Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-12
FURIA
vs
Gentle Mates
75%
25%
Series win probability
FURI
2–0
38%
FURI
2–1
37%
GM
2–0
15%
GM
2–1
10%
Model Insights
FURIA is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (79% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Inferno · Overpass · Mirage
Scenario 2
41%
Inferno · Overpass · Nuke
Scenario 3
16%
Inferno · Overpass · Anubis
Inferno
FURI
13
–
11
GM
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 20
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 10
Gentle Mates
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
19-22
vs magic
May 3
13-2
vs ASTRAL
Apr 29
13-5
vs 9INE
Apr 26
19-17
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
Overpass
FURI
13
–
9
GM
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
16-12
vs Spirit
May 11
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
3-13
vs HEROIC
Mar 8
Gentle Mates
9-13
vs K27
May 9
10-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
3-13
vs G2
Apr 13
9-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
11-13
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 1
Mirage
FURI
13
–
6
GM
79%
21%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Ranking
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
11-13
vs Spirit
May 11
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
Gentle Mates
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-4
vs MOUZ
May 9
16-19
vs magic
May 3
11-13
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
13-7
vs ASTRAL
Apr 25
Inferno
FURI
13
–
11
GM
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 20
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 10
Gentle Mates
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
19-22
vs magic
May 3
13-2
vs ASTRAL
Apr 29
13-5
vs 9INE
Apr 26
19-17
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
Overpass
FURI
13
–
9
GM
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
16-12
vs Spirit
May 11
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
3-13
vs HEROIC
Mar 8
Gentle Mates
9-13
vs K27
May 9
10-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
3-13
vs G2
Apr 13
9-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
11-13
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 1
Nuke
FURI
13
–
10
GM
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
16-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
10-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
Gentle Mates
12-16
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-9
vs K27
May 9
13-8
vs FOKUS
May 2
10-13
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
4-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Inferno
FURI
13
–
11
GM
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-7
vs HEROIC
May 10
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 20
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 10
Gentle Mates
13-4
vs HEROIC
May 10
19-22
vs magic
May 3
13-2
vs ASTRAL
Apr 29
13-5
vs 9INE
Apr 26
19-17
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
Overpass
FURI
13
–
9
GM
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Round Win Rate
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
16-12
vs Spirit
May 11
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
3-13
vs HEROIC
Mar 8
Gentle Mates
9-13
vs K27
May 9
10-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 14
3-13
vs G2
Apr 13
9-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
11-13
vs ninjas in pyjamas
Apr 1
Anubis
FURI
13
–
10
GM
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13
vs Falcons
Feb 16
13-9
vs FUT
Feb 15
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-6
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
3-13
vs HOTU
Feb 14
13-10
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 13
13-6
vs gothboiclique
Feb 12
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FURIA
Gentle Mates
L
1-2
vs Spirit
Dust2OverpassMirage
May 11
1d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC
MirageInferno
May 10
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeOverpass
May 9
3d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 30
12d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
InfernoNukeMirage
Apr 29
13d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
23d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
24d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2
Apr 15
27d ago
W
2-1
vs Natus Vincere
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 14
28d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
InfernoMirage
Apr 13
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 23
50d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC
InfernoMirage
May 10
2d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
NukeMirageAncient
May 9
3d ago
W
2-1
vs K27
NukeOverpassAncient
May 9
3d ago
L
0-2
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 3
9d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
AncientNuke
May 2
10d ago
W
2-0
vs ASTRAL
AncientInferno
Apr 29
13d ago
W
2-0
vs 9INE
AncientInferno
Apr 26
16d ago
L
1-2
vs SINNERS
InfernoMirageNuke
Apr 26
16d ago
W
2-0
vs ASTRAL
MirageInferno
Apr 25
17d ago
L
1-2
vs RED Canids
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 14
28d ago
L
1-2
vs G2
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 13
29d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
Gentle Mates
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 80.0KAST 74%
MA
MartinezSa
AWPADR 75.2KAST 74%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 74.9KAST 73%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 73%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 71%
SA
sausol
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 74%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 66.3KAST 74%
AL
alex
EntryADR 72.0KAST 72%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 62.1KAST 71%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
FURI
13
–
10
GM
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
16-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
10-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
Gentle Mates
12-16
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-9
vs K27
May 9
13-8
vs FOKUS
May 2
10-13
vs SINNERS
Apr 26
4-13
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Anubis
FURI
13
–
10
GM
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
After First Kill
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Overall Rating
FURI
GM
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13
vs Falcons
Feb 16
13-9
vs FUT
Feb 15
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
13-6
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Mar 25
3-13
vs HOTU
Feb 14
13-10
vs Bushido Wildcats
Feb 13
13-6
vs gothboiclique
Feb 12
Ancient
FURI
11
–
13
GM
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
GM
After First Death
FURI
GM
Ranking
FURI
GM
Schedule Strength
FURI
GM
Map ADR
FURI
GM
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
Gentle Mates
5-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-10
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FOKUS
May 2
16-13
vs ASTRAL
Apr 29
13-6
vs 9INE
Apr 26
More from PGL Astana 2026
3 matches