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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
ex-ruby
vs
playersclub
62%
38%
Series win probability
EX-R 2–0 49%
PLAY 2–1 36%
EX-R 2–1 13%
PLAY 2–0 2%
Actual result
Dust2 13–6
Nuke 13–5
Model Insights
ex-ruby has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 0.00), a significant ranking advantage (#91 vs #204), a strong mirage (99% win probability). playersclub's best shot is nuke where they hold a 75% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 36% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 24% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Mirage
EX-R 13 4 PLAY
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-8 vs Metizport Apr 13
playersclub
9-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Dust2
EX-R 13 11 PLAY
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
ex-ruby
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-9 vs TNC Apr 3
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
16-12 vs Bebop Mar 31
13-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
playersclub
12-16 vs BRUTE Apr 20
13-4 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Nuke
EX-R 9 13 PLAY
27%
73%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Nuke
ex-ruby
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
13-4 vs Phantom Apr 14
10-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
9-13 vs STATE Apr 11
7-13 vs STATE Apr 5
playersclub
13-4 vs BRUTE Apr 20
8-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Mirage
EX-R 13 4 PLAY
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-8 vs Metizport Apr 13
playersclub
9-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Dust2
EX-R 13 11 PLAY
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
ex-ruby
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-9 vs TNC Apr 3
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
16-12 vs Bebop Mar 31
13-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
playersclub
12-16 vs BRUTE Apr 20
13-4 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Ancient
EX-R 13 10 PLAY
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
14-16 vs Lavked Apr 1
16-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
playersclub
13-7 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Mirage
EX-R 13 4 PLAY
97%
3%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Mirage
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
9-13 vs TDK Apr 18
16-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 17
14-16 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-8 vs Metizport Apr 13
playersclub
9-13 vs ence academy Mar 30
Dust2
EX-R 13 11 PLAY
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Dust2
ex-ruby
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 14
13-9 vs TNC Apr 3
6-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
16-12 vs Bebop Mar 31
13-16 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
playersclub
12-16 vs BRUTE Apr 20
13-4 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Overpass
EX-R 13 10 PLAY
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Schedule Strength
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Overpass
ex-ruby
3-13 vs TDK Apr 18
6-13 vs Tricked Apr 8
13-9 vs Omega Mar 19
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 15
16-12 vs los kogutos Mar 12
playersclub
13-5 vs BRUTE Apr 20
6-13 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Recent Results last 11 matches
ex-ruby
playersclub
W 2-0 vs Oxuji AncientMirage Apr 20 6d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK MirageOverpass Apr 18 8d ago
W 2-0 vs MOUZ NXT NukeMirage Apr 17 9d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom NukeMirageDust2 Apr 14 12d ago
L 1-2 vs Metizport MirageNukeAncient Apr 13 13d ago
W 2-1 vs STATE NukeMirageAnubis Apr 11 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricked OverpassMirage Apr 8 18d ago
W 2-1 vs STATE NukeMirageAnubis Apr 5 21d ago
W 2-0 vs TNC AncientDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked AncientNuke Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES MirageAncientDust2 Mar 31 26d ago
W 2-1 vs BRUTE Dust2OverpassNuke Apr 20 6d ago
W 2-1 vs Dripmen Dust2OverpassAncient Apr 18 8d ago
L 0-2 vs ence academy MirageNuke Mar 30 27d ago
Player Matchups
ex-ruby
Rating 3.0
playersclub
KA
Kaide
RiflerADR 84.0KAST 73%
1.13 vs
YU
YumsaN
AWPADR 71.9KAST 72%
1.05 vs
H4
H4SAN4TOR
AWPADR 76.8KAST 73%
1.04 vs
SH
sh1nejezzz
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 74%
1.03 vs
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
EX-R 13 7 PLAY
90%
10%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Kill
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Anubis
ex-ruby
16-14 vs STATE Apr 11
13-10 vs STATE Apr 5
10-13 vs Friendly Campers Mar 17
13-7 vs CYBERSHOKE Mar 13
7-13 vs TDK Feb 25
playersclub
no data
Ancient
EX-R 13 10 PLAY
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
After First Death
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Ancient
ex-ruby
13-10 vs Oxuji Apr 20
8-13 vs Metizport Apr 13
13-3 vs TNC Apr 3
14-16 vs Lavked Apr 1
16-19 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 31
playersclub
13-7 vs Dripmen Apr 18
Overpass
EX-R 13 10 PLAY
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
EX-R
PLAY
Head-to-Head
EX-R
PLAY
Map Player Rating
EX-R
PLAY
Star Player
EX-R
PLAY
Schedule Strength
EX-R
PLAY
Recent on Overpass
ex-ruby
3-13 vs TDK Apr 18
6-13 vs Tricked Apr 8
13-9 vs Omega Mar 19
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 15
16-12 vs los kogutos Mar 12
playersclub
13-5 vs BRUTE Apr 20
6-13 vs Dripmen Apr 18