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Bo3  ·  PGL Astana 2026 · 2026-05-10
The MongolZ
vs
Spirit
37%
63%
Series win probability
SPIR 2–0 37%
SPIR 2–1 26%
TM 2–1 22%
TM 2–0 16%
Model Insights
Spirit has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.03), a strong dust2 (61% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 37% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 25% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Mirage
TM 9 13 SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23 vs magic May 8
14-16 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
4-13 vs Astralis Apr 6
13-7 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 5
Spirit
13-16 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-4 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-8 vs MOUZ Apr 17
8-13 vs RED Canids Apr 15
13-7 vs G2 Apr 15
Dust2
TM 8 13 SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
13-11 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 4
13-10 vs 3DMAX Mar 9
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 7
Spirit
13-6 vs The Huns May 9
5-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-7 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 17
13-11 vs G2 Apr 15
Nuke
TM 11 13 SPIR
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Map Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Days With Lineup Team
TM
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
10-13 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-11 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-11 vs MOUZ Mar 19
19-17 vs paiN Mar 6
Spirit
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
11-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-9 vs B8 Mar 7
13-10 vs 3DMAX Mar 6
7-13 vs FURIA Feb 7
Mirage
TM 9 13 SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23 vs magic May 8
14-16 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
4-13 vs Astralis Apr 6
13-7 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 5
Spirit
13-16 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-4 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-8 vs MOUZ Apr 17
8-13 vs RED Canids Apr 15
13-7 vs G2 Apr 15
Dust2
TM 8 13 SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
13-11 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 4
13-10 vs 3DMAX Mar 9
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 7
Spirit
13-6 vs The Huns May 9
5-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-7 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 17
13-11 vs G2 Apr 15
Ancient
TM 9 13 SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
13-9 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
9-13 vs Astralis Apr 6
13-11 vs BC.Game Apr 4
16-14 vs Liquid Mar 22
Spirit
13-3 vs The Huns May 9
13-8 vs RED Canids Apr 15
13-2 vs Liquid Apr 13
8-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 21
13-11 vs Liquid Mar 19
Mirage
TM 9 13 SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23 vs magic May 8
14-16 vs FUT Apr 10
13-8 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
4-13 vs Astralis Apr 6
13-7 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 5
Spirit
13-16 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-4 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-8 vs MOUZ Apr 17
8-13 vs RED Canids Apr 15
13-7 vs G2 Apr 15
Dust2
TM 8 13 SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
13-11 vs Wildcard Apr 7
13-3 vs BC.Game Apr 4
13-10 vs 3DMAX Mar 9
13-9 vs Aurora Mar 7
Spirit
13-6 vs The Huns May 9
5-13 vs Vitality Apr 19
13-7 vs Falcons Apr 18
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 17
13-11 vs G2 Apr 15
Overpass
TM 8 13 SPIR
27%
73%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
T Side
TM
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 5
13-9 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-16 vs Vitality Mar 21
11-13 vs MOUZ Mar 8
Spirit
13-2 vs RED Canids Apr 15
9-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-6 vs 9z Mar 22
13-7 vs 3DMAX Mar 6
8-13 vs G2 Feb 3
Recent Results last 11 matches
The MongolZ
Spirit
W 2-0 vs magic MirageInferno May 8 2d ago
W 2-0 vs 3DMAX InfernoAncient Apr 11 29d ago
L 0-2 vs FUT NukeMirage Apr 10 30d ago
W 2-1 vs PARIVISION Dust2MirageAncient Apr 9 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Wildcard Dust2Nuke Apr 7 33d ago
L 0-2 vs Astralis MirageAncient Apr 6 34d ago
W 2-0 vs EYEBALLERS OverpassMirage Apr 5 35d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game Dust2Ancient Apr 4 36d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora InfernoMirage Mar 27 44d ago
W 2-0 vs Spirit NukeOverpass Mar 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs Liquid AncientMirage Mar 22 49d ago
W 2-0 vs The Huns Dust2Ancient May 9 1d ago
L 0-3 vs Vitality MirageNukeDust2 Apr 19 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 18 22d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ Dust2Mirage Apr 17 23d ago
W 2-1 vs RED Canids MirageAncientOverpass Apr 15 25d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 MirageDust2 Apr 15 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons AnubisMirage Apr 14 26d ago
W 2-0 vs Liquid AncientDust2 Apr 13 27d ago
L 0-2 vs The MongolZ NukeOverpass Mar 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs 9z OverpassDust2 Mar 22 49d ago
L 0-2 vs PARIVISION AnubisAncient Mar 21 50d ago
Player Matchups
The MongolZ
Ratings
Spirit
91
910
AWPADR 75.2KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.34
DO
donk
EntryADR 91.9KAST 77%
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 72%
1.06 vs 1.15
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 76.1KAST 76%
CO
cobrazera
EntryADR 75.4KAST 70%
1.05 vs 1.04
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 72%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 70%
0.97 vs 1.02
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 74%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 69%
0.94 vs 0.95
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
TM 7 13 SPIR
24%
76%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
After First Death
TM
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
The MongolZ
no data
Spirit
4-13 vs Falcons Apr 14
3-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 21
13-10 vs G2 Mar 8
13-7 vs B8 Mar 7
13-8 vs G2 Feb 3
Overpass
TM 8 13 SPIR
27%
73%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
T Side
TM
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7 vs EYEBALLERS Apr 5
13-9 vs Spirit Mar 23
13-16 vs Vitality Mar 21
11-13 vs MOUZ Mar 8
Spirit
13-2 vs RED Canids Apr 15
9-13 vs The MongolZ Mar 23
13-6 vs 9z Mar 22
13-7 vs 3DMAX Mar 6
8-13 vs G2 Feb 3
Ancient
TM 9 13 SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2 vs 3DMAX Apr 11
13-9 vs PARIVISION Apr 9
9-13 vs Astralis Apr 6
13-11 vs BC.Game Apr 4
16-14 vs Liquid Mar 22
Spirit
13-3 vs The Huns May 9
13-8 vs RED Canids Apr 15
13-2 vs Liquid Apr 13
8-13 vs PARIVISION Mar 21
13-11 vs Liquid Mar 19
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