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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
bet-m
vs
lilmix
74%
26%
Series win probability
BET- 2–1 47%
BET- 2–0 26%
LILM 2–0 16%
LILM 2–1 11%
Actual result
Mirage 19–16
Dust2 13–7
Model Insights
bet-m is strongly favored at 74%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#55 vs #177), a strong dust2 (91% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 45% Mirage · Inferno · Dust2
Scenario 2 42% Mirage · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 3 13% Mirage · Inferno · Anubis
Mirage
BET- 13 11 LILM
34%
66%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
13-5 vs Acend Mar 7
13-8 vs UNiTY Mar 2
13-10 vs AaB Mar 1
7-13 vs Nemesis Feb 14
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Inferno
BET- 13 7 LILM
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
19-22 vs 1win Apr 5
13-10 vs Endless Journey Mar 22
13-7 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
13-8 vs AaB Mar 1
13-7 vs fnatic Feb 11
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Dust2
BET- 13 7 LILM
82%
18%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Dust2
bet-m
7-13 vs 1win Apr 5
13-8 vs K27 Apr 5
13-8 vs HOTU Apr 4
13-6 vs 5Actors Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
lilmix
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
13-4 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Mirage
BET- 13 11 LILM
34%
66%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
13-5 vs Acend Mar 7
13-8 vs UNiTY Mar 2
13-10 vs AaB Mar 1
7-13 vs Nemesis Feb 14
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Inferno
BET- 13 7 LILM
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
19-22 vs 1win Apr 5
13-10 vs Endless Journey Mar 22
13-7 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
13-8 vs AaB Mar 1
13-7 vs fnatic Feb 11
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Ancient
BET- 8 13 LILM
13%
87%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
5-13 vs Nemiga Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
14-16 vs Nemiga Mar 11
11-13 vs JiJieHao Mar 4
13-10 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Mirage
BET- 13 11 LILM
34%
66%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Mirage
bet-m
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
13-5 vs Acend Mar 7
13-8 vs UNiTY Mar 2
13-10 vs AaB Mar 1
7-13 vs Nemesis Feb 14
lilmix
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
1-13 vs yngods Apr 1
5-13 vs AaB Mar 29
11-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-8 vs AKA HERO KAJO Mar 25
Inferno
BET- 13 7 LILM
76%
24%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Inferno
bet-m
19-22 vs 1win Apr 5
13-10 vs Endless Journey Mar 22
13-7 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
13-8 vs AaB Mar 1
13-7 vs fnatic Feb 11
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Anubis
BET- 13 7 LILM
90%
10%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Anubis
bet-m
16-19 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Nemiga Mar 11
13-10 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
4-13 vs Acend Mar 7
13-9 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Recent Results last 11 matches
bet-m
lilmix
L 0-2 vs 1win Dust2Inferno Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs K27 NukeDust2 Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs HOTU NukeDust2 Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs 5Actors Dust2Nuke Apr 3 23d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemiga AnubisNukeAncient Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Void Sentinels MirageNuke Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs Rebels NukeDust2Ancient Mar 31 26d ago
W 2-0 vs Endless Journey Dust2Inferno Mar 22 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Nemiga AnubisNukeAncient Mar 11 46d ago
W 2-0 vs Nemesis NukeDust2 Mar 10 47d ago
W 2-0 vs QUAZAR AnubisInferno Mar 9 48d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU OverpassDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 1-2 vs Rune Eaters InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs yngods MirageOverpassAnubis Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs AaB MirageOverpass Mar 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs MANA Dust2Inferno Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs CSDIILIT MirageAnubis Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-0 vs AKA HERO KAJO Dust2Mirage Mar 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs BIG Academy OverpassDust2Ancient Mar 20 37d ago
L 1-2 vs CSDIILIT OverpassMirageInferno Mar 19 38d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats AnubisInfernoMirage Mar 18 39d ago
Player Matchups
bet-m
Rating 3.0
lilmix
EX
executor
EntryADR 79.3KAST 73%
1.14 vs 1.03
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 70%
Z1
z1Nny
RiflerADR 79.2KAST 72%
1.10 vs 0.99
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 68.0KAST 72%
KI
KIRO
AWPADR 69.8KAST 73%
1.06 vs 0.99
BS
bsover
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 67%
BL
bluewh1te
AWPADR 73.1KAST 72%
1.05 vs 0.92
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 69%
KI
kinqie
AWPADR 66.8KAST 72%
0.98 vs 0.79
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.3KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
BET- 13 5 LILM
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
Recent on Nuke
bet-m
13-7 vs K27 Apr 5
13-7 vs HOTU Apr 4
16-14 vs 5Actors Apr 3
13-4 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Void Sentinels Apr 2
lilmix
no data
Anubis
BET- 13 7 LILM
90%
10%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Anubis
bet-m
16-19 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Nemiga Mar 11
13-10 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
4-13 vs Acend Mar 7
13-9 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
Ancient
BET- 8 13 LILM
13%
87%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Ranking
BET-
LILM
Round Win Rate
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
Map Win Rate
BET-
LILM
T Side
BET-
LILM
Recent on Ancient
bet-m
5-13 vs Nemiga Apr 3
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 31
14-16 vs Nemiga Mar 11
11-13 vs JiJieHao Mar 4
13-10 vs G2 Ares Mar 4
lilmix
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
6-13 vs Bebop Mar 14
9-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 13
13-5 vs ENCE Academy Mar 12
Overpass
BET- 9 13 LILM
28%
72%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BET-
LILM
Ranking
BET-
LILM
After First Death
BET-
LILM
After First Kill
BET-
LILM
Star Player
BET-
LILM
Recent on Overpass
bet-m
no data
lilmix
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
13-3 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
13-6 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19