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Bo3  ·  PGL Astana 2026 · 2026-05-10
FURIA
vs
HEROIC
63%
37%
Series win probability
FURI 2–1 32%
FURI 2–0 31%
HERO 2–0 20%
HERO 2–1 17%
Model Insights
FURIA has a moderate edge at 63%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (66% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 34% Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2 33% Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3 33% Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Dust2
FURI 13 10 HERO
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11 vs Aurora May 8
9-13 vs Monte Apr 26
14-16 vs Monte Apr 25
13-9 vs BIG Apr 24
11-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Nuke
FURI 13 11 HERO
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8 vs Aurora May 8
0-13 vs Monte Apr 26
13-9 vs Monte Apr 25
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 3
7-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Inferno
FURI 13 10 HERO
66%
34%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Inferno
FURIA
13-5 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
13-3 vs Passion UA Apr 13
6-13 vs Aurora Mar 20
4-13 vs Astralis Mar 10
13-6 vs paiN Mar 9
HEROIC
13-5 vs Monte Apr 26
14-16 vs Acend Mar 30
13-1 vs Fluxo Mar 28
9-13 vs FURIA Mar 8
3-13 vs MOUZ Mar 6
Dust2
FURI 13 10 HERO
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11 vs Aurora May 8
9-13 vs Monte Apr 26
14-16 vs Monte Apr 25
13-9 vs BIG Apr 24
11-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Nuke
FURI 13 11 HERO
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8 vs Aurora May 8
0-13 vs Monte Apr 26
13-9 vs Monte Apr 25
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 3
7-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Mirage
FURI 13 9 HERO
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
10-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
HEROIC
13-8 vs Monte Apr 25
13-7 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 3
13-7 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-8 vs BetBoom Apr 1
10-13 vs Acend Mar 30
Dust2
FURI 13 10 HERO
57%
43%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Recent on Dust2
FURIA
4-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-9 vs MOUZ Apr 15
13-4 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
16-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-11 vs Aurora May 8
9-13 vs Monte Apr 26
14-16 vs Monte Apr 25
13-9 vs BIG Apr 24
11-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Nuke
FURI 13 11 HERO
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
T Side
FURI
HERO
Recent on Nuke
FURIA
13-3 vs Monte May 9
3-13 vs FaZe Apr 30
5-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
16-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
10-13 vs Falcons Mar 23
HEROIC
13-8 vs Aurora May 8
0-13 vs Monte Apr 26
13-9 vs Monte Apr 25
16-14 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 3
7-13 vs BetBoom Apr 3
Overpass
FURI 14 16 HERO
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
13-3 vs Monte May 9
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 18
3-13 vs HEROIC Mar 8
8-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 7
HEROIC
13-7 vs BIG Apr 24
7-13 vs BetBoom Apr 1
11-13 vs Tricked Mar 25
13-3 vs FURIA Mar 8
13-5 vs Passion UA Mar 4
Recent Results last 11 matches
FURIA
HEROIC
W 2-0 vs Monte NukeOverpass May 9 1d ago
L 1-2 vs FaZe Dust2MirageNuke Apr 30 10d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion InfernoNukeMirage Apr 29 11d ago
L 0-2 vs Falcons Dust2Mirage Apr 19 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Vitality OverpassAncient Apr 18 22d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ MirageDust2 Apr 15 25d ago
W 2-1 vs Natus Vincere MirageDust2Nuke Apr 14 26d ago
W 2-0 vs Passion UA InfernoMirage Apr 13 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons MirageDust2Nuke Mar 23 48d ago
W 2-1 vs NRG MirageNukeDust2 Mar 22 49d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora Dust2Inferno Mar 20 51d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora NukeDust2 May 8 2d ago
L 1-3 vs Monte NukeDust2InfernoAncient Apr 26 14d ago
W 2-1 vs Monte NukeDust2Mirage Apr 25 15d ago
W 2-0 vs BIG Dust2Overpass Apr 24 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas NukeMirage Apr 3 37d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom AncientNukeDust2 Apr 3 37d ago
W 2-0 vs Nemesis NukeMirage Apr 2 38d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom MirageDust2Overpass Apr 1 39d ago
L 1-2 vs Acend InfernoDust2Mirage Mar 30 41d ago
W 1-0 vs CYBERSHOKE Dust2 Mar 28 43d ago
W 1-0 vs SAW Mirage Mar 28 43d ago
Player Matchups
FURIA
Ratings
HEROIC
KS
KSCERATO
EntryADR 79.5KAST 74%
1.18 vs 1.15
NI
nilo
EntryADR 76.3KAST 75%
MO
molodoy
AWPADR 72.5KAST 72%
1.08 vs 1.10
XF
xfl0ud
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 74%
YE
YEKINDAR
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.04
YX
yxngstxr
AWPADR 68.0KAST 73%
YU
yuurih
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 73%
0.96 vs 1.03
SU
susp
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 74%
FA
FalleN
RiflerADR 62.1KAST 70%
0.89 vs 0.98
CH
Chr1zN
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
FURI 13 6 HERO
81%
19%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Recent on Anubis
FURIA
11-13 vs Falcons Feb 16
13-9 vs FUT Feb 15
HEROIC
no data
Ancient
FURI 9 13 HERO
35%
65%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
Map ADR
FURI
HERO
Recent on Ancient
FURIA
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
HEROIC
10-13 vs Monte Apr 26
13-9 vs BetBoom Apr 3
13-5 vs FUT Mar 7
13-9 vs 100 Thieves Feb 28
13-10 vs ASTRAL Feb 26
Mirage
FURI 13 9 HERO
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Death
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Recent on Mirage
FURIA
13-7 vs FaZe Apr 30
10-13 vs GamerLegion Apr 29
11-13 vs Falcons Apr 19
13-5 vs MOUZ Apr 15
3-13 vs Natus Vincere Apr 14
HEROIC
13-8 vs Monte Apr 25
13-7 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Apr 3
13-7 vs Nemesis Apr 2
13-8 vs BetBoom Apr 1
10-13 vs Acend Mar 30
Overpass
FURI 14 16 HERO
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FURI
HERO
Ranking
FURI
HERO
After First Kill
FURI
HERO
Overall Rating
FURI
HERO
Schedule Strength
FURI
HERO
Recent on Overpass
FURIA
13-3 vs Monte May 9
10-13 vs Vitality Apr 18
13-11 vs TYLOO Mar 18
3-13 vs HEROIC Mar 8
8-13 vs 3DMAX Mar 7
HEROIC
13-7 vs BIG Apr 24
7-13 vs BetBoom Apr 1
11-13 vs Tricked Mar 25
13-3 vs FURIA Mar 8
13-5 vs Passion UA Mar 4
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