Bo3 · Parken Challenger Championship Season 8
· 2026-05-24
Fortress
vs
STATE
✓
31%
69%
Series win probability
STAT
2–0
87%
STAT
2–1
12%
FORT
2–1
1%
FORT
2–0
0%
Actual result
Inferno
13–6
STAT
Nuke
13–7
STAT
Model Insights
STATE is strongly favored at 99%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 0.97), a significant ranking advantage (#110 vs #181), a strong nuke (96% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Ancient · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 2
41%
Ancient · Overpass · Inferno
Scenario 3
17%
Ancient · Overpass · Mirage
Ancient
FORT
4
–
13
STAT
9%
91%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 14
5-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 24
13-1
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
5-13
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
Nuke
FORT
2
–
13
STAT
4%
96%
Win prob
✓
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Ban Rate
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Recent on Nuke
Fortress
no data
STATE
13-11
vs Invicta
May 23
13-5
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
13-7
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
9-13
vs XI
Apr 25
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 11
Overpass
FORT
2
–
13
STAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Recent on Overpass
Fortress
13-9
vs Strael Bora
May 24
16-12
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
8-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
10-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-3
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
13-0
vs XI
Apr 25
13-10
vs ENCE
Apr 6
11-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 3
Ancient
FORT
4
–
13
STAT
9%
91%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 14
5-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 24
13-1
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
5-13
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
Overpass
FORT
2
–
13
STAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Recent on Overpass
Fortress
13-9
vs Strael Bora
May 24
16-12
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
8-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
10-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-3
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
13-0
vs XI
Apr 25
13-10
vs ENCE
Apr 6
11-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 3
Inferno
FORT
6
–
13
STAT
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Recent on Inferno
Fortress
14-16
vs Invicta
May 23
13-5
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
STATE
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 24
13-10
vs BRUTE
Apr 28
10-13
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
13-4
vs ESC
Apr 7
8-13
vs Nemesis
Mar 31
Ancient
FORT
4
–
13
STAT
9%
91%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
16-14
vs Strael Bora
May 24
13-7
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
6-13
vs AaB
Mar 14
5-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 24
13-1
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
7-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-7
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
5-13
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
Overpass
FORT
2
–
13
STAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Recent on Overpass
Fortress
13-9
vs Strael Bora
May 24
16-12
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
8-13
vs Tricked
Mar 14
STATE
10-13
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
13-3
vs MASONIC
Apr 26
13-0
vs XI
Apr 25
13-10
vs ENCE
Apr 6
11-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 3
Mirage
FORT
4
–
13
STAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Side Balance
FORT
STAT
Recent on Mirage
Fortress
9-13
vs Invicta
May 23
STATE
13-3
vs Invicta
May 23
16-12
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
7-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 11
7-13
vs ENCE
Apr 6
4-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 5
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Fortress
STATE
L
0-2
vs Invicta
MirageInferno
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs 95 Vikings
Dust2Ancient
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs Sashi Academy
OverpassInferno
May 23
4d ago
L
0-1
vs AaB
Ancient
Mar 14
74d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
AncientOverpass
Mar 14
74d ago
W
2-0
vs 95 Vikings
AnubisAncient
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs Invicta
MirageNuke
May 23
4d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
InfernoAnubis
Apr 28
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Lilmix
AncientMirageOverpass
Apr 27
30d ago
W
2-1
vs Sashi Academy
InfernoNukeAncient
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-1
vs MASONIC
AncientOverpassNuke
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-1
vs XI
AncientNukeOverpass
Apr 25
32d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
NukeMirageAnubis
Apr 11
46d ago
L
1-2
vs ESC
InfernoAncientNuke
Apr 7
50d ago
W
2-1
vs ENCE
OverpassMirageAncient
Apr 6
51d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
NukeMirageAnubis
Apr 5
52d ago
Player Matchups
Fortress
Ratings
STATE
GR
GrEnNiE
EntryADR 82.6KAST 71%
SL
sL1m3
AWPADR 74.4KAST 71%
BR
Brand
RiflerADR 77.3KAST 72%
ZA
Zanto
RiflerADR 70.6KAST 73%
BU
Bukki
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 70%
KW
kwezz
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 71%
AS
As K
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 68%
TH
thamlike
EntryADR 72.3KAST 74%
K1
K1ngShield
AWPADR 57.4KAST 53%
PA
Patti
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
FORT
3
–
13
STAT
4%
96%
Win prob
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Ban Rate
FORT
STAT
Recent on Anubis
Fortress
no data
STATE
13-4
vs 95 Vikings
May 23
13-8
vs BRUTE
Apr 28
14-16
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 11
10-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 5
7-13
vs BIG Academy
Mar 26
Mirage
FORT
4
–
13
STAT
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Side Balance
FORT
STAT
Recent on Mirage
Fortress
9-13
vs Invicta
May 23
STATE
13-3
vs Invicta
May 23
16-12
vs Lilmix
Apr 27
7-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 11
7-13
vs ENCE
Apr 6
4-13
vs ex-RUBY
Apr 5
Inferno
FORT
6
–
13
STAT
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
FORT
STAT
After First Death
FORT
STAT
Map Firepower
FORT
STAT
Map ADR
FORT
STAT
After First Kill
FORT
STAT
Recent on Inferno
Fortress
14-16
vs Invicta
May 23
13-5
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
STATE
6-13
vs 100 Thieves
May 24
13-10
vs BRUTE
Apr 28
10-13
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 26
13-4
vs ESC
Apr 7
8-13
vs Nemesis
Mar 31
More from Parken Challenger Championship Season 8
2 matches