Bo3 · IEM Atlanta 2026
· 2026-05-13
SINNERS
vs
Astralis
23%
77%
Series win probability
ASTR
2–0
49%
ASTR
2–1
28%
SINN
2–1
14%
SINN
2–0
9%
Model Insights
Astralis is strongly favored at 77%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong ancient (73% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
35%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2
33%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
32%
Mirage · Ancient · Overpass
Mirage
SINN
10
–
13
ASTR
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
SINNERS
13-9
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-10
vs GamerLegion
May 11
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 26
13-16
vs Tricked
Apr 24
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
Astralis
13-5
vs FUT
Apr 30
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
Ancient
SINN
7
–
13
ASTR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
SINNERS
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs big
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
Astralis
13-11
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
Nuke
SINN
8
–
13
ASTR
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent Form (1m)
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
SINNERS
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 11
13-10
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 26
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
20-22
vs Tricked
Apr 24
9-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
Astralis
6-13
vs Legacy
May 12
13-10
vs FUT
Apr 30
16-14
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs B8
Apr 5
13-11
vs Aurora
Mar 14
Mirage
SINN
10
–
13
ASTR
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
SINNERS
13-9
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-10
vs GamerLegion
May 11
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 26
13-16
vs Tricked
Apr 24
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
Astralis
13-5
vs FUT
Apr 30
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
Ancient
SINN
7
–
13
ASTR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
SINNERS
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs big
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
Astralis
13-11
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
Dust2
SINN
11
–
13
ASTR
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Death
SINN
ASTR
Map ADR
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
SINNERS
8-13
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 26
13-5
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
6-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
5-13
vs G2
Mar 25
Astralis
8-13
vs Legacy
May 12
13-4
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs G2
Apr 29
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
Mirage
SINN
10
–
13
ASTR
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
SINNERS
13-9
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-10
vs GamerLegion
May 11
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 26
13-16
vs Tricked
Apr 24
10-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
Astralis
13-5
vs FUT
Apr 30
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
8-13
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-4
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
16-12
vs B8
Apr 5
Ancient
SINN
7
–
13
ASTR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
SINNERS
7-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
13-3
vs Clutchain
Apr 15
16-14
vs JiJieHao
Mar 29
13-2
vs big
Mar 26
13-8
vs BESTIA
Mar 25
Astralis
13-11
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
16-14
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Apr 6
13-8
vs B8
Apr 5
Overpass
SINN
9
–
13
ASTR
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
Map ADR
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Overpass
SINNERS
13-8
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-11
vs KOLESIE
Apr 26
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
13-11
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
13-6
vs OG
Mar 29
Astralis
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 1
9-13
vs G2
Apr 29
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
Recent Results
last 11 matches
SINNERS
Astralis
W
2-1
vs Passion UA
Dust2MirageOverpass
May 12
1d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
MirageInfernoNuke
May 11
2d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
Dust2Overpass
Apr 26
17d ago
W
2-1
vs Gentle Mates
InfernoMirageNuke
Apr 26
17d ago
W
2-0
vs Inner Circle Academy
OverpassNuke
Apr 25
18d ago
L
0-2
vs Tricked
NukeMirage
Apr 24
19d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
Dust2NukeMirage
Apr 22
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Sashi
NukeDust2Ancient
Apr 20
23d ago
W
1-0
vs Clutchain
Ancient
Apr 15
28d ago
W
1-0
vs Johnny Speeds
Mirage
Apr 13
30d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
OverpassNukeMirage
Mar 30
44d ago
L
0-2
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
May 12
1d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
Dust2Ancient
May 11
2d ago
L
0-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassInferno
May 1
12d ago
W
2-0
vs FUT
MirageNuke
Apr 30
13d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
Dust2Overpass
Apr 29
14d ago
L
1-3
vs FUT
AncientMirageNukeDust2
Apr 11
32d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
Dust2Overpass
Apr 10
33d ago
W
2-1
vs EYEBALLERS
MirageAncientInferno
Apr 9
34d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
MirageAncient
Apr 6
37d ago
W
2-1
vs B8
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 5
38d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
MirageOverpass
Apr 4
39d ago
Player Matchups
SINNERS
Ratings
Astralis
MO
MoDo
AWPADR 70.5KAST 74%
ST
Staehr
EntryADR 82.7KAST 72%
KI
kisserek
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 72%
JA
jabbi
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 72%
ST
stressarN
EntryADR 76.4KAST 75%
PH
phzy
AWPADR 72.6KAST 73%
BE
beastik
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 73%
RY
ryu
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 72%
SH
SHOCK
RiflerADR 69.5KAST 74%
HO
HooXi
RiflerADR 63.4KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Overpass
SINN
9
–
13
ASTR
34%
66%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
Map ADR
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Round Win Rate
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Overpass
SINNERS
13-8
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-11
vs KOLESIE
Apr 26
13-5
vs Inner Circle Academy
Apr 25
13-11
vs BetBoom
Mar 30
13-6
vs OG
Mar 29
Astralis
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 1
9-13
vs G2
Apr 29
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
13-5
vs MIBR
Apr 4
16-12
vs FUT
Mar 15
Dust2
SINN
11
–
13
ASTR
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Death
SINN
ASTR
Map ADR
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
SINNERS
8-13
vs Passion UA
May 12
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Apr 26
13-5
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
6-13
vs Sashi
Apr 20
5-13
vs G2
Mar 25
Astralis
8-13
vs Legacy
May 12
13-4
vs Liquid
May 11
5-13
vs G2
Apr 29
3-13
vs FUT
Apr 11
13-11
vs 3DMAX
Apr 10
Inferno
SINN
10
–
13
ASTR
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
SINN
ASTR
Ranking
SINN
ASTR
After First Death
SINN
ASTR
Schedule Strength
SINN
ASTR
Overall Rating
SINN
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
SINNERS
9-13
vs GamerLegion
May 11
17-19
vs Gentle Mates
Apr 26
8-13
vs AM
Mar 2
13-7
vs WW
Feb 26
14-16
vs GamerLegion
Feb 24
Astralis
14-16
vs GamerLegion
May 1
13-2
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
10-13
vs Aurora
Mar 14
13-4
vs FURIA
Mar 10
16-14
vs FaZe
Mar 9
More from IEM Atlanta 2026
6 matches