Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-10
The MongolZ
vs
Spirit
37%
63%
Series win probability
SPIR
2–0
37%
SPIR
2–1
26%
TM
2–1
22%
TM
2–0
16%
Model Insights
Spirit has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.03), a strong dust2 (61% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2
37%
Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
25%
Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Mirage
TM
9
–
13
SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23
vs magic
May 8
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
Spirit
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
Dust2
TM
8
–
13
SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
13-3
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 7
Spirit
13-6
vs The Huns
May 9
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
Nuke
TM
11
–
13
SPIR
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Map Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Days With Lineup Team
TM
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
The MongolZ
10-13
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
13-11
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-11
vs MOUZ
Mar 19
19-17
vs paiN
Mar 6
Spirit
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-9
vs B8
Mar 7
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
7-13
vs FURIA
Feb 7
Mirage
TM
9
–
13
SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23
vs magic
May 8
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
Spirit
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
Dust2
TM
8
–
13
SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
13-3
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 7
Spirit
13-6
vs The Huns
May 9
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
Ancient
TM
9
–
13
SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
9-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
16-14
vs Liquid
Mar 22
Spirit
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-2
vs Liquid
Apr 13
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-11
vs Liquid
Mar 19
Mirage
TM
9
–
13
SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Pick Rate
TM
SPIR
CT 4v5
TM
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
The MongolZ
25-23
vs magic
May 8
14-16
vs FUT
Apr 10
13-8
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
4-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
Spirit
13-16
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-4
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-8
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
8-13
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-7
vs G2
Apr 15
Dust2
TM
8
–
13
SPIR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
The MongolZ
6-13
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
13-11
vs Wildcard
Apr 7
13-3
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Mar 9
13-9
vs Aurora
Mar 7
Spirit
13-6
vs The Huns
May 9
5-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
13-7
vs Falcons
Apr 18
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 17
13-11
vs G2
Apr 15
Overpass
TM
8
–
13
SPIR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
T Side
TM
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
11-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 8
Spirit
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
8-13
vs G2
Feb 3
Recent Results
last 11 matches
The MongolZ
Spirit
W
2-0
vs magic
MirageInferno
May 8
2d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 11
29d ago
L
0-2
vs FUT
NukeMirage
Apr 10
30d ago
W
2-1
vs PARIVISION
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 9
31d ago
W
2-0
vs Wildcard
Dust2Nuke
Apr 7
33d ago
L
0-2
vs Astralis
MirageAncient
Apr 6
34d ago
W
2-0
vs EYEBALLERS
OverpassMirage
Apr 5
35d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2Ancient
Apr 4
36d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
InfernoMirage
Mar 27
44d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
NukeOverpass
Mar 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientMirage
Mar 22
49d ago
W
2-0
vs The Huns
Dust2Ancient
May 9
1d ago
L
0-3
vs Vitality
MirageNukeDust2
Apr 19
21d ago
W
2-0
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
22d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 17
23d ago
W
2-1
vs RED Canids
MirageAncientOverpass
Apr 15
25d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
MirageDust2
Apr 15
25d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
AncientDust2
Apr 13
27d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
NukeOverpass
Mar 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
OverpassDust2
Mar 22
49d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
AnubisAncient
Mar 21
50d ago
Player Matchups
The MongolZ
Ratings
Spirit
91
910
AWPADR 75.2KAST 72%
DO
donk
EntryADR 91.9KAST 77%
MZ
mzinho
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 72%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 76.1KAST 76%
CO
cobrazera
EntryADR 75.4KAST 70%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 74.0KAST 72%
TE
Techno
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 70%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 67.8KAST 74%
BL
bLitz
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 69%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 74%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Anubis
TM
7
–
13
SPIR
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
After First Death
TM
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
The MongolZ
no data
Spirit
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-10
vs G2
Mar 8
13-7
vs B8
Mar 7
13-8
vs G2
Feb 3
Overpass
TM
8
–
13
SPIR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
T Side
TM
SPIR
Recent on Overpass
The MongolZ
13-7
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 5
13-9
vs Spirit
Mar 23
13-16
vs Vitality
Mar 21
11-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 8
Spirit
13-2
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
9-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
13-6
vs 9z
Mar 22
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Mar 6
8-13
vs G2
Feb 3
Ancient
TM
9
–
13
SPIR
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Overall Rating
TM
SPIR
Round Win Rate
TM
SPIR
Map ADR
TM
SPIR
After First Kill
TM
SPIR
Ranking
TM
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
The MongolZ
13-2
vs 3DMAX
Apr 11
13-9
vs PARIVISION
Apr 9
9-13
vs Astralis
Apr 6
13-11
vs BC.Game
Apr 4
16-14
vs Liquid
Mar 22
Spirit
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
13-8
vs RED Canids
Apr 15
13-2
vs Liquid
Apr 13
8-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
13-11
vs Liquid
Mar 19
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5 matches