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Bo3  ·  IEM Atlanta 2026 · 2026-05-12
Liquid
vs
M80
38%
62%
Series win probability
M80 2–0 35%
M80 2–1 26%
LIQU 2–1 22%
LIQU 2–0 16%
Model Insights
M80 has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.00), a significant ranking advantage (#27 vs #51), a strong ancient (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Ancient · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 38% Ancient · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 3 19% Ancient · Inferno · Anubis
Ancient
LIQU 8 13 M80
34%
66%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3dmax Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
13-2 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
M80
9-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
4-13 vs Monte Apr 1
13-7 vs Liquid Mar 31
11-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
5-13 vs FUT Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU 10 13 M80
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13 vs M80 Mar 31
6-13 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs Alliance Mar 15
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 14
13-16 vs Famalicão Mar 13
M80
5-13 vs Legacy May 11
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs Alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs Monte Apr 2
Mirage
LIQU 10 13 M80
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Recent on Mirage
Liquid
13-8 vs HAVU Mar 31
16-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
10-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 22
19-17 vs ninjas in pyjamas Mar 21
8-13 vs Spirit Mar 19
M80
7-13 vs Legacy May 11
13-8 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-5 vs InControl Apr 25
13-5 vs Marsborne Apr 25
13-10 vs Monte Apr 2
Ancient
LIQU 8 13 M80
34%
66%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3dmax Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
13-2 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
M80
9-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
4-13 vs Monte Apr 1
13-7 vs Liquid Mar 31
11-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
5-13 vs FUT Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU 10 13 M80
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13 vs M80 Mar 31
6-13 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs Alliance Mar 15
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 14
13-16 vs Famalicão Mar 13
M80
5-13 vs Legacy May 11
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs Alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs Monte Apr 2
Dust2
LIQU 7 13 M80
28%
72%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
4-13 vs Astralis May 11
11-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
13-7 vs HAVU Mar 31
25-23 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 14
M80
16-14 vs Wildcard May 4
13-1 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-3 vs Monte Apr 2
10-13 vs Monte Apr 1
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Mar 30
Ancient
LIQU 8 13 M80
34%
66%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Overall Rating
LIQU
M80
Pick Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
11-13 vs Astralis May 11
5-13 vs 3dmax Apr 14
2-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
7-13 vs M80 Mar 31
13-2 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
M80
9-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
4-13 vs Monte Apr 1
13-7 vs Liquid Mar 31
11-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
5-13 vs FUT Mar 1
Inferno
LIQU 10 13 M80
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Round Win Rate
LIQU
M80
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
9-13 vs M80 Mar 31
6-13 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs Alliance Mar 15
13-9 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 14
13-16 vs Famalicão Mar 13
M80
5-13 vs Legacy May 11
13-10 vs Wildcard May 4
13-3 vs InControl Apr 25
13-2 vs Alliance Apr 2
8-13 vs Monte Apr 2
Anubis
LIQU 7 13 M80
29%
71%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Team
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Opp
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
M80
8-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
11-13 vs Alliance Apr 2
13-10 vs Aurora Mar 31
3-13 vs Liquid Mar 4
13-3 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
Recent Results last 11 matches
Liquid
M80
L 0-2 vs Astralis Dust2Ancient May 11 1d ago
L 0-2 vs 3dmax NukeAncient Apr 14 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit AncientDust2 Apr 13 29d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 AncientInferno Mar 31 42d ago
W 2-1 vs HAVU NukeMirageDust2 Mar 31 42d ago
L 0-2 vs Sashi NukeAnubis Mar 31 42d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle MirageAncient Mar 30 43d ago
L 0-2 vs The MongolZ AncientMirage Mar 22 51d ago
W 2-1 vs ninjas in pyjamas NukeMirageAncient Mar 21 52d ago
L 0-2 vs Spirit MirageAncient Mar 19 54d ago
L 1-2 vs OG InfernoDust2Ancient Mar 15 58d ago
L 0-2 vs Legacy InfernoMirage May 11 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Wildcard Dust2Inferno May 4 8d ago
W 2-0 vs It's a Secret Dust2Mirage Apr 25 17d ago
W 2-0 vs InControl MirageInferno Apr 25 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Marsborne MirageAncientAnubis Apr 25 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Alliance AnubisInfernoOverpass Apr 2 40d ago
W 2-1 vs Monte InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 40d ago
L 0-2 vs Monte AncientDust2 Apr 1 41d ago
W 2-0 vs Liquid AncientInferno Mar 31 42d ago
W 2-1 vs Aurora InfernoAnubisOverpass Mar 31 42d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS InfernoDust2 Mar 30 43d ago
Player Matchups
Liquid
Ratings
M80
MA
malbsMd
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.17
SW
Swisher
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 75%
NA
NAF
EntryADR 74.2KAST 71%
1.03 vs 1.13
SL
slaxz-
AWPADR 70.4KAST 76%
EL
EliGE
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 71%
1.03 vs 1.13
LA
Lake
EntryADR 80.2KAST 74%
UL
ultimate
AWPADR 65.7KAST 70%
0.99 vs 1.06
JB
JBa
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 75%
SI
siuhy
RiflerADR 62.0KAST 67%
0.86 vs 1.01
S1
s1n
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 2 maps
Dust2
LIQU 7 13 M80
28%
72%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Schedule Strength
LIQU
M80
Map ADR
LIQU
M80
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
4-13 vs Astralis May 11
11-13 vs Spirit Apr 13
13-7 vs HAVU Mar 31
25-23 vs OG Mar 15
13-6 vs EYEBALLERS Mar 14
M80
16-14 vs Wildcard May 4
13-1 vs It's a Secret Apr 25
13-3 vs Monte Apr 2
10-13 vs Monte Apr 1
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS Mar 30
Anubis
LIQU 7 13 M80
29%
71%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
M80
After First Kill
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Team
LIQU
M80
Days With Lineup Opp
LIQU
M80
After First Death
LIQU
M80
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
M80
8-13 vs Marsborne Apr 25
11-13 vs Alliance Apr 2
13-10 vs Aurora Mar 31
3-13 vs Liquid Mar 4
13-3 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Mar 2
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