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Bo3  ·  Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · 2026-05-12
Change The Game
vs
Last Bullet
33%
67%
Series win probability
LB 2–0 34%
LB 2–1 32%
CTG 2–1 18%
CTG 2–0 16%
Model Insights
Last Bullet has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (69% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 48% Inferno · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 2 41% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 11% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Inferno
CTG 16 14 LB
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
CTG
LB
After First Death
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Opp
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Team
CTG
LB
Recent on Inferno
Change The Game
5-13 vs SemperFi May 11
4-13 vs TYLOO Apr 3
13-10 vs last bullet Apr 2
5-13 vs Lynn Vision Mar 30
8-13 vs morningstar Mar 10
Last Bullet
11-13 vs NEXVOID Apr 3
10-13 vs Change The Game Apr 2
0-13 vs Change The Game Feb 23
Mirage
CTG 8 13 LB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Pick Rate
CTG
LB
Recent on Mirage
Change The Game
2-13 vs SemperFi May 11
7-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
2-13 vs TYLOO Apr 3
10-13 vs last bullet Apr 2
13-9 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
Last Bullet
5-13 vs Kaleido May 11
25-22 vs Arise Apr 27
16-13 vs BMZ Apr 26
13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2
13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1
Dust2
CTG 9 13 LB
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Team
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Opp
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Recent on Dust2
Change The Game
13-11 vs last bullet Apr 2
16-14 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
13-11 vs Chaos Mar 9
4-13 vs morningstar Feb 24
13-10 vs Last Bullet Feb 23
Last Bullet
16-13 vs Kaleido May 11
13-4 vs Rooster May 3
13-16 vs Just Swing May 2
9-13 vs Alter Ego May 1
13-7 vs Just Swing Apr 29
Mirage
CTG 8 13 LB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Pick Rate
CTG
LB
Recent on Mirage
Change The Game
2-13 vs SemperFi May 11
7-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
2-13 vs TYLOO Apr 3
10-13 vs last bullet Apr 2
13-9 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
Last Bullet
5-13 vs Kaleido May 11
25-22 vs Arise Apr 27
16-13 vs BMZ Apr 26
13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2
13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1
Dust2
CTG 9 13 LB
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Team
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Opp
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Recent on Dust2
Change The Game
13-11 vs last bullet Apr 2
16-14 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
13-11 vs Chaos Mar 9
4-13 vs morningstar Feb 24
13-10 vs Last Bullet Feb 23
Last Bullet
16-13 vs Kaleido May 11
13-4 vs Rooster May 3
13-16 vs Just Swing May 2
9-13 vs Alter Ego May 1
13-7 vs Just Swing Apr 29
Ancient
CTG 8 13 LB
28%
72%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Pick Rate
CTG
LB
Schedule Strength
CTG
LB
Recent on Ancient
Change The Game
13-8 vs SemperFi May 11
11-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
8-13 vs Lynn Vision Mar 30
13-16 vs morningstar Mar 10
3-13 vs Last Bullet Feb 23
Last Bullet
4-13 vs Kaleido May 11
13-7 vs Just Swing May 2
10-13 vs Just Swing Apr 29
5-13 vs BMZ Apr 26
7-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25
Mirage
CTG 8 13 LB
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Pick Rate
CTG
LB
Recent on Mirage
Change The Game
2-13 vs SemperFi May 11
7-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
2-13 vs TYLOO Apr 3
10-13 vs last bullet Apr 2
13-9 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
Last Bullet
5-13 vs Kaleido May 11
25-22 vs Arise Apr 27
16-13 vs BMZ Apr 26
13-10 vs Change The Game Apr 2
13-11 vs Chaos Apr 1
Dust2
CTG 9 13 LB
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
CTG
LB
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Team
CTG
LB
Days With Lineup Opp
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Recent on Dust2
Change The Game
13-11 vs last bullet Apr 2
16-14 vs Last Bullet Mar 30
13-11 vs Chaos Mar 9
4-13 vs morningstar Feb 24
13-10 vs Last Bullet Feb 23
Last Bullet
16-13 vs Kaleido May 11
13-4 vs Rooster May 3
13-16 vs Just Swing May 2
9-13 vs Alter Ego May 1
13-7 vs Just Swing Apr 29
Overpass
CTG 10 13 LB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
CTG
LB
After First Death
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Round Win Rate
CTG
LB
Recent on Overpass
Change The Game
13-9 vs Legion Feb 20
Last Bullet
13-9 vs Rooster May 3
13-10 vs Alter Ego Mar 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
Change The Game
Last Bullet
L 1-2 vs SemperFi InfernoAncientMirage May 11 1d ago
L 0-2 vs TYLOO MirageAncient Apr 4 38d ago
L 0-2 vs TYLOO InfernoMirage Apr 3 39d ago
W 2-1 vs last bullet Dust2MirageInferno Apr 2 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Last Bullet MirageDust2 Mar 30 43d ago
L 0-2 vs Lynn Vision InfernoAncient Mar 30 43d ago
L 0-2 vs morningstar InfernoAncient Mar 10 63d ago
W 2-0 vs Chaos Dust2Mirage Mar 9 64d ago
L 0-1 vs Chinggis Warriors Mirage Mar 8 65d ago
L 1-2 vs morningstar InfernoMirageDust2 Feb 24 77d ago
W 2-1 vs Last Bullet AncientDust2Inferno Feb 23 78d ago
L 1-2 vs Kaleido Dust2AncientMirage May 11 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Rooster Dust2Overpass May 3 9d ago
W 2-1 vs Just Swing NukeDust2Ancient May 2 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Alter Ego Dust2Nuke May 1 11d ago
L 1-2 vs Just Swing NukeDust2Ancient Apr 29 13d ago
W 2-0 vs Arise Dust2Mirage Apr 27 15d ago
L 1-2 vs BMZ MirageDust2Ancient Apr 26 16d ago
L 1-2 vs NEXVOID Dust2InfernoNuke Apr 3 39d ago
L 1-2 vs Change The Game Dust2MirageInferno Apr 2 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Chaos Dust2Mirage Apr 1 41d ago
L 0-2 vs Change The Game MirageDust2 Mar 30 43d ago
Player Matchups
Change The Game
Ratings
Last Bullet
PR
ProKiller
EntryADR 85.5KAST 74%
1.19 vs 1.10
MI
Miami
EntryADR 78.2KAST 72%
HA
Hack1ng
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.05
LA
lan
AWPADR 74.4KAST 69%
VA
VanceKK
AWPADR 70.3KAST 71%
0.99 vs 1.02
RO
Roninbaby
RiflerADR 78.9KAST 68%
LA
LaiKeXu
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 69%
0.97 vs 1.01
BZ
BZA
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 72%
95
957
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 68%
0.91 vs 0.90
B1
B1NGO
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 2 maps
Ancient
CTG 8 13 LB
28%
72%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Pick Rate
CTG
LB
Schedule Strength
CTG
LB
Recent on Ancient
Change The Game
13-8 vs SemperFi May 11
11-13 vs TYLOO Apr 4
8-13 vs Lynn Vision Mar 30
13-16 vs morningstar Mar 10
3-13 vs Last Bullet Feb 23
Last Bullet
4-13 vs Kaleido May 11
13-7 vs Just Swing May 2
10-13 vs Just Swing Apr 29
5-13 vs BMZ Apr 26
7-13 vs Rare Atom Mar 25
Overpass
CTG 10 13 LB
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
CTG
LB
After First Death
CTG
LB
Ranking
CTG
LB
Map ADR
CTG
LB
Round Win Rate
CTG
LB
Recent on Overpass
Change The Game
13-9 vs Legion Feb 20
Last Bullet
13-9 vs Rooster May 3
13-10 vs Alter Ego Mar 22
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