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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
eternal fire
vs
big academy ✓
24%
76%
Series win probability
BA 2–0 53%
BA 2–1 23%
EF 2–1 16%
EF 2–0 7%
Actual result
Mirage 16–14
Dust2 13–11
Model Insights
big academy is strongly favored at 76%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#159 vs #67), a strong mirage (74% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 56% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 26% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Scenario 3 18% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
EF 8 – 13 BA
25%
75%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Kill
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
5-13 vs aimclub Mar 30
13-9 vs Passion UA Mar 30
13-9 vs INFINITE Mar 29
3-13 vs 1win Mar 19
2-13 vs K27 Mar 18
big academy
7-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
7-13 vs japczany Mar 27
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 21
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Dust2
EF 10 – 13 BA
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-6 vs aimclub Mar 30
11-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 20
10-13 vs 1win Mar 19
10-13 vs K27 Mar 18
13-3 vs Omega Mar 15
big academy
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs japczany Mar 27
Ancient
EF 9 – 13 BA
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
After First Death
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
T Side
EF
BA
Recent on Ancient
eternal fire
8-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
13-6 vs K27 Mar 18
13-5 vs Omega Mar 15
7-13 vs Nemiga Mar 15
13-4 vs Nemesis Mar 14
big academy
11-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-9 vs HAVENs Apr 3
7-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
13-5 vs STATE Mar 26
13-10 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Mirage
EF 8 – 13 BA
25%
75%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Kill
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
5-13 vs aimclub Mar 30
13-9 vs Passion UA Mar 30
13-9 vs INFINITE Mar 29
3-13 vs 1win Mar 19
2-13 vs K27 Mar 18
big academy
7-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
7-13 vs japczany Mar 27
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 21
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Dust2
EF 10 – 13 BA
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-6 vs aimclub Mar 30
11-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 20
10-13 vs 1win Mar 19
10-13 vs K27 Mar 18
13-3 vs Omega Mar 15
big academy
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs japczany Mar 27
Overpass
EF 13 – 10 BA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Overpass
eternal fire
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
11-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
7-13 vs Nemiga Mar 15
13-11 vs FAVBET Mar 11
16-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 5
big academy
3-13 vs Lilmix Mar 20
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 18
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 16
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 7
Mirage
EF 8 – 13 BA
25%
75%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Kill
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Recent on Mirage
eternal fire
5-13 vs aimclub Mar 30
13-9 vs Passion UA Mar 30
13-9 vs INFINITE Mar 29
3-13 vs 1win Mar 19
2-13 vs K27 Mar 18
big academy
7-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
7-13 vs japczany Mar 27
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 21
6-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Dust2
EF 10 – 13 BA
29%
71%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Opening Score
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Dust2
eternal fire
13-6 vs aimclub Mar 30
11-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 20
10-13 vs 1win Mar 19
10-13 vs K27 Mar 18
13-3 vs Omega Mar 15
big academy
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs japczany Mar 27
Anubis
EF 13 – 7 BA
90%
10%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Death
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Anubis
eternal fire
13-9 vs Sashi Mar 31
9-13 vs Passion UA Mar 30
2-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
11-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 20
13-5 vs yngods Feb 15
big academy
16-14 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-7 vs STATE Mar 26
Recent Results last 11 matches
eternal fire
big academy
L 1-2 vs Sashi AnubisOverpassAncient Mar 31 26d ago
W 2-1 vs aimclub InfernoMirageDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Passion UA MirageInfernoAnubis Mar 30 27d ago
W 1-0 vs INFINITE Mirage Mar 29 28d ago
W 1-0 vs Drama Inferno Mar 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs BetBoom AnubisOverpass Mar 25 32d ago
W 1-0 vs ECSTATIC Inferno Mar 24 33d ago
L 0-2 vs HYPERSPIRIT AnubisDust2 Mar 20 37d ago
L 0-2 vs 1win MirageDust2 Mar 19 38d ago
L 1-2 vs K27 AncientMirageDust2 Mar 18 39d ago
W 2-0 vs MANA InfernoMirage Mar 17 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie Dust2Anubis Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs BESTIA Dust2AncientMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs HAVENs AncientDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs BESTIA Dust2Mirage Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs japczany Dust2Mirage Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs INFINITE AncientInferno Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs STATE AncientInfernoAnubis Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs INFURITY InfernoDust2Ancient Mar 25 32d ago
L 0-2 vs Bebop Dust2Mirage Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix OverpassDust2Ancient Mar 20 37d ago
L 0-2 vs ENCE Academy MirageNuke Mar 19 38d ago
Player Matchups
eternal fire
Rating 3.0
big academy
RE
regali
AWPADR 86.3KAST 81%
1.29 vs 1.14
JB
JBOEN
AWPADR 75.9KAST 71%
JO
jottAAA
EntryADR 80.1KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.03
PR
prosus
AWPADR 76.5KAST 72%
DE
DemQQ
AWPADR 70.2KAST 76%
1.08 vs 1.03
DO
doni
AWPADR 72.1KAST 72%
MI
MisteM
AWPADR 69.5KAST 72%
1.06 vs 0.97
TR
tripex17
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 67%
RI
rigoN
RiflerADR 76.5KAST 70%
1.01 vs 0.95
W1
w1dow
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
EF 13 – 5 BA
95%
5%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
After First Death
EF
BA
After First Kill
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
CT 4v5
EF
BA
Recent on Nuke
eternal fire
13-3 vs MASONIC Feb 1
big academy
7-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Inferno
EF 13 – 5 BA
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
After First Death
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Kill
EF
BA
Recent on Inferno
eternal fire
13-3 vs aimclub Mar 30
8-13 vs Passion UA Mar 30
13-11 vs Drama Mar 29
13-8 vs ECSTATIC Mar 24
13-5 vs MANA Mar 17
big academy
2-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
8-13 vs STATE Mar 26
13-11 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Anubis
EF 13 – 7 BA
90%
10%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
After First Death
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Anubis
eternal fire
13-9 vs Sashi Mar 31
9-13 vs Passion UA Mar 30
2-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
11-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 20
13-5 vs yngods Feb 15
big academy
16-14 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-7 vs STATE Mar 26
Overpass
EF 13 – 10 BA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EF
BA
Ranking
EF
BA
Map Player Rating
EF
BA
Round Win Rate
EF
BA
Map Win Rate
EF
BA
Recent on Overpass
eternal fire
10-13 vs Sashi Mar 31
11-13 vs BetBoom Mar 25
7-13 vs Nemiga Mar 15
13-11 vs FAVBET Mar 11
16-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 5
big academy
3-13 vs Lilmix Mar 20
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 18
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 16
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 7