Bo3 · Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026
· 2026-05-12
Alter Ego
vs
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
34%
66%
Series win probability
TD
2–0
34%
TD
2–1
33%
AE
2–0
17%
AE
2–1
16%
Model Insights
THUNDER dOWNUNDER has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.10), a significant ranking advantage (#65 vs #133), a strong overpass (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Nuke · Anubis · Overpass
Scenario 2
36%
Nuke · Anubis · Dust2
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Anubis · Ancient
Nuke
AE
10
–
13
TD
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
Recent on Nuke
Alter Ego
13-5
vs Rooster
May 2
13-10
vs Last Bullet
May 1
1-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 27
13-10
vs FengDa
Mar 26
13-9
vs Just Swing
Mar 24
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7
vs Arcade
Mar 16
13-11
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
22-20
vs Ground Zero
Mar 14
13-6
vs Time Waves
Mar 11
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Mar 11
Anubis
AE
8
–
13
TD
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
T Side
AE
TD
Map ADR
AE
TD
Recent on Anubis
Alter Ego
8-13
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 21
9-13
vs FlyQuest
Mar 11
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-5
vs Ground Zero
May 3
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
13-3
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-9
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Overpass
AE
8
–
13
TD
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
Map ADR
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Recent on Overpass
Alter Ego
7-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 11
13-9
vs Rooster
May 2
14-16
vs The QUBE
Mar 25
10-13
vs Last Bullet
Mar 22
13-6
vs Rare Atom
Mar 20
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
11-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
13-10
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
13-6
vs Rooster
Feb 8
13-3
vs Underground
Feb 6
13-7
vs Mindfreak
Feb 6
Nuke
AE
10
–
13
TD
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
Recent on Nuke
Alter Ego
13-5
vs Rooster
May 2
13-10
vs Last Bullet
May 1
1-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 27
13-10
vs FengDa
Mar 26
13-9
vs Just Swing
Mar 24
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7
vs Arcade
Mar 16
13-11
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
22-20
vs Ground Zero
Mar 14
13-6
vs Time Waves
Mar 11
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Mar 11
Anubis
AE
8
–
13
TD
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
T Side
AE
TD
Map ADR
AE
TD
Recent on Anubis
Alter Ego
8-13
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 21
9-13
vs FlyQuest
Mar 11
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-5
vs Ground Zero
May 3
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
13-3
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-9
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Dust2
AE
8
–
13
TD
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Recent on Dust2
Alter Ego
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 11
13-9
vs Last Bullet
May 1
13-7
vs The QUBE
Apr 26
4-13
vs FengDa
Mar 26
13-6
vs The QUBE
Mar 25
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-7
vs Ground Zero
May 3
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Mar 11
13-3
vs Ground Zero
Feb 26
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Feb 24
Nuke
AE
10
–
13
TD
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
Recent on Nuke
Alter Ego
13-5
vs Rooster
May 2
13-10
vs Last Bullet
May 1
1-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 27
13-10
vs FengDa
Mar 26
13-9
vs Just Swing
Mar 24
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-7
vs Arcade
Mar 16
13-11
vs Ground Zero
Mar 15
22-20
vs Ground Zero
Mar 14
13-6
vs Time Waves
Mar 11
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Mar 11
Anubis
AE
8
–
13
TD
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
T Side
AE
TD
Map ADR
AE
TD
Recent on Anubis
Alter Ego
8-13
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 21
9-13
vs FlyQuest
Mar 11
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-5
vs Ground Zero
May 3
13-7
vs Abyssal
Apr 29
13-3
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-9
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Ancient
AE
8
–
13
TD
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Schedule Strength
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
Recent on Ancient
Alter Ego
13-9
vs The QUBE
Mar 25
5-13
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 21
13-11
vs Rare Atom
Mar 20
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-6
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
13-10
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
16-19
vs SemperFi
Mar 14
11-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Alter Ego
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
L
0-2
vs Lynn Vision
Dust2Overpass
May 11
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Rooster
NukeOverpass
May 2
10d ago
W
2-0
vs Last Bullet
Dust2Nuke
May 1
11d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
MirageNuke
Apr 27
15d ago
W
2-0
vs The QUBE
Dust2Mirage
Apr 26
16d ago
L
1-2
vs FengDa
NukeMirageDust2
Mar 26
47d ago
W
2-1
vs The QUBE
OverpassAncientDust2
Mar 25
48d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Swing
NukeDust2
Mar 24
49d ago
W
2-0
vs Haunted House
NukeDust2
Mar 23
50d ago
W
2-1
vs Last Bullet
OverpassMirageDust2
Mar 22
51d ago
L
1-2
vs BORING PLAYERS
NukeAnubisAncient
Mar 21
52d ago
L
0-2
vs Haunted House
Dust2Anubis
May 11
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Ground Zero
Dust2Anubis
May 3
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Abyssal
OverpassAnubisInferno
Apr 29
13d ago
W
2-0
vs low cortisol
AnubisAncient
Apr 27
15d ago
W
1-0
vs Arcade
Nuke
Mar 16
57d ago
W
2-1
vs SemperFi
AncientInfernoAnubis
Mar 16
57d ago
W
2-0
vs SemperFi
AncientInferno
Mar 16
57d ago
W
1-0
vs Time Waves
Inferno
Mar 15
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Ground Zero
AnubisInfernoNuke
Mar 15
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Ground Zero
AnubisInfernoNuke
Mar 14
59d ago
W
2-1
vs SemperFi
InfernoAncientAnubis
Mar 14
59d ago
Player Matchups
Alter Ego
Ratings
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
BO
BOROS
RiflerADR 93.0KAST 69%
AS
asap
EntryADR 81.9KAST 77%
PO
Polbandana
EntryADR 79.3KAST 75%
LI
Liazz
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 77%
PO
PokemoN
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 71%
AL
aliStair
AWPADR 72.8KAST 76%
BN
BnTeT
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 74%
TJ
TjP
RiflerADR 73.7KAST 72%
GR
Gratisfaction
AWPADR 69.0KAST 72%
DE
dexter
RiflerADR 78.1KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Dust2
AE
8
–
13
TD
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
After First Death
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Recent on Dust2
Alter Ego
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
May 11
13-9
vs Last Bullet
May 1
13-7
vs The QUBE
Apr 26
4-13
vs FengDa
Mar 26
13-6
vs The QUBE
Mar 25
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
10-13
vs Haunted House
May 11
13-7
vs Ground Zero
May 3
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Mar 11
13-3
vs Ground Zero
Feb 26
13-8
vs Ground Zero
Feb 24
Ancient
AE
8
–
13
TD
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
AE
TD
After First Kill
AE
TD
Schedule Strength
AE
TD
Round Win Rate
AE
TD
Overall Rating
AE
TD
Recent on Ancient
Alter Ego
13-9
vs The QUBE
Mar 25
5-13
vs BORING PLAYERS
Mar 21
13-11
vs Rare Atom
Mar 20
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
13-5
vs low cortisol
Apr 27
13-6
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
13-10
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
16-19
vs SemperFi
Mar 14
11-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 13
More from Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026
2 matches