Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-10
Falcons
vs
9z
56%
44%
Series win probability
FALC
2–0
29%
FALC
2–1
27%
9Z
2–1
24%
9Z
2–0
20%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Falcons is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Dust2 · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2
33%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3
32%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
9Z
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Round Win Rate
FALC
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Nuke
FALC
13
–
10
9Z
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
9z
13-4
vs Legacy
Apr 26
3-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-7
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
16-14
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
Ancient
FALC
16
–
14
9Z
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Days With Lineup Team
FALC
9Z
Recent on Ancient
Falcons
13-11
vs K27
May 9
13-1
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
10-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
13-1
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
13-6
vs NRG
Mar 18
9z
13-8
vs PARIVISION
May 9
13-11
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-4
vs red canids academy
Mar 31
11-13
vs GameHunters
Mar 26
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
9Z
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Round Win Rate
FALC
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Nuke
FALC
13
–
10
9Z
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
9z
13-4
vs Legacy
Apr 26
3-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-7
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
16-14
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
Mirage
FALC
10
–
13
9Z
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
11-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
9z
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
13-5
vs ex-KRÜ
Feb 8
Dust2
FALC
14
–
16
9Z
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Round Win Rate
FALC
9Z
Recent on Dust2
Falcons
13-5
vs K27
May 9
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
7-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
6-13
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-16
vs FURIA
Mar 23
9z
4-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-8
vs Vasco
Apr 25
13-3
vs Vasco
Apr 23
13-6
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-8
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
Nuke
FALC
13
–
10
9Z
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Nuke
Falcons
16-14
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-10
vs FURIA
Mar 23
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Feb 14
9z
13-4
vs Legacy
Apr 26
3-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
13-7
vs ALKA
Apr 22
13-7
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
16-14
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
Inferno
FALC
10
–
13
9Z
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
14-16
vs MOUZ
Feb 3
9z
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 9
9-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
10-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Apr 1
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Falcons
9z
W
2-0
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
May 9
1d ago
W
2-0
vs FURIA
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
21d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Mirage
Apr 18
22d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 15
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
26d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
InfernoAncient
Apr 13
27d ago
L
0-2
vs PARIVISION
MirageAncient
Mar 27
44d ago
W
2-1
vs FURIA
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 23
48d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
InfernoAncientMirage
Mar 22
49d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
MirageInfernoDust2
Mar 20
51d ago
W
2-0
vs NRG
AncientDust2
Mar 18
53d ago
W
2-0
vs PARIVISION
InfernoAncient
May 9
1d ago
L
2-3
vs Legacy
AncientDust2MirageNukeAnubis
Apr 26
14d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 25
15d ago
L
0-2
vs legacy
InfernoNuke
Apr 24
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Vasco
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
17d ago
W
2-0
vs ALKA
Dust2Nuke
Apr 22
18d ago
W
3-1
vs ODDIK
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 3
37d ago
W
2-1
vs ODDIK
Dust2NukeInferno
Apr 2
38d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
InfernoNuke
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-0
vs red canids academy
AncientOverpass
Mar 31
40d ago
W
3-2
vs legacy
Dust2AnubisInfernoMirageNuke
Mar 30
41d ago
Player Matchups
Falcons
Ratings
9z
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 81.2KAST 79%
LU
luchov
RiflerADR 84.7KAST 74%
KY
kyousuke
EntryADR 80.8KAST 73%
DG
dgt
EntryADR 80.5KAST 75%
NI
NiKo
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 73%
HU
HUASOPEEK
RiflerADR 73.7KAST 74%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 74%
ME
meyern
AWPADR 61.5KAST 74%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 64.7KAST 65%
MA
max
RiflerADR 65.2KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
FALC
10
–
13
9Z
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Recent on Inferno
Falcons
13-10
vs 3DMAX
Apr 13
14-16
vs TYLOO
Mar 22
9-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 20
13-4
vs FURIA
Feb 16
14-16
vs MOUZ
Feb 3
9z
13-6
vs PARIVISION
May 9
9-13
vs legacy
Apr 24
10-13
vs ODDIK
Apr 3
13-2
vs ODDIK
Apr 2
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Apr 1
Anubis
FALC
11
–
13
9Z
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Round Win Rate
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Anubis
Falcons
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
13-11
vs FURIA
Feb 16
13-9
vs FaZe
Feb 15
13-5
vs 3DMAX
Feb 3
7-13
vs Aurora
Feb 1
9z
11-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-11
vs legacy
Mar 30
Mirage
FALC
10
–
13
9Z
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FALC
9Z
After First Kill
FALC
9Z
After First Death
FALC
9Z
Schedule Strength
FALC
9Z
Overall Rating
FALC
9Z
Recent on Mirage
Falcons
13-11
vs FURIA
Apr 19
4-13
vs Spirit
Apr 18
13-10
vs Vitality
Apr 15
13-5
vs Spirit
Apr 14
11-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 27
9z
10-13
vs Legacy
Apr 26
13-10
vs legacy
Mar 30
11-13
vs Imperial
Mar 29
13-11
vs Sharks
Mar 1
13-5
vs ex-KRÜ
Feb 8
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches