Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
g2 ares
vs
donstu
✓
10%
90%
Series win probability
DONS
2–0
69%
DONS
2–1
21%
G2A
2–1
8%
G2A
2–0
2%
Actual result
Anubis
13–11
Overpass
13–10
Model Insights
donstu is strongly favored at 90%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#173 vs #151), a strong ancient (97% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Anubis · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 2
40%
Anubis · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
17%
Anubis · Ancient · Inferno
Anubis
G2A
8
–
13
DONS
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Map Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Rest Days Diff
G2A
DONS
Recent on Anubis
g2 ares
10-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-7
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
6-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
9-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
7-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 12
donstu
13-6
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
7-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
16-12
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-2
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-10
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
Ancient
G2A
6
–
13
DONS
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
CT 4v5
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Recent on Ancient
g2 ares
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-8
vs Omega
Mar 30
6-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
5-13
vs K27
Mar 19
10-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
donstu
10-13
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
16-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
14-16
vs QWENTRY
Mar 15
Overpass
G2A
9
–
13
DONS
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
T Side
G2A
DONS
Recent on Overpass
g2 ares
6-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-13
vs Lavked
Apr 2
13-3
vs Omega
Mar 30
19-17
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
13-4
vs Acend
Mar 1
donstu
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
13-6
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
13-2
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-10
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
14-16
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
Anubis
G2A
8
–
13
DONS
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Map Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Rest Days Diff
G2A
DONS
Recent on Anubis
g2 ares
10-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-7
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
6-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
9-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
7-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 12
donstu
13-6
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
7-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
16-12
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-2
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-10
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
Ancient
G2A
6
–
13
DONS
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
CT 4v5
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Recent on Ancient
g2 ares
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-8
vs Omega
Mar 30
6-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
5-13
vs K27
Mar 19
10-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
donstu
10-13
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
16-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
14-16
vs QWENTRY
Mar 15
Dust2
G2A
13
–
8
DONS
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
T Side
G2A
DONS
Recent on Dust2
g2 ares
13-9
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
6-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
13-8
vs K27
Mar 19
donstu
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
5-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
13-6
vs Endless Journey
Mar 14
13-8
vs Misa
Mar 12
Anubis
G2A
8
–
13
DONS
25%
75%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Map Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Rest Days Diff
G2A
DONS
Recent on Anubis
g2 ares
10-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-7
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
6-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
9-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
7-13
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 12
donstu
13-6
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
7-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
16-12
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-2
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-10
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
Ancient
G2A
6
–
13
DONS
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
CT 4v5
G2A
DONS
Round Win Rate
G2A
DONS
Recent on Ancient
g2 ares
8-13
vs UNiTY
Apr 4
13-8
vs Omega
Mar 30
6-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
5-13
vs K27
Mar 19
10-13
vs BET-M
Mar 4
donstu
10-13
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
16-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
14-16
vs QWENTRY
Mar 15
Inferno
G2A
13
–
7
DONS
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
Opening Kills
G2A
DONS
Recent on Inferno
g2 ares
9-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
11-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
11-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 17
donstu
6-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Recent Results
last 11 matches
g2 ares
donstu
L
0-2
vs UNiTY
AnubisAncient
Apr 4
22d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
AnubisOverpassDust2
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Lavked
MirageOverpass
Apr 2
24d ago
L
0-2
vs eLITenergy
AnubisInferno
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-1
vs Omega
OverpassMirageAncient
Mar 30
27d ago
W
2-0
vs zajezdzacze
Dust2Mirage
Mar 29
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial Academy
Dust2Inferno
Mar 27
30d ago
L
1-2
vs UNiTY
OverpassInfernoAncient
Mar 20
37d ago
L
1-2
vs K27
AncientDust2Mirage
Mar 19
38d ago
W
2-0
vs STATE
MirageInferno
Mar 17
40d ago
L
0-2
vs BET-M
AnubisAncient
Mar 4
53d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
OverpassDust2
Apr 21
5d ago
W
2-0
vs VP.Prodigy
NukeAnubis
Apr 18
8d ago
L
1-2
vs G2 Ares
AnubisOverpassDust2
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AnubisOverpass
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-1
vs brazylijski luz
AncientNukeAnubis
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-0
vs OlyBet
AnubisAncient
Mar 31
26d ago
L
1-2
vs The Last Resort
AncientOverpassInferno
Mar 29
28d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
AncientDust2Overpass
Mar 15
42d ago
L
0-2
vs QWENTRY
AncientOverpass
Mar 15
42d ago
W
2-0
vs Endless Journey
Dust2Ancient
Mar 14
43d ago
W
2-0
vs Misa
Dust2Nuke
Mar 12
45d ago
Player Matchups
g2 ares
Rating 3.0
donstu
TA
tAk
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 74%
DU
Due1yant
AWPADR 77.0KAST 73%
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 72.8KAST 70%
MA
maQuein
AWPADR 69.7KAST 78%
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 68%
GL
gleb86rus
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 74%
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 66.1KAST 70%
NE
NeoLife
AWPADR 74.4KAST 71%
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 61.2KAST 69%
LA
LAKSHERi
AWPADR 76.1KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
G2A
13
–
7
DONS
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
DONS
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
Opening Kills
G2A
DONS
Recent on Inferno
g2 ares
9-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 1
11-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
11-13
vs UNiTY
Mar 20
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 17
donstu
6-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Mirage
G2A
13
–
9
DONS
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
Star Player
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
Recent on Mirage
g2 ares
13-9
vs Lavked
Apr 2
11-13
vs Omega
Mar 30
13-11
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
8-13
vs K27
Mar 19
13-10
vs STATE
Mar 17
donstu
no data
Dust2
G2A
13
–
8
DONS
76%
24%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
G2A
DONS
After First Death
G2A
DONS
After First Kill
G2A
DONS
Utility Score
G2A
DONS
T Side
G2A
DONS
Recent on Dust2
g2 ares
13-9
vs DONSTU
Apr 3
16-14
vs zajezdzacze
Mar 29
6-13
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 27
13-8
vs K27
Mar 19
donstu
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
5-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
13-6
vs Endless Journey
Mar 14
13-8
vs Misa
Mar 12