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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
bet-m
vs
lilmix
35%
65%
Series win probability
LILM 2–1 34%
LILM 2–0 31%
BET- 2–1 24%
BET- 2–0 11%
Actual result
Dust2 13–7 BET-
Mirage 19–16 LILM
Ancient 13–7 LILM
Model Insights
lilmix has a moderate edge at 65%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#177 vs #55), a strong ancient (77% win probability). bet-m's best shot is inferno where they hold a 75% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 Ancient · Inferno · Mirage
Ancient
BET- 9 13 LILM
18%
82%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Opening Kills
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
5-13 vs Nemiga Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
14-16 vs Nemiga Mar 11
11-13 vs JiJieHao Mar 4
13-10 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Inferno
BET- 13 9 LILM
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Opening Kills
BET-
LILM
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
19-22 vs 1win Apr 5
13-10 vs Endless Journey Mar 22
13-7 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
13-8 vs AaB Mar 1
13-7 vs fnatic Feb 11
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Mirage
BET- 13 10 LILM
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
13-5 vs Acend Mar 7
13-8 vs UNiTY Mar 2
13-10 vs AaB Mar 1
7-13 vs Nemesis Feb 14
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps 7 maps
Anubis
BET- 13 7 LILM
89%
11%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Recent on Anubis
bet-m
16-19 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Nemiga Mar 11
13-10 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
4-13 vs Acend Mar 7
13-9 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Nuke
BET- 13 7 LILM
81%
19%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Recent on Nuke
bet-m
13-7 vs K27 Apr 5
13-7 vs HOTU Apr 4
16-14 vs 5Actors Apr 3
13-4 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
lilmix
no data
Dust2
BET- 13 8 LILM
75%
25%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Dust2
bet-m
7-13 vs 1win Apr 5
13-8 vs K27 Apr 5
13-8 vs HOTU Apr 4
13-6 vs 5Actors Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
lilmix
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
13-4 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Overpass
BET- 10 13 LILM
32%
68%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Star Player
BET-
LILM
Recent on Overpass
bet-m
no data
lilmix
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
13-3 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
Ancient
BET- 9 13 LILM
18%
82%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Opening Kills
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
5-13 vs Nemiga Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
14-16 vs Nemiga Mar 11
11-13 vs JiJieHao Mar 4
13-10 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Inferno
BET- 13 9 LILM
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Opening Kills
BET-
LILM
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
19-22 vs 1win Apr 5
13-10 vs Endless Journey Mar 22
13-7 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
13-8 vs AaB Mar 1
13-7 vs fnatic Feb 11
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Mirage
BET- 13 10 LILM
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
13-5 vs Acend Mar 7
13-8 vs UNiTY Mar 2
13-10 vs AaB Mar 1
7-13 vs Nemesis Feb 14
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 13 matches