Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-12
PARIVISION
vs
G2
22%
78%
Series win probability
G2
2–0
45%
G2
2–1
33%
PARI
2–1
12%
PARI
2–0
11%
Model Insights
G2 is strongly favored at 78%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#12 vs #11), a strong mirage (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
49%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
17%
Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Dust2
PARI
8
–
13
G2
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Pick Rate
PARI
G2
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
14-16
vs Aurora
May 10
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
G2
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 29
Ancient
PARI
7
–
13
G2
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Round Win Rate
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Recent on Ancient
PARIVISION
13-2
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs 9z
May 9
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-10
vs Falcons
Mar 27
13-8
vs Spirit
Mar 21
G2
13-1
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-9
vs FaZe
May 1
13-11
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-7
vs GamerLegion
Apr 3
5-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
Mirage
PARI
6
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
After First Death
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
28-26
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
6-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 4
G2
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-16
vs FaZe
May 1
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 30
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 15
13-5
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Dust2
PARI
8
–
13
G2
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Pick Rate
PARI
G2
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
14-16
vs Aurora
May 10
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
G2
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 29
Mirage
PARI
6
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
After First Death
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
28-26
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
6-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 4
G2
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-16
vs FaZe
May 1
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 30
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 15
13-5
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Inferno
PARI
8
–
13
G2
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Round Win Rate
PARI
G2
Recent on Inferno
PARIVISION
6-13
vs 9z
May 9
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
16-14
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
13-10
vs Legacy
Apr 4
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 28
G2
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Dust2
PARI
8
–
13
G2
32%
68%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Pick Rate
PARI
G2
Recent on Dust2
PARIVISION
14-16
vs Aurora
May 10
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
11-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
G2
2-13
vs The MongolZ
May 10
16-14
vs MOUZ
May 9
11-13
vs FaZe
May 1
3-13
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-5
vs Astralis
Apr 29
Mirage
PARI
6
–
13
G2
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
After First Death
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Recent on Mirage
PARIVISION
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 10
8-13
vs The MongolZ
Apr 9
28-26
vs Wildcard
Apr 8
6-13
vs FUT
Apr 6
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 4
G2
10-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-16
vs FaZe
May 1
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 30
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 15
13-5
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Overpass
PARI
9
–
13
G2
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
After First Death
PARI
G2
Round Win Rate
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
G2
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
Recent Results
last 11 matches
PARIVISION
G2
W
2-0
vs Fisher College
MirageAncient
May 10
2d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
AnubisDust2
May 10
2d ago
L
0-2
vs 9z
InfernoAncient
May 9
3d ago
L
1-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 9
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
MirageDust2
Apr 8
34d ago
L
0-2
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2
Apr 7
35d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
Dust2Mirage
Apr 6
36d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
Dust2Inferno
Apr 5
37d ago
W
2-1
vs Legacy
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 4
38d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2InfernoMirage
Mar 28
45d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
MirageAncient
Mar 27
46d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
Dust2Inferno
May 10
2d ago
L
1-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2MirageInferno
May 9
3d ago
W
2-0
vs Fisher College
AncientInferno
May 8
4d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2AncientMirage
May 1
11d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageOverpassDust2
Apr 30
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Astralis
Dust2Overpass
Apr 29
13d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoDust2
Apr 15
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
MirageDust2
Apr 15
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 14
28d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirageOverpass
Apr 13
29d ago
W
2-1
vs BetBoom
AnubisAncientDust2
Apr 4
38d ago
Player Matchups
PARIVISION
Ratings
G2
ZW
zweih
EntryADR 72.8KAST 73%
HE
HeavyGod
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 76%
JA
Jame
AWPADR 70.6KAST 73%
NE
NertZ
EntryADR 81.0KAST 72%
XI
xiELO
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 70%
MA
MATYS
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 75%
BE
BELCHONOKK
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 69%
SU
SunPayus
AWPADR 70.9KAST 76%
NO
nota
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 70%
HU
huNter-
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
PARI
8
–
13
G2
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
Round Win Rate
PARI
G2
Recent on Inferno
PARIVISION
6-13
vs 9z
May 9
9-13
vs 3DMAX
Apr 7
16-14
vs FOKUS
Apr 5
13-10
vs Legacy
Apr 4
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 28
G2
15-19
vs The MongolZ
May 10
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 9
13-5
vs Fisher College
May 8
13-6
vs 3DMAX
Apr 15
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 14
Overpass
PARI
9
–
13
G2
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
PARI
G2
After First Death
PARI
G2
Round Win Rate
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Map ADR
PARI
G2
Recent on Overpass
PARIVISION
10-13
vs Vitality
Feb 22
3-13
vs MOUZ
Feb 14
11-13
vs Astralis
Feb 1
G2
13-11
vs Vitality
Apr 30
13-9
vs Astralis
Apr 29
13-3
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 13
13-3
vs BetBoom
Apr 2
13-8
vs Acend
Mar 29
Anubis
PARI
13
–
10
G2
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
PARI
G2
After First Kill
PARI
G2
Overall Rating
PARI
G2
Schedule Strength
PARI
G2
T Side
PARI
G2
Recent on Anubis
PARIVISION
7-13
vs Aurora
May 10
13-3
vs Spirit
Mar 21
G2
10-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 4
13-2
vs Fluxo
Mar 30
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
More from PGL Astana 2026
3 matches