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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
ex-ruby
vs
playersclub
64%
36%
Series win probability
EX-R 2–0 44%
PLAY 2–1 33%
EX-R 2–1 20%
PLAY 2–0 2%
Actual result
Ancient 13–8 EX-R
Nuke 13–5 PLAY
Dust2 13–6 PLAY
Model Insights
ex-ruby has a moderate edge at 64%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 0.00), a significant ranking advantage (#91 vs #204), a strong mirage (98% win probability). playersclub's best shot is ancient where they hold a 60% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Mirage
EX-R 13 5 PLAY
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-8 vs Metizport Apr 13
playersclub
9-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Dust2
EX-R 11 13 PLAY
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
ex-ruby
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-9 vs TNC Apr 3
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
16-12 vs Bebop Mar 31
13-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
playersclub
12-16 vs BRUTE Apr 20
13-4 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Ancient
EX-R 10 13 PLAY
38%
62%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
14-16 vs Lavked Apr 1
16-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
playersclub
13-7 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Player Matchups
Player data not available for this match
Unpredicted Maps 6 maps
Anubis
EX-R 13 8 PLAY
84%
16%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Opening Kills
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Anubis
ex-ruby
16-14 vs STATE Apr 11
13-10 vs STATE Apr 5
10-13 vs Friendly Campers Mar 17
13-7 vs CYBERSHOKE Mar 13
7-13 vs TDK Feb 25
playersclub
no data
Nuke
EX-R 8 13 PLAY
20%
80%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Nuke
ex-ruby
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
13-4 vs Phantom Apr 14
10-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
9-13 vs STATE Apr 11
7-13 vs STATE Apr 5
playersclub
13-4 vs BRUTE Apr 20
8-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Overpass
EX-R 11 13 PLAY
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Best Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Overpass
ex-ruby
3-13 vs TDK Apr 18
6-13 vs Tricked Apr 8
13-9 vs Omega Mar 19
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 15
16-12 vs los kogutos Mar 12
playersclub
13-5 vs BRUTE Apr 20
6-13 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Mirage
EX-R 13 5 PLAY
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-8 vs Metizport Apr 13
playersclub
9-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Dust2
EX-R 11 13 PLAY
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
ex-ruby
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-9 vs TNC Apr 3
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
16-12 vs Bebop Mar 31
13-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
playersclub
12-16 vs BRUTE Apr 20
13-4 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Ancient
EX-R 10 13 PLAY
38%
62%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
14-16 vs Lavked Apr 1
16-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
playersclub
13-7 vs Dripmen Apr 18
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 13 matches