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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
rustec ✗
vs
hashiras
62%
38%
Series win probability
RUST 2–1 41%
RUST 2–0 21%
HASH 2–0 21%
HASH 2–1 17%
Actual result
Dust2 13–4
Model Insights
rustec has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.03), a strong nuke (77% win probability). hashiras's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 51% Dust2 · Overpass · Nuke
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 3 14% Dust2 · Overpass · Anubis
Dust2
RUST 11 – 13 HASH
30%
70%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Map Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Recent on Dust2
rustec
13-9 vs Nemesis Apr 8
8-13 vs MANA Apr 1
6-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
13-8 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
18-22 vs MANA Apr 10
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-9 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
11-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
11-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
Overpass
RUST 13 – 9 HASH
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Opening Kills
RUST
HASH
Recent on Overpass
rustec
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
16-12 vs Nigel Mirage Mar 29
13-11 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
Nuke
RUST 13 – 8 HASH
71%
29%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Map Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Recent on Nuke
rustec
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs STATE Apr 3
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
13-7 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
hashiras
16-14 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-11 vs MANA Apr 10
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-11 vs TNC Mar 28
Dust2
RUST 11 – 13 HASH
30%
70%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Map Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Recent on Dust2
rustec
13-9 vs Nemesis Apr 8
8-13 vs MANA Apr 1
6-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
13-8 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
18-22 vs MANA Apr 10
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-9 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
11-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
11-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
Overpass
RUST 13 – 9 HASH
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Opening Kills
RUST
HASH
Recent on Overpass
rustec
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
16-12 vs Nigel Mirage Mar 29
13-11 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
Ancient
RUST 10 – 13 HASH
34%
66%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Kill
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Recent on Ancient
rustec
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
hashiras
12-16 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
8-13 vs TNC Mar 28
11-13 vs MINLATE Mar 27
1-13 vs Lavked Mar 25
Dust2
RUST 11 – 13 HASH
30%
70%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Map Win Rate
RUST
HASH
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Recent on Dust2
rustec
13-9 vs Nemesis Apr 8
8-13 vs MANA Apr 1
6-13 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
13-6 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
13-8 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
18-22 vs MANA Apr 10
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-9 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
11-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
11-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
Overpass
RUST 13 – 9 HASH
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Opening Kills
RUST
HASH
Recent on Overpass
rustec
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs STATE Apr 3
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
16-12 vs Nigel Mirage Mar 29
13-11 vs Metizport Mar 29
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
Anubis
RUST 13 – 6 HASH
92%
8%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
After First Kill
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
CT 4v5
RUST
HASH
Recent on Anubis
rustec
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
hashiras
6-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 9
Recent Results last 11 matches
rustec
hashiras
W 2-1 vs Atreides InfernoNukeOverpass Apr 20 6d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemesis Dust2AncientMirage Apr 8 18d ago
W 2-0 vs STATE NukeOverpass Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Zero Tenacity OverpassNuke Apr 2 24d ago
L 0-2 vs MANA MirageDust2 Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL Dust2AnubisNuke Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters MirageDust2Nuke Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Nigel Mirage OverpassMirage Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Metizport NukeDust2Overpass Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-0 vs MANA Dust2Mirage Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-1 vs Oxuji AncientDust2Mirage Mar 24 33d ago
L 1-2 vs Bebop AncientNukeInferno Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs UNiTY OverpassAncient Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs MANA NukeDust2Inferno Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked OverpassNuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy Dust2NukeInferno Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Imperial Academy Dust2Inferno Mar 31 26d ago
L 1-2 vs TNC NukeOverpassAncient Mar 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs MINLATE NukeAncient Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeAncient Mar 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs QWENTRY AncientDust2Nuke Mar 24 33d ago
L 0-2 vs RUSTEC Dust2Overpass Mar 23 34d ago
Player Matchups
rustec
Rating 3.0
hashiras
SU
supra
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 71%
1.10 vs 1.11
BU
Burmylov
AWPADR 79.4KAST 72%
YO
youka
AWPADR 72.3KAST 71%
1.10 vs 1.07
QU
Queenix
AWPADR 71.8KAST 75%
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 72%
1.04 vs 1.04
JA
JACKZ
AWPADR 72.3KAST 72%
BR
Brilliance
RiflerADR 73.9KAST 71%
1.03 vs 0.86
BI
birdfromsky
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 70%
AN
anttzz
AWPADR 66.3KAST 69%
0.99 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
RUST 13 – 6 HASH
94%
6%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Kill
RUST
HASH
Star Player
RUST
HASH
Recent on Mirage
rustec
8-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
6-13 vs MANA Apr 1
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
13-2 vs Nigel Mirage Mar 29
13-9 vs MANA Mar 28
hashiras
no data
Inferno
RUST 6 – 13 HASH
6%
94%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
Ban Rate
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Recent on Inferno
rustec
5-13 vs Atreides Apr 20
hashiras
14-16 vs Bebop Apr 12
7-13 vs MANA Apr 10
13-10 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-8 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
13-10 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 21
Anubis
RUST 13 – 6 HASH
92%
8%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
After First Kill
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
CT 4v5
RUST
HASH
Recent on Anubis
rustec
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
9-13 vs K27 Feb 2
hashiras
6-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 9
Ancient
RUST 10 – 13 HASH
34%
66%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
RUST
HASH
Head-to-Head
RUST
HASH
After First Kill
RUST
HASH
After First Death
RUST
HASH
Days With Lineup Diff
RUST
HASH
Recent on Ancient
rustec
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
hashiras
12-16 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
8-13 vs TNC Mar 28
11-13 vs MINLATE Mar 27
1-13 vs Lavked Mar 25