Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
sparta
vs
donstu
✗
53%
47%
Series win probability
SPAR
2–1
38%
DONS
2–1
37%
SPAR
2–0
15%
DONS
2–0
10%
Actual result
Ancient
13–11
DONS
Dust2
13–3
SPAR
Overpass
13–1
SPAR
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — sparta is slightly favored at 53% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#78 vs #173), a strong dust2 (92% win probability). donstu's best shot is ancient where they hold a 91% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
SPAR
13
–
7
DONS
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
Experience
SPAR
DONS
Opening Kills
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Dust2
sparta
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs TDK
Apr 2
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 10
10-13
vs ww
Mar 6
donstu
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
5-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
13-6
vs Endless Journey
Mar 14
13-8
vs Misa
Mar 12
Ancient
SPAR
7
–
13
DONS
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Ancient
sparta
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 10
13-9
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
9-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 5
donstu
10-13
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
16-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
14-16
vs QWENTRY
Mar 15
Anubis
SPAR
11
–
13
DONS
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Star Player
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Anubis
sparta
8-13
vs TDK
Feb 18
13-10
vs TNT
Feb 14
donstu
13-11
vs G2 Ares
Apr 22
13-6
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
7-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
16-12
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-2
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps
7 maps
Inferno
SPAR
13
–
4
DONS
98%
2%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Inferno
sparta
13-3
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
9-13
vs 1win
Mar 6
16-13
vs alliance
Feb 26
16-14
vs omega
Feb 19
8-13
vs ex-zero tenacity
Feb 17
donstu
6-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Overpass
SPAR
13
–
5
DONS
97%
3%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Overpass
sparta
11-13
vs TDK
Apr 2
13-6
vs WW
Mar 25
9-13
vs tdk
Mar 5
13-9
vs tdk
Feb 27
7-13
vs MOUZ NXT
Feb 22
donstu
13-10
vs G2 Ares
Apr 22
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
13-6
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
13-2
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-10
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
Mirage
SPAR
13
–
7
DONS
89%
11%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Mirage
sparta
7-13
vs WW
Mar 25
13-8
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs 1win
Mar 6
7-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
13-9
vs tdk
Mar 5
donstu
no data
Nuke
SPAR
8
–
13
DONS
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Nuke
sparta
7-13
vs WW
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs ww
Mar 6
11-13
vs nuclear tigeres
Mar 3
13-7
vs younglings
Mar 3
donstu
19-17
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
13-8
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-5
vs Misa
Mar 12
5-13
vs OLDBOYS PL
Mar 9
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Dust2
SPAR
13
–
7
DONS
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
Experience
SPAR
DONS
Opening Kills
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Dust2
sparta
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs TDK
Apr 2
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 10
10-13
vs ww
Mar 6
donstu
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
5-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
13-6
vs Endless Journey
Mar 14
13-8
vs Misa
Mar 12
Ancient
SPAR
7
–
13
DONS
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Kill
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Ancient
sparta
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs Nemiga
Mar 10
13-9
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
9-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 5
donstu
10-13
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 29
16-13
vs Young Ninjas
Mar 15
14-16
vs QWENTRY
Mar 15
Anubis
SPAR
11
–
13
DONS
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
SPAR
DONS
After First Death
SPAR
DONS
Ranking
SPAR
DONS
Head-to-Head
SPAR
DONS
Star Player
SPAR
DONS
Recent on Anubis
sparta
8-13
vs TDK
Feb 18
13-10
vs TNT
Feb 14
donstu
13-11
vs G2 Ares
Apr 22
13-6
vs VP.Prodigy
Apr 18
7-13
vs G2 Ares
Apr 3
16-12
vs The Last Resort
Apr 2
13-2
vs brazylijski luz
Apr 1
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