Bo3 · PGL Astana 2026
· 2026-05-10
Aurora
vs
The Huns
59%
41%
Series win probability
AURO
2–1
32%
AURO
2–0
26%
TH
2–0
24%
TH
2–1
18%
Model Insights
Aurora has a moderate edge at 59%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#11 vs #79), a strong inferno (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
45%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2
38%
Dust2 · Nuke · Overpass
Scenario 3
17%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Dust2
AURO
16
–
14
TH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Round Win Rate
AURO
TH
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
4-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
16-13
vs HOTU
Apr 13
13-4
vs Sashi
Mar 31
The Huns
6-13
vs Spirit
May 9
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
Nuke
AURO
16
–
14
TH
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 23
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 18
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Inferno
AURO
13
–
8
TH
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Map ADR
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Recent on Inferno
Aurora
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
13-2
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-3
vs M80
Mar 31
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
13-6
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
The Huns
13-4
vs DEPO
Apr 2
9-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
8-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 20
13-7
vs 5star
Mar 19
11-13
vs The QUBE
Mar 17
Dust2
AURO
16
–
14
TH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Round Win Rate
AURO
TH
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
4-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
16-13
vs HOTU
Apr 13
13-4
vs Sashi
Mar 31
The Huns
6-13
vs Spirit
May 9
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
Nuke
AURO
16
–
14
TH
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 23
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 18
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Overpass
AURO
13
–
7
TH
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Map ADR
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs M80
Mar 31
8-13
vs Legacy
Mar 13
The Huns
13-4
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-7
vs The MongolZ Academy
Mar 16
25-21
vs Chinggis Warriors
Feb 26
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 6
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 5
Dust2
AURO
16
–
14
TH
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Round Win Rate
AURO
TH
Recent on Dust2
Aurora
11-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
4-13
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
4-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
16-13
vs HOTU
Apr 13
13-4
vs Sashi
Mar 31
The Huns
6-13
vs Spirit
May 9
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
13-5
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
Nuke
AURO
16
–
14
TH
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
After First Death
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Recent on Nuke
Aurora
8-13
vs HEROIC
May 8
13-10
vs INFINITE
Mar 30
5-13
vs Vitality
Mar 28
10-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 23
11-13
vs FaZe
Mar 18
The Huns
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 29
10-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-4
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-11
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
13-6
vs XDM
Apr 1
Mirage
AURO
13
–
9
TH
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Overall Rating
AURO
TH
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
The Huns
6-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
22-19
vs XDM
Apr 1
3-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-4
vs VTM
Mar 31
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Aurora
The Huns
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeDust2
May 8
2d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
MirageOverpass
Apr 15
25d ago
L
1-2
vs Natus Vincere
InfernoMirageDust2
Apr 15
25d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 14
26d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
MirageDust2
Apr 13
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
InfernoAnubisOverpass
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-0
vs Sashi
OverpassDust2
Mar 31
40d ago
L
1-2
vs M80
InfernoAnubisOverpass
Mar 31
40d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
NukeDust2
Mar 30
41d ago
L
0-2
vs Vitality
InfernoNuke
Mar 28
43d ago
W
2-0
vs The MongolZ
InfernoMirage
Mar 27
44d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Ancient
May 9
1d ago
L
0-2
vs NEXVOID
Dust2Nuke
Apr 29
11d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
MirageNuke
Apr 3
37d ago
W
3-0
vs DEPO
MirageInfernoDust2
Apr 2
38d ago
W
2-0
vs Chinggis Warriors
NukeDust2
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-1
vs NEXVOID
Dust2NukeAncient
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-0
vs XDM
MirageNuke
Apr 1
39d ago
L
1-2
vs Chinggis Warriors
MirageNukeAncient
Apr 1
39d ago
W
2-0
vs VTM
MirageAncient
Mar 31
40d ago
L
1-2
vs NEXVOID
NukeOverpassInferno
Mar 31
40d ago
W
2-0
vs Sensation
Dust2Nuke
Mar 20
51d ago
Player Matchups
Aurora
Ratings
The Huns
WI
Wicadia
RiflerADR 80.9KAST 72%
SK
sk0R
EntryADR 82.1KAST 71%
XA
XANTARES
EntryADR 80.8KAST 73%
NI
nin9
AWPADR 73.5KAST 71%
WO
woxic
AWPADR 71.9KAST 74%
XE
xerolte
RiflerADR 74.9KAST 71%
SO
soulfly
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 73%
CO
controlez
RiflerADR 77.6KAST 70%
MA
MAJ3R
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 69%
BA
Bart4k
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
AURO
13
–
5
TH
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Map ADR
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Recent on Anubis
Aurora
9-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
10-13
vs M80
Mar 31
8-13
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 23
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Mar 15
13-11
vs G2
Mar 9
The Huns
no data
Overpass
AURO
13
–
7
TH
80%
20%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Map ADR
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Recent on Overpass
Aurora
13-6
vs B8
Apr 15
11-13
vs Alliance
Apr 1
13-7
vs Sashi
Mar 31
11-13
vs M80
Mar 31
8-13
vs Legacy
Mar 13
The Huns
13-4
vs NEXVOID
Mar 31
13-7
vs The MongolZ Academy
Mar 16
25-21
vs Chinggis Warriors
Feb 26
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 6
10-13
vs NEXVOID
Feb 5
Mirage
AURO
13
–
9
TH
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Overall Rating
AURO
TH
Recent on Mirage
Aurora
13-7
vs B8
Apr 15
13-11
vs Natus Vincere
Apr 15
8-13
vs MOUZ
Apr 14
13-4
vs HOTU
Apr 13
13-9
vs The MongolZ
Mar 27
The Huns
6-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 3
13-9
vs DEPO
Apr 2
22-19
vs XDM
Apr 1
3-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-4
vs VTM
Mar 31
Ancient
AURO
10
–
13
TH
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AURO
TH
After First Kill
AURO
TH
Entry Score
AURO
TH
Schedule Strength
AURO
TH
Overall Rating
AURO
TH
Recent on Ancient
Aurora
22-25
vs Vitality
Feb 3
The Huns
3-13
vs Spirit
May 9
13-6
vs NEXVOID
Apr 1
4-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 1
13-8
vs VTM
Mar 31
6-13
vs 5star
Mar 19
More from PGL Astana 2026
5 matches