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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
atreides ✓
vs
basement boys
89%
11%
Series win probability
ATRE 2–1 69%
ATRE 2–0 20%
BB 2–0 6%
BB 2–1 5%
Actual result
Inferno 13–8
Nuke 19–16
Mirage 16–13
Model Insights
atreides is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.00), a strong mirage (98% win probability). basement boys's best shot is inferno where they hold a 68% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 47% Inferno · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2 28% Inferno · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3 26% Inferno · Nuke · Dust2
Inferno
ATRE 9 – 13 BB
22%
78%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Inferno
atreides
13-5 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-10 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
7-13 vs UNiTY Apr 1
10-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
16-12 vs brazylijski luz Mar 1
basement boys
9-13 vs M80 Mar 30
4-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
6-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Nuke
ATRE 13 – 7 BB
92%
8%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Nuke
atreides
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-1 vs Clutchain fe Apr 18
9-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
9-13 vs Lavked Mar 23
11-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
basement boys
13-6 vs Qual4 Mar 28
13-7 vs bond1e Mar 26
7-13 vs Tricked Mar 24
13-11 vs Passion UA Mar 24
10-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Mirage
ATRE 13 – 5 BB
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
Best Player
ATRE
BB
Recent on Mirage
atreides
13-5 vs Clutchain fe Apr 18
2-13 vs UNiTY Apr 1
13-0 vs EXSAD Mar 29
10-13 vs Lavked Mar 23
13-8 vs QWENTRY Mar 17
basement boys
10-13 vs MASONIC Mar 4
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Feb 25
10-13 vs AM Feb 20
7-13 vs ENCE Academy Feb 15
16-13 vs Pigeons Feb 14
Inferno
ATRE 9 – 13 BB
22%
78%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Inferno
atreides
13-5 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-10 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
7-13 vs UNiTY Apr 1
10-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
16-12 vs brazylijski luz Mar 1
basement boys
9-13 vs M80 Mar 30
4-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
6-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Nuke
ATRE 13 – 7 BB
92%
8%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Nuke
atreides
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-1 vs Clutchain fe Apr 18
9-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
9-13 vs Lavked Mar 23
11-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
basement boys
13-6 vs Qual4 Mar 28
13-7 vs bond1e Mar 26
7-13 vs Tricked Mar 24
13-11 vs Passion UA Mar 24
10-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Ancient
ATRE 13 – 6 BB
89%
11%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Recent on Ancient
atreides
13-2 vs EXSAD Mar 29
13-2 vs brazylijski luz Mar 1
5-13 vs Aurora Young Blud Feb 26
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Feb 13
basement boys
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
13-3 vs Partizan Mar 29
5-13 vs bond1e Mar 26
14-16 vs Tricked Mar 24
7-13 vs BESTIA Mar 24
Inferno
ATRE 9 – 13 BB
22%
78%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Inferno
atreides
13-5 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-10 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
7-13 vs UNiTY Apr 1
10-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
16-12 vs brazylijski luz Mar 1
basement boys
9-13 vs M80 Mar 30
4-13 vs UNiTY Mar 29
6-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Nuke
ATRE 13 – 7 BB
92%
8%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Recent on Nuke
atreides
11-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-1 vs Clutchain fe Apr 18
9-13 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
9-13 vs Lavked Mar 23
11-13 vs Hashiras Mar 16
basement boys
13-6 vs Qual4 Mar 28
13-7 vs bond1e Mar 26
7-13 vs Tricked Mar 24
13-11 vs Passion UA Mar 24
10-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 6
Dust2
ATRE 13 – 5 BB
95%
5%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Recent on Dust2
atreides
9-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 17
9-13 vs QWENTRY Feb 14
basement boys
6-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
3-13 vs M80 Mar 30
13-8 vs Qual4 Mar 28
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 5
4-13 vs WHITEBIRD Feb 26
Recent Results last 11 matches
atreides
basement boys
L 1-2 vs RUSTEC InfernoNukeOverpass Apr 20 6d ago
W 2-0 vs Clutchain fe MirageNuke Apr 18 8d ago
L 1-2 vs QUAZAR NukeInfernoOverpass Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs UNiTY MirageInferno Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-0 vs EXSAD AncientMirage Mar 29 28d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked MirageOverpassNuke Mar 23 34d ago
L 1-2 vs QWENTRY MirageDust2Overpass Mar 17 40d ago
L 0-2 vs Hashiras InfernoNuke Mar 16 41d ago
W 2-1 vs brazylijski luz InfernoNukeAncient Mar 1 56d ago
W 2-1 vs brazylijski luz NukeInfernoMirage Feb 28 57d ago
W 2-1 vs Aurora Young Blud AncientOverpassMirage Feb 26 59d ago
L 1-2 vs Inner Circle Dust2AnubisAncient Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs M80 InfernoDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs UNiTY AnubisInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 1-0 vs Partizan Ancient Mar 29 28d ago
W 1-0 vs Nexus Anubis Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-0 vs Qual4 Dust2Nuke Mar 28 29d ago
L 1-2 vs bond1e OverpassNukeAncient Mar 26 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Tricked NukeAnubisAncient Mar 24 33d ago
L 0-1 vs BESTIA Ancient Mar 24 33d ago
W 1-0 vs Passion UA Nuke Mar 24 33d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity NukeInferno Mar 6 51d ago
Player Matchups
atreides
Rating 3.0
basement boys
SM
smekk
EntryADR 75.7KAST 75%
1.16 vs 1.06
OW
OWNER
AWPADR 78.7KAST 71%
GO
Goody
AWPADR 82.0KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.00
KR
kr1vda
AWPADR 67.0KAST 71%
DE
DEPRESHN
AWPADR 71.6KAST 73%
1.09 vs 0.97
MA
maggent
RiflerADR 67.3KAST 74%
DA
dan1
AWPADR 66.5KAST 70%
1.00 vs 0.97
TR
Tr0ublE
AWPADR 67.6KAST 66%
CH
Chill
RiflerADR 70.0KAST 68%
0.93 vs 0.95
FA
fakerealityy
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Dust2
ATRE 13 – 5 BB
95%
5%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
T Side
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Recent on Dust2
atreides
9-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 17
9-13 vs QWENTRY Feb 14
basement boys
6-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
3-13 vs M80 Mar 30
13-8 vs Qual4 Mar 28
7-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 5
4-13 vs WHITEBIRD Feb 26
Ancient
ATRE 13 – 6 BB
89%
11%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
Map Player Rating
ATRE
BB
Round Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
After First Death
ATRE
BB
Recent on Ancient
atreides
13-2 vs EXSAD Mar 29
13-2 vs brazylijski luz Mar 1
5-13 vs Aurora Young Blud Feb 26
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Feb 13
basement boys
10-13 vs Inner Circle Mar 30
13-3 vs Partizan Mar 29
5-13 vs bond1e Mar 26
14-16 vs Tricked Mar 24
7-13 vs BESTIA Mar 24
Overpass
ATRE 13 – 7 BB
86%
14%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
ATRE
BB
Head-to-Head
ATRE
BB
Map Win Rate
ATRE
BB
Opening Kills
ATRE
BB
CT 4v5
ATRE
BB
Recent on Overpass
atreides
4-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 20
13-16 vs QUAZAR Apr 3
13-9 vs Lavked Mar 23
14-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 17
13-8 vs Aurora Young Blud Feb 26
basement boys
17-19 vs bond1e Mar 26