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Bo3  ·  Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 · 2026-05-24
100 Thieves
vs
STATE
69%
31%
Series win probability
100T 2–0 53%
100T 2–1 36%
STAT 2–0 7%
STAT 2–1 4%
Actual result
Ancient 13–11 STAT
Mirage 13–9 STAT
Model Insights
100 Thieves is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.12 vs 1.04), a significant ranking advantage (#43 vs #106), a strong ancient (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 37% Inferno · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3 14% Inferno · Nuke · Mirage
Inferno
100T 13 6 STAT
76%
24%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Map Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-6 vs STATE May 24
13-5 vs Eternal 21 May 23
10-13 vs Acend May 11
13-2 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
7-13 vs Sharks May 3
STATE
6-13 vs 100 Thieves May 24
13-6 vs Fortress May 24
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 28
10-13 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
Nuke
100T 13 7 STAT
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Round Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Overall Rating
100T
STAT
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
13-2 vs Eternal 21 May 23
13-2 vs Sashi Academy May 23
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
6-13 vs Lavked May 13
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
STATE
13-7 vs Fortress May 24
13-11 vs Invicta May 23
13-5 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-7 vs MASONIC Apr 26
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
Ancient
100T 13 3 STAT
90%
10%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
After First Kill
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Map Win Rate
100T
STAT
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
13-6 vs STATE May 24
13-11 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
17-19 vs Lavked May 13
13-9 vs Acend May 11
13-6 vs A Great Chaos May 10
STATE
6-13 vs 100 Thieves May 24
13-1 vs 95 Vikings May 23
7-13 vs Lilmix Apr 27
13-7 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
5-13 vs MASONIC Apr 26
Inferno
100T 13 6 STAT
76%
24%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Map Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-6 vs STATE May 24
13-5 vs Eternal 21 May 23
10-13 vs Acend May 11
13-2 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
7-13 vs Sharks May 3
STATE
6-13 vs 100 Thieves May 24
13-6 vs Fortress May 24
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 28
10-13 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
Nuke
100T 13 7 STAT
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Round Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Overall Rating
100T
STAT
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
13-2 vs Eternal 21 May 23
13-2 vs Sashi Academy May 23
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
6-13 vs Lavked May 13
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
STATE
13-7 vs Fortress May 24
13-11 vs Invicta May 23
13-5 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-7 vs MASONIC Apr 26
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
Overpass
100T 13 6 STAT
78%
22%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Ban Rate
100T
STAT
After First Kill
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Recent on Overpass
100 Thieves
13-6 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 11
13-10 vs K27 Apr 3
9-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 9
STATE
10-13 vs Lilmix Apr 27
13-3 vs MASONIC Apr 26
13-0 vs XI Apr 25
13-10 vs ENCE Apr 6
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
Inferno
100T 13 6 STAT
76%
24%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Map Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-6 vs STATE May 24
13-5 vs Eternal 21 May 23
10-13 vs Acend May 11
13-2 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
7-13 vs Sharks May 3
STATE
6-13 vs 100 Thieves May 24
13-6 vs Fortress May 24
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 28
10-13 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-4 vs ESC Apr 7
Nuke
100T 13 7 STAT
70%
30%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Round Win Rate
100T
STAT
vs Top 50
100T
STAT
Overall Rating
100T
STAT
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
13-2 vs Eternal 21 May 23
13-2 vs Sashi Academy May 23
10-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
6-13 vs Lavked May 13
13-3 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 10
STATE
13-7 vs Fortress May 24
13-11 vs Invicta May 23
13-5 vs Sashi Academy Apr 26
13-7 vs MASONIC Apr 26
9-13 vs XI Apr 25
Mirage
100T 13 6 STAT
69%
31%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Ban Rate
100T
STAT
Map ADR
100T
STAT
After First Kill
100T
STAT
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-0 vs Sashi Academy May 23
17-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
13-11 vs Acend May 11
13-7 vs A Great Chaos May 10
13-7 vs illwill May 2
STATE
13-3 vs Invicta May 23
16-12 vs Lilmix Apr 27
7-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
7-13 vs ENCE Apr 6
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
Recent Results last 11 matches
100 Thieves
STATE
W 2-0 vs Eternal 21 NukeInferno May 23 4d ago
W 2-0 vs Sashi Academy MirageNuke May 23 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES AncientNukeMirage May 19 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeAncient May 13 14d ago
W 2-1 vs Acend MirageInfernoAncient May 11 16d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS Dust2Overpass May 11 16d ago
W 2-0 vs A Great Chaos MirageAncient May 10 17d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS NukeInferno May 10 17d ago
L 0-2 vs Sharks InfernoNuke May 3 24d ago
W 2-1 vs illwill AncientMirageNuke May 2 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas MirageAnubis Apr 25 32d ago
W 2-0 vs 95 Vikings AnubisAncient May 23 4d ago
W 2-0 vs Invicta MirageNuke May 23 4d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE InfernoAnubis Apr 28 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Lilmix AncientMirageOverpass Apr 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Sashi Academy InfernoNukeAncient Apr 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs MASONIC AncientOverpassNuke Apr 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs XI AncientNukeOverpass Apr 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirageAnubis Apr 11 46d ago
L 1-2 vs ESC InfernoAncientNuke Apr 7 50d ago
W 2-1 vs ENCE OverpassMirageAncient Apr 6 51d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirageAnubis Apr 5 52d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
STATE
PO
poiii
RiflerADR 84.1KAST 75%
1.20 vs 1.09
SL
sL1m3
AWPADR 74.4KAST 71%
DE
device
AWPADR 75.1KAST 75%
1.14 vs 1.07
ZA
Zanto
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 73%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 74%
1.12 vs 1.06
KW
kwezz
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 71%
AG
Ag1l
EntryADR 75.0KAST 74%
1.10 vs 1.05
TH
thamlike
EntryADR 72.7KAST 74%
RA
rain
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 73%
1.02 vs 0.95
PA
Patti
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
100T 13 5 STAT
81%
19%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Ban Rate
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
CT 4v5
100T
STAT
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
11-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 25
17-19 vs AM Mar 9
13-7 vs FlyQuest Feb 28
8-13 vs ENCE Feb 25
STATE
13-4 vs 95 Vikings May 23
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 28
14-16 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
10-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
7-13 vs BIG Academy Mar 26
Overpass
100T 13 6 STAT
78%
22%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Ban Rate
100T
STAT
After First Kill
100T
STAT
After First Death
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Recent on Overpass
100 Thieves
13-6 vs BASEMENT BOYS May 11
13-10 vs K27 Apr 3
9-13 vs Johnny Speeds Mar 9
STATE
10-13 vs Lilmix Apr 27
13-3 vs MASONIC Apr 26
13-0 vs XI Apr 25
13-10 vs ENCE Apr 6
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 3
Mirage
100T 13 6 STAT
69%
31%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
100T
STAT
Trade Score N75 Diff
100T
STAT
Ban Rate
100T
STAT
Map ADR
100T
STAT
After First Kill
100T
STAT
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-0 vs Sashi Academy May 23
17-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES May 19
13-11 vs Acend May 11
13-7 vs A Great Chaos May 10
13-7 vs illwill May 2
STATE
13-3 vs Invicta May 23
16-12 vs Lilmix Apr 27
7-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 11
7-13 vs ENCE Apr 6
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 5
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