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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
tnc
vs
rune eaters ✓
32%
68%
Series win probability
RE 2–0 59%
TNC 2–1 27%
RE 2–1 9%
TNC 2–0 5%
Actual result
Ancient 13–8
Mirage 13–7
Model Insights
rune eaters has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#145 vs #140), a strong dust2 (87% win probability). tnc's best shot is mirage where they hold a 70% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 51% Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 37% Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3 12% Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
TNC 8 – 13 RE
20%
80%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Recent on Ancient
tnc
11-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
rune eaters
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs Lavked Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
8-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Dust2
TNC 7 – 13 RE
26%
74%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Dust2
tnc
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
rune eaters
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs Omega Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Mirage
TNC 13 – 10 RE
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Recent on Mirage
tnc
4-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
6-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
13-9 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
10-13 vs megoshort Apr 4
rune eaters
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs Lavked Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
7-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Ancient
TNC 8 – 13 RE
20%
80%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Recent on Ancient
tnc
11-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
rune eaters
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs Lavked Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
8-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Dust2
TNC 7 – 13 RE
26%
74%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Dust2
tnc
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
rune eaters
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs Omega Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Nuke
TNC 7 – 13 RE
21%
79%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Nuke
tnc
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 20
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
rune eaters
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 8
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
9-13 vs TNT Apr 1
5-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 30
Ancient
TNC 8 – 13 RE
20%
80%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Recent on Ancient
tnc
11-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
rune eaters
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs Lavked Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
8-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Dust2
TNC 7 – 13 RE
26%
74%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Dust2
tnc
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
rune eaters
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs Omega Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Anubis
TNC 13 – 8 RE
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Recent on Anubis
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30
rune eaters
13-10 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
17-19 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 28
16-14 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
13-11 vs Leo Mar 17
Recent Results last 11 matches
tnc
rune eaters
L 0-2 vs zajezdzacze AncientMirage Apr 20 6d ago
W 2-0 vs Rebels Dust2Nuke Apr 20 6d ago
W 2-0 vs XI AnubisAncient Apr 19 7d ago
L 1-2 vs zajezdzacze NukeMirageAncient Apr 19 7d ago
W 2-0 vs Phantom Academy MirageAncient Apr 19 7d ago
L 0-1 vs Sashi Dust2 Apr 15 11d ago
W 1-0 vs ECSTATIC Ancient Apr 12 14d ago
L 1-2 vs elitenergy OverpassAncientNuke Apr 7 19d ago
W 2-0 vs mana Dust2Ancient Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs qwentry OverpassAncientMirage Apr 5 21d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageAncient Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs rottweilers AncientMirage Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked Dust2MirageAncient Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE NukeMirage Apr 8 18d ago
W 2-1 vs eLITenergy InfernoDust2Anubis Apr 7 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Basement Bobs InfernoMirageAncient Apr 6 20d ago
L 1-2 vs BRUTE NukeDust2Anubis Apr 6 20d ago
L 0-2 vs ENCE Academy NukeAncient Apr 4 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Omega AncientDust2Mirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 24d ago
L 0-2 vs TNT NukeDust2 Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs RUSTEC MirageDust2Nuke Mar 30 27d ago
Player Matchups
tnc
Rating 3.0
rune eaters
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.09
DE
demente
EntryADR 78.4KAST 72%
MA
maaryy
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 73%
1.02 vs 1.06
FO
forkyz
AWPADR 78.7KAST 70%
YV
yvro
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 72%
1.01 vs 1.05
HE
her1tage
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 71%
— vs 1.02
NO
noni
AWPADR 69.9KAST 70%
— vs 1.01
KU
kumao
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
TNC 7 – 13 RE
16%
84%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Star Player
TNC
RE
Recent on Inferno
tnc
no data
rune eaters
13-4 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
9-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
10-13 vs Lilmix Apr 2
6-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
16-13 vs zajezdzacze Mar 15
Nuke
TNC 7 – 13 RE
21%
79%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Nuke
tnc
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 20
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
rune eaters
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 8
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
9-13 vs TNT Apr 1
5-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 30
Overpass
TNC 10 – 13 RE
28%
72%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
CT Side
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Overpass
tnc
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
8-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
13-4 vs Hashiras Mar 28
9-13 vs STATE Mar 25
rune eaters
4-13 vs Hashiras Mar 22
5-13 vs Leo Mar 17
4-13 vs Nemiga Mar 13
13-16 vs Eternal Fire Mar 5
Anubis
TNC 13 – 8 RE
71%
29%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Recent on Anubis
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30
rune eaters
13-10 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
17-19 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 28
16-14 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
13-11 vs Leo Mar 17