May 11
5-13 vs G2 Apr 29
3-13 vs FUT Apr 11
13-11 vs 3DMAX Apr 10
8-13 vs FUT Mar 15
Legacy
13-4 vs 9z Apr 26
7-13 vs HOTU Apr 14
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 13
9-13 vs B8 Apr 8
13-6 vs NRG Apr 7
Mirage
ASTR 13 – 11 LEGA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
T Side
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Mirage
Astralis
13-5 vs FUT Apr 30
5-13 vs FUT Apr 11
8-13 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 9
13-4 vs The MongolZ Apr 6
16-12 vs B8 Apr 5
Legacy
13-7 vs M80 May 11
13-10 vs 9z Apr 26
13-7 vs Keyd Stars Apr 23
13-3 vs alzon Apr 22
4-13 vs MOUZ Apr 13
Overpass
ASTR 10 – 13 LEGA
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 1
9-13 vs G2 Apr 29
13-10 vs 3DMAX Apr 10
13-5 vs MIBR Apr 4
16-12 vs FUT Mar 15
Legacy
8-13 vs Galorys Mar 27
13-8 vs Aurora Mar 13
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 6
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 1
Recent Results last 11 matches
Astralis
Legacy
W 2-0 vs Liquid Dust2Ancient May 11 1d ago
L 0-2 vs GamerLegion OverpassInferno May 1 11d ago
W 2-0 vs FUT MirageNuke Apr 30 12d ago
L 0-2 vs G2 Dust2Overpass Apr 29 13d ago
L 1-3 vs FUT AncientMirageNukeDust2 Apr 11 31d ago
W 2-0 vs 3DMAX Dust2Overpass Apr 10 32d ago
W 2-1 vs EYEBALLERS MirageAncientInferno Apr 9 33d ago
W 2-0 vs The MongolZ MirageAncient Apr 6 36d ago
W 2-1 vs B8 MirageNukeAncient Apr 5 37d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR MirageOverpass Apr 4 38d ago
W 2-1 vs FUT Dust2AncientOverpass Mar 15 58d ago
W 2-0 vs M80 InfernoMirage May 11 1d ago
W 3-2 vs 9z AncientDust2MirageNukeAnubis Apr 26 16d ago
W 2-0 vs 9z InfernoNuke Apr 24 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars AncientMirage Apr 23 19d ago
W 2-0 vs alzon NukeMirage Apr 22 20d ago
L 0-2 vs HOTU Dust2Ancient Apr 14 28d ago
L 1-2 vs MOUZ Dust2InfernoMirage Apr 13 29d ago
L 0-2 vs B8 Dust2Ancient Apr 8 34d ago
W 2-0 vs NRG Dust2Inferno Apr 7 35d ago
L 1-2 vs MIBR InfernoMirageNuke Apr 6 36d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle AncientNukeMirage Apr 5 37d ago
Player Matchups
Astralis
Ratings
Legacy
ST
Staehr
EntryADR 83.0KAST 72%
1.19 vs 1.20
DU
dumau
EntryADR 86.7KAST 75%
JA
jabbi
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.11
LA
latto
RiflerADR 75.6KAST 77%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 73.3KAST 73%
1.10 vs 1.10
SA
saadzin
AWPADR 70.0KAST 75%
RY
ryu
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 72%
0.99 vs 1.08
N1
n1ssim
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 75%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 68%
0.88 vs 0.97
AR
arT
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
ASTR 13 – 9 LEGA
63%
37%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Death
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Inferno
Astralis
14-16 vs GamerLegion May 1
13-2 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 9
10-13 vs Aurora Mar 14
13-4 vs FURIA Mar 10
16-14 vs FaZe Mar 9
Legacy
13-5 vs M80 May 11
13-9 vs 9z Apr 24
10-13 vs MOUZ Apr 13
13-6 vs NRG Apr 7
10-13 vs MIBR Apr 6
Anubis
ASTR 9 – 13 LEGA
37%
63%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Anubis
Astralis
no data
Legacy
13-11 vs 9z Apr 26
11-13 vs 9z Mar 30
Overpass
ASTR 10 – 13 LEGA
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Map ADR
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Round Win Rate
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Overpass
Astralis
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 1
9-13 vs G2 Apr 29
13-10 vs 3DMAX Apr 10
13-5 vs MIBR Apr 4
16-12 vs FUT Mar 15
Legacy
8-13 vs Galorys Mar 27
13-8 vs Aurora Mar 13
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 6
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 1
Nuke
ASTR 16 – 14 LEGA
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
ASTR
LEGA
After First Kill
ASTR
LEGA
Overall Rating
ASTR
LEGA
Schedule Strength
ASTR
LEGA
T Side
ASTR
LEGA
Recent on Nuke
Astralis
13-10 vs FUT Apr 30
16-14 vs FUT Apr 11
8-13 vs B8 Apr 5
13-11 vs Aurora Mar 14
13-4 vs FURIA Mar 10
Legacy
4-13 vs 9z Apr 26
13-3 vs 9z Apr 24
13-1 vs alzon Apr 22
9-13 vs MIBR Apr 6
13-4 vs Inner Circle Apr 5
More from IEM Atlanta 2026 5 matches
B8 over BC.Game 68% FaZe over NRG 76% FUT over paiN 92% Natus Vincere over GamerLegion 74% M80 over Liquid 62%