Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-10
FURIA
vs
HEROIC
63%
37%
Series win probability
FURI
2–1
32%
FURI
2–0
31%
HERO
2–0
20%
HERO
2–1
17%
Model Insights
FURIA has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
33%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3
33%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Dust2
FURI
13
–
10
HERO
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-9
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
16-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
11-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Nuke
FURI
13
–
11
HERO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
16-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
10-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Inferno
FURI
13
–
10
HERO
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-5
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
13-3
vs Passion UA
Apr 13
6-13
vs Aurora
Mar 20
4-13
vs Astralis
Mar 10
13-6
vs paiN
Mar 9
HEROIC
13-5
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Acend
Mar 30
13-1
vs Fluxo
Mar 28
9-13
vs FURIA
Mar 8
3-13
vs MOUZ
Mar 6
Dust2
FURI
13
–
10
HERO
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-9
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
16-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
11-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Nuke
FURI
13
–
11
HERO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
16-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
10-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Mirage
FURI
13
–
9
HERO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
HEROIC
13-8
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
13-7
vs Nemesis
Apr 2
13-8
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
10-13
vs Acend
Mar 30
Dust2
FURI
13
–
10
HERO
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-9
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
13-4
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
16-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11
vs Aurora
May 8
9-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
14-16
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-9
vs BIG
Apr 24
11-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Nuke
FURI
13
–
11
HERO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
3-13
vs FaZe
Apr 30
5-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
16-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
10-13
vs Falcons
Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8
vs Aurora
May 8
0-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs Monte
Apr 25
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
Overpass
FURI
14
–
16
HERO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
3-13
vs HEROIC
Mar 8
8-13
vs 3DMAX
Mar 7
HEROIC
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
13-5
vs Passion UA
Mar 4
Recent Results
last 11 matches
FURIA
HEROIC
W
2-0
vs Monte
NukeOverpass
May 9
1d ago
L
1-2
vs FaZe
Dust2MirageNuke
Apr 30
10d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
InfernoNukeMirage
Apr 29
11d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
Dust2Mirage
Apr 19
21d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
OverpassAncient
Apr 18
22d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2
Apr 15
25d ago
W
2-1
vs Natus Vincere
MirageDust2Nuke
Apr 14
26d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
InfernoMirage
Apr 13
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
Mar 23
48d ago
W
2-1
vs NRG
MirageNukeDust2
Mar 22
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Aurora
Dust2Inferno
Mar 20
51d ago
W
2-0
vs Aurora
NukeDust2
May 8
2d ago
L
1-3
vs Monte
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
14d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
15d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeMirage
Apr 3
37d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
AncientNukeDust2
Apr 3
37d ago
W
2-0
vs Nemesis
NukeMirage
Apr 2
38d ago
L
1-2
vs BetBoom
MirageDust2Overpass
Apr 1
39d ago
L
1-2
vs Acend
InfernoDust2Mirage
Mar 30
41d ago
W
1-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2
Mar 28
43d ago
W
1-0
vs SAW
Mirage
Mar 28
43d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
HEROIC
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 79.5KAST 74%
NI
nilo
EntryADR 76.3KAST 75%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 72.5KAST 72%
XF
xfl0ud
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 74%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 71%
YX
yxngstxr
AWPADR 68.0KAST 73%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 73%
SU
susp
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 74%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 62.1KAST 70%
CH
Chr1zN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
FURI
13
–
6
HERO
81%
19%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13
vs Falcons
Feb 16
13-9
vs FUT
Feb 15
HEROIC
no data
Ancient
FURI
9
–
13
HERO
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
HEROIC
10-13
vs Monte
Apr 26
13-9
vs BetBoom
Apr 3
13-5
vs FUT
Mar 7
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Feb 28
13-10
vs ASTRAL
Feb 26
Mirage
FURI
13
–
9
HERO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7
vs FaZe
Apr 30
10-13
vs GamerLegion
Apr 29
11-13
vs Falcons
Apr 19
13-5
vs MOUZ
Apr 15
3-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 14
HEROIC
13-8
vs Monte
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 3
13-7
vs Nemesis
Apr 2
13-8
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
10-13
vs Acend
Mar 30
Overpass
FURI
14
–
16
HERO
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
13-3
vs Monte
May 9
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 18
13-11
vs TYLOO
Mar 18
3-13
vs HEROIC
Mar 8
8-13
vs 3DMAX
Mar 7
HEROIC
13-7
vs BIG
Apr 24
7-13
vs BetBoom
Apr 1
11-13
vs Tricked
Mar 25
13-3
vs FURIA
Mar 8
13-5
vs Passion UA
Mar 4
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches