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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
aimclub
vs
rustec ✓
8%
92%
Series win probability
RUST 2–0 51%
RUST 2–1 41%
AIMC 2–0 6%
AIMC 2–1 2%
Actual result
Dust2 13–8 RUST
Inferno 13–4 RUST
Model Insights
rustec is strongly favored at 92%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 0.96), a significant ranking advantage (#114 vs #157), a strong overpass (95% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 49% Dust2 · Mirage · Overpass
Scenario 2 28% Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3 23% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Dust2
AIMC 6 – 13 RUST
16%
84%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Round Win Rate
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Dust2
aimclub
16-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
9-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 22
10-13 vs yngods Apr 22
5-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 19
rustec
16-13 vs None Apr 24
4-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Apr 1
Mirage
AIMC 9 – 13 RUST
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Mirage
aimclub
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
17-19 vs None Apr 20
8-13 vs None Mar 30
13-5 vs None Mar 30
9-13 vs None Mar 29
rustec
10-13 vs None Apr 24
13-5 vs playersclub Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
Overpass
AIMC 4 – 13 RUST
5%
95%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Round Win Rate
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Overpass
aimclub
13-11 vs None Apr 20
9-13 vs None Mar 30
6-13 vs None Mar 16
13-4 vs mindshock Feb 24
rustec
16-13 vs None Apr 24
13-7 vs playersclub Apr 23
13-4 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-11 vs None Apr 3
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
Dust2
AIMC 6 – 13 RUST
16%
84%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Round Win Rate
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Dust2
aimclub
16-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
9-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 22
10-13 vs yngods Apr 22
5-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 19
rustec
16-13 vs None Apr 24
4-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Apr 1
Mirage
AIMC 9 – 13 RUST
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Mirage
aimclub
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
17-19 vs None Apr 20
8-13 vs None Mar 30
13-5 vs None Mar 30
9-13 vs None Mar 29
rustec
10-13 vs None Apr 24
13-5 vs playersclub Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
Ancient
AIMC 9 – 13 RUST
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Sniper Score
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Ancient
aimclub
13-4 vs yngods Apr 22
13-8 vs ADN Mar 29
6-13 vs None Mar 25
13-4 vs None Mar 24
13-8 vs None Mar 24
rustec
11-13 vs None Apr 8
13-7 vs None Mar 24
13-9 vs None Mar 9
3-13 vs None Feb 2
Dust2
AIMC 6 – 13 RUST
16%
84%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Round Win Rate
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Dust2
aimclub
16-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
9-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs BRUTE Apr 22
10-13 vs yngods Apr 22
5-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 19
rustec
16-13 vs None Apr 24
4-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Apr 1
Mirage
AIMC 9 – 13 RUST
39%
61%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Mirage
aimclub
13-8 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
17-19 vs None Apr 20
8-13 vs None Mar 30
13-5 vs None Mar 30
9-13 vs None Mar 29
rustec
10-13 vs None Apr 24
13-5 vs playersclub Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 8
6-13 vs None Apr 1
5-13 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
Inferno
AIMC 4 – 13 RUST
8%
92%
Win prob OT 1% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Inferno
aimclub
8-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
6-13 vs None Apr 23
2-13 vs BRUTE Apr 22
13-6 vs None Apr 20
7-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 19
rustec
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
5-13 vs Atreides Apr 20
Recent Results last 11 matches
aimclub
rustec
W 2-1 vs BASEMENT BOYS InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 24 47d ago
L 0-2 vs None InfernoDust2 Apr 23 48d ago
L 1-2 vs BRUTE AnubisDust2Inferno Apr 22 49d ago
W 2-1 vs yngods AnubisDust2Ancient Apr 22 49d ago
W 2-1 vs None OverpassMirageInferno Apr 20 51d ago
L 0-2 vs eLITenergy Dust2Inferno Apr 19 52d ago
L 0-2 vs None MirageOverpass Mar 30 72d ago
L 1-2 vs None InfernoMirageDust2 Mar 30 72d ago
L 0-1 vs None Mirage Mar 29 73d ago
W 2-0 vs ADN AncientInferno Mar 29 73d ago
W 2-0 vs None Dust2Anubis Mar 29 73d ago
W 2-1 vs None OverpassMirageDust2 Apr 24 47d ago
W 2-0 vs playersclub OverpassMirage Apr 23 48d ago
L 0-2 vs Hashiras Dust2Inferno Apr 22 49d ago
W 2-1 vs Atreides InfernoNukeOverpass Apr 20 51d ago
L 1-2 vs None Dust2AncientMirage Apr 8 63d ago
W 2-0 vs None NukeOverpass Apr 3 68d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Zero Tenacity OverpassNuke Apr 2 69d ago
W 2-1 vs None Dust2AnubisNuke Apr 1 70d ago
L 0-2 vs None MirageDust2 Apr 1 70d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters MirageDust2Nuke Mar 30 72d ago
W 2-1 vs None NukeDust2Overpass Mar 29 73d ago
Player Matchups
aimclub
Ratings
rustec
XE
XELLOW
EntryADR 74.4KAST 70%
1.08 vs 1.11
YO
youka
EntryADR 73.8KAST 72%
RO
RoberttMP
RiflerADR 73.6KAST 70%
1.01 vs 1.10
SU
supra
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 71%
ER
ERSIN
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 67%
0.96 vs 1.06
BR
Brilliance
AWPADR 75.2KAST 71%
ZE
zewts
RiflerADR 69.7KAST 67%
0.93 vs 1.05
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 72%
ED
Ed1m
AWPADR 59.8KAST 69%
0.88 vs 1.00
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
AIMC 4 – 13 RUST
7%
93%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Nuke
aimclub
no data
rustec
13-11 vs Atreides Apr 20
13-9 vs None Apr 3
13-6 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 2
13-7 vs None Apr 1
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 30
Inferno
AIMC 4 – 13 RUST
8%
92%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
After First Death
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Inferno
aimclub
8-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Apr 24
6-13 vs None Apr 23
2-13 vs BRUTE Apr 22
13-6 vs None Apr 20
7-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 19
rustec
10-13 vs Hashiras Apr 22
5-13 vs Atreides Apr 20
Ancient
AIMC 9 – 13 RUST
33%
67%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Map Player Rating
AIMC
RUST
Sniper Score
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Ancient
aimclub
13-4 vs yngods Apr 22
13-8 vs ADN Mar 29
6-13 vs None Mar 25
13-4 vs None Mar 24
13-8 vs None Mar 24
rustec
11-13 vs None Apr 8
13-7 vs None Mar 24
13-9 vs None Mar 9
3-13 vs None Feb 2
Anubis
AIMC 11 – 13 RUST
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
AIMC
RUST
Head-to-Head
AIMC
RUST
Ranking
AIMC
RUST
After First Kill
AIMC
RUST
Days With Lineup Diff
AIMC
RUST
Recent on Anubis
aimclub
10-13 vs BRUTE Apr 22
22-19 vs yngods Apr 22
13-7 vs None Mar 29
5-13 vs None Mar 16
3-13 vs None Mar 10
rustec
13-3 vs None Apr 1
9-13 vs None Feb 2
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 8 matches
donstu over oldboys pl 57% eternal fire over famalicão 100% nemesis over the last resort 76% hashiras over phantom 54% fnatic over rune eaters 79% leo over big academy 60% genone over lilmix 96% lavked over sparta 65%