Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-10
Monte
vs
magic
38%
62%
Series win probability
MAGI
2–1
31%
MAGI
2–0
31%
MONT
2–0
20%
MONT
2–1
18%
Model Insights
magic has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#46 vs #20), a strong ancient (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
53%
Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
27%
Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3
20%
Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Dust2
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Pick Rate
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
Monte
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-8
vs Betclic
Apr 23
magic
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
Mirage
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Round Win Rate
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
magic
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 8
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
Ancient
MONT
8
–
13
MAGI
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Death
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Ancient
Monte
13-10
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-4
vs M80
Apr 1
6-13
vs legacy
Mar 7
3-13
vs Astralis
Mar 1
13-7
vs ECSTATIC
Feb 14
magic
6-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
13-2
vs Drama
Apr 5
9-13
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs K27
Apr 2
13-3
vs ACROBATS
Apr 1
Dust2
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Pick Rate
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
Monte
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-8
vs Betclic
Apr 23
magic
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
Mirage
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Round Win Rate
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
magic
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 8
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
Anubis
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Schedule Strength
MONT
MAGI
After First Death
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Dust2
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Pick Rate
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Dust2
Monte
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
13-9
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
16-14
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
13-7
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-8
vs Betclic
Apr 23
magic
13-4
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
6-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-1
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs CYBERSHOKE
Apr 4
Mirage
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Round Win Rate
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Mirage
Monte
8-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 25
10-13
vs M80
Apr 2
11-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-10
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
7-13
vs fnatic
Feb 21
magic
23-25
vs The MongolZ
May 8
19-16
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-2
vs Eternal Fire
May 2
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
7-13
vs big
Apr 5
Inferno
MONT
7
–
13
MAGI
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Schedule Strength
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
magic
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 8
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Monte
magic
L
0-2
vs FURIA
NukeOverpass
May 9
1d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 26
14d ago
W
3-1
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2InfernoAncient
Apr 26
14d ago
L
1-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 25
15d ago
W
2-1
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
NukeDust2Anubis
Apr 24
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Apr 23
17d ago
L
1-2
vs M80
InfernoDust2Mirage
Apr 2
38d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
AncientDust2
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-0
vs Alliance
AnubisNuke
Mar 31
40d ago
W
2-0
vs Passion UA
AnubisDust2
Mar 31
40d ago
W
2-0
vs HAVU
NukeDust2
Mar 30
41d ago
L
0-2
vs The MongolZ
MirageInferno
May 8
2d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 3
7d ago
W
2-0
vs Eternal Fire
MirageDust2
May 2
8d ago
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisMirageAncient
Apr 25
15d ago
W
2-0
vs Drama
InfernoAncient
Apr 5
35d ago
L
0-2
vs big
MirageOverpass
Apr 5
35d ago
L
1-2
vs illwill
Dust2MirageAnubis
Apr 5
35d ago
W
2-0
vs Re Di
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
36d ago
W
2-0
vs PIVOSQUAD
Dust2Anubis
Apr 4
36d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
MirageDust2
Apr 4
36d ago
W
3-2
vs K27
AncientMirageDust2OverpassAnubis
Apr 3
37d ago
Player Matchups
Monte
Ratings
magic
AF
afro
AWPADR 78.6KAST 73%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 72%
RA
Rainwaker
EntryADR 75.6KAST 73%
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 75.7KAST 73%
BY
Bymas
RiflerADR 65.9KAST 73%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 79.7KAST 72%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 69%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 73%
AZ
AZUWU
RiflerADR 69.8KAST 69%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Inferno
MONT
7
–
13
MAGI
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Schedule Strength
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Inferno
Monte
5-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 26
13-8
vs M80
Apr 2
13-11
vs 9INE
Mar 25
1-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 6
13-7
vs PARIVISION
Mar 4
magic
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 8
22-19
vs Gentle Mates
May 3
13-5
vs Drama
Apr 5
8-13
vs 100 Thieves
Mar 31
Anubis
MONT
10
–
13
MAGI
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Overall Rating
MONT
MAGI
Schedule Strength
MONT
MAGI
After First Death
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Anubis
Monte
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 26
16-14
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 24
13-11
vs Alliance
Mar 31
13-8
vs Passion UA
Mar 31
10-13
vs BetBoom
Mar 25
magic
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
13-6
vs K27
Apr 3
Overpass
MONT
14
–
16
MAGI
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MONT
MAGI
Ranking
MONT
MAGI
Round Win Rate
MONT
MAGI
Map ADR
MONT
MAGI
Schedule Strength
MONT
MAGI
Recent on Overpass
Monte
3-13
vs FURIA
May 9
3-13
vs 9INE
Mar 25
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 8
16-19
vs fnatic
Feb 21
magic
11-13
vs big
Apr 5
13-11
vs K27
Apr 3
13-9
vs Inner Circle Academy
Mar 23
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