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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
tnc
vs
rune eaters ✓
40%
60%
Series win probability
RE 2–0 49%
TNC 2–1 32%
RE 2–1 11%
TNC 2–0 8%
Actual result
Ancient 13–8 RE
Mirage 13–7 TNC
Overpass 16–13 RE
Model Insights
rune eaters has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.00), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#145 vs #140), a strong dust2 (77% win probability). tnc's best shot is mirage where they hold a 70% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Ancient
TNC 8 – 13 RE
20%
80%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
Recent on Ancient
tnc
11-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
rune eaters
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs Lavked Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
8-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Dust2
TNC 8 – 13 RE
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Dust2
tnc
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
rune eaters
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs Omega Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Mirage
TNC 13 – 10 RE
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
Days With Lineup Diff
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Recent on Mirage
tnc
4-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
6-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
13-9 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
10-13 vs megoshort Apr 4
rune eaters
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs Lavked Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
7-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps 7 maps
Nuke
TNC 8 – 13 RE
26%
74%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Nuke
tnc
13-9 vs Rebels Apr 20
16-14 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
10-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
13-6 vs just players Apr 3
16-12 vs yngods Mar 30
rune eaters
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 8
9-13 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
9-13 vs TNT Apr 1
5-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 30
Inferno
TNC 9 – 13 RE
27%
73%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
Star Player
TNC
RE
Recent on Inferno
tnc
no data
rune eaters
13-4 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
9-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
10-13 vs Lilmix Apr 2
6-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
16-13 vs zajezdzacze Mar 15
Anubis
TNC 13 – 8 RE
70%
30%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
After First Death
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Recent on Anubis
tnc
13-2 vs XI Apr 19
13-3 vs MINLATE Mar 30
rune eaters
13-10 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
17-19 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 28
16-14 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
13-11 vs Leo Mar 17
Overpass
TNC 11 – 13 RE
34%
66%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Recent on Overpass
tnc
8-13 vs elitenergy Apr 7
8-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
13-4 vs Hashiras Mar 28
9-13 vs STATE Mar 25
rune eaters
4-13 vs Hashiras Mar 22
5-13 vs Leo Mar 17
4-13 vs Nemiga Mar 13
13-16 vs Eternal Fire Mar 5
Ancient
TNC 8 – 13 RE
20%
80%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
Recent on Ancient
tnc
11-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
13-11 vs XI Apr 19
7-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
16-12 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Apr 12
rune eaters
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs Lavked Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs ENCE Academy Apr 4
8-13 vs Omega Apr 3
Dust2
TNC 8 – 13 RE
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TNC
RE
After First Kill
TNC
RE
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
T Side
TNC
RE
Recent on Dust2
tnc
13-6 vs Rebels Apr 20
6-13 vs Sashi Apr 15
13-9 vs mana Apr 6
9-13 vs ex-ruby Apr 3
9-13 vs heroic academy Apr 1
rune eaters
10-13 vs Lavked Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs Omega Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Mirage
TNC 13 – 10 RE
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
TNC
RE
Head-to-Head
TNC
RE
Opening Kills
TNC
RE
Days With Lineup Diff
TNC
RE
Map Win Rate
TNC
RE
Recent on Mirage
tnc
4-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 20
6-13 vs zajezdzacze Apr 19
13-9 vs Phantom Academy Apr 19
10-13 vs qwentry Apr 5
10-13 vs megoshort Apr 4
rune eaters
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs Lavked Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
7-13 vs Omega Apr 3
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