Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-15
9z
✗
vs
magic
58%
42%
Series win probability
9Z
2–1
32%
9Z
2–0
26%
MAGI
2–0
24%
MAGI
2–1
18%
Actual result
Dust2
13–9
MAGI
Mirage
13–2
9Z
Ancient
13–11
MAGI
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — 9z is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Dust2 · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2
34%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3
32%
Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Dust2
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Round Win Rate
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
9z
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
magic
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
Ancient
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
9z
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
magic
11-13
vs Monte
May 10
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
Inferno
9Z
13
–
8
MAGI
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Favorite
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
9z
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 9
9-13
vs Legacy
Apr 24
10-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
magic
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 12
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
Dust2
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Round Win Rate
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
9z
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
magic
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
Ancient
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
9z
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
magic
11-13
vs Monte
May 10
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
Mirage
9Z
9
–
13
MAGI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
Ban Rate
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Map Win Rate
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
9z
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs Legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
magic
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-8
vs HEROIC
May 12
13-9
vs K27
May 11
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 9
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
Dust2
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Round Win Rate
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
9z
13-1
vs Falcons
May 10
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
magic
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 12
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
Ancient
9Z
16
–
14
MAGI
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
9z
13-9
vs MOUZ
May 11
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
magic
11-13
vs Monte
May 10
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
Overpass
9Z
13
–
9
MAGI
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Pick Rate
9Z
MAGI
Favorite
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
9z
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-3
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
6-13
vs Spirit
Mar 22
3-13
vs Vitality
Mar 19
magic
22-19
vs K27
May 11
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
9z
magic
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
NukeInfernoAncient
May 11
16d ago
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeMirageDust2
May 10
17d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
InfernoAncient
May 9
18d ago
L
2-3
vs Legacy
AncientDust2MirageNukeAnubis
Apr 26
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 25
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
InfernoNuke
Apr 24
33d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
34d ago
W
2-0
vs ALKA
Dust2Nuke
Apr 22
35d ago
W
3-1
vs ODDIK
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 3
54d ago
W
2-1
vs ODDIK
Dust2NukeInferno
Apr 2
55d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
InfernoNuke
Apr 1
56d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 13
14d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
MirageDust2Inferno
May 12
15d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
MirageOverpass
May 11
16d ago
L
0-2
vs Monte
AncientDust2
May 10
17d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
MirageInferno
May 9
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 3
24d ago
W
2-0
vs Eternal Fire
MirageDust2
May 2
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisMirageAncient
Apr 25
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Drama
InfernoAncient
Apr 5
52d ago
L
0-2
vs big
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
52d ago
L
1-2
vs illwill
Dust2MirageAnubis
Apr 5
52d ago
Player Matchups
9z
Ratings
magic
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.1KAST 73%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 72%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 80.9KAST 75%
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 75.6KAST 73%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 74%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 78.1KAST 72%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 61.2KAST 74%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 72%
MA
max
RiflerADR 65.2KAST 72%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
9Z
9
–
13
MAGI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ban Rate
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Map Win Rate
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
9z
9-13
vs Falcons
May 10
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs Legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
magic
13-5
vs Gentle Mates
May 13
13-8
vs HEROIC
May 12
13-9
vs K27
May 11
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 9
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
Anubis
9Z
8
–
13
MAGI
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ban Rate
9Z
MAGI
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Map ADR
9Z
MAGI
Sniper Score
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs Legacy
Mar 30
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Overpass
9Z
13
–
9
MAGI
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
9Z
MAGI
After First Kill
9Z
MAGI
After First Death
9Z
MAGI
Pick Rate
9Z
MAGI
Favorite
9Z
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
9z
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-4
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-3
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
6-13
vs Spirit
Mar 22
3-13
vs Vitality
Mar 19
magic
22-19
vs K27
May 11
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
More from PGL Astana 2026
2 matches