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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
the last resort
vs
nemesis ✓
24%
76%
Series win probability
NEME 2–0 46%
NEME 2–1 31%
TLR 2–1 15%
TLR 2–0 9%
Actual result
Ancient 13–9 NEME
Mirage 13–8 NEME
Model Insights
nemesis is strongly favored at 76%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#32 vs #123), a strong ancient (80% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2 32% Nuke · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3 29% Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Nuke
TLR 10 – 13 NEME
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Opening Kills
TLR
NEME
Recent on Nuke
the last resort
11-13 vs None Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs None Apr 18
8-13 vs None Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
nemesis
13-6 vs ESC Apr 10
13-4 vs None Apr 9
4-13 vs None Apr 2
13-7 vs Nemiga Apr 1
13-11 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
Ancient
TLR 7 – 13 NEME
20%
80%
Win prob OT 7% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Sniper Score
TLR
NEME
Recent on Ancient
the last resort
13-4 vs Famalicão Apr 24
6-13 vs None Apr 23
16-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
nemesis
13-5 vs None Apr 10
13-11 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
16-14 vs ECSTATIC Apr 3
13-6 vs ESC Apr 3
13-11 vs Rebels Apr 2
Inferno
TLR 9 – 13 NEME
32%
68%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Recent on Inferno
the last resort
13-7 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 23
4-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-4 vs None Apr 18
13-6 vs DONSTU Mar 29
13-9 vs None Mar 21
nemesis
13-8 vs None Apr 10
13-8 vs STATE Mar 31
13-11 vs rottweilers Mar 19
9-13 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 17
13-10 vs ARCRED Mar 11
Nuke
TLR 10 – 13 NEME
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Opening Kills
TLR
NEME
Recent on Nuke
the last resort
11-13 vs None Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs None Apr 18
8-13 vs None Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
nemesis
13-6 vs ESC Apr 10
13-4 vs None Apr 9
4-13 vs None Apr 2
13-7 vs Nemiga Apr 1
13-11 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
Ancient
TLR 7 – 13 NEME
20%
80%
Win prob OT 7% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Sniper Score
TLR
NEME
Recent on Ancient
the last resort
13-4 vs Famalicão Apr 24
6-13 vs None Apr 23
16-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
nemesis
13-5 vs None Apr 10
13-11 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
16-14 vs ECSTATIC Apr 3
13-6 vs ESC Apr 3
13-11 vs Rebels Apr 2
Overpass
TLR 3 – 13 NEME
6%
94%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Recent on Overpass
the last resort
13-10 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 23
9-13 vs None Apr 18
2-13 vs DONSTU Apr 2
4-13 vs None Apr 1
9-13 vs None Mar 31
nemesis
13-10 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Apr 23
13-8 vs Rebels Apr 2
4-13 vs Nemiga Apr 1
13-10 vs Nemiga Mar 24
13-3 vs TDK Mar 21
Nuke
TLR 10 – 13 NEME
42%
58%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Opening Kills
TLR
NEME
Recent on Nuke
the last resort
11-13 vs None Apr 22
3-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 21
13-8 vs None Apr 18
8-13 vs None Apr 1
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
nemesis
13-6 vs ESC Apr 10
13-4 vs None Apr 9
4-13 vs None Apr 2
13-7 vs Nemiga Apr 1
13-11 vs QWENTRY Mar 30
Ancient
TLR 7 – 13 NEME
20%
80%
Win prob OT 7% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Sniper Score
TLR
NEME
Recent on Ancient
the last resort
13-4 vs Famalicão Apr 24
6-13 vs None Apr 23
16-13 vs None Apr 1
8-13 vs None Mar 31
13-11 vs DONSTU Mar 29
nemesis
13-5 vs None Apr 10
13-11 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
16-14 vs ECSTATIC Apr 3
13-6 vs ESC Apr 3
13-11 vs Rebels Apr 2
Mirage
TLR 5 – 13 NEME
9%
91%
Win prob OT 1% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Recent on Mirage
the last resort
3-13 vs None Apr 23
15-19 vs None Apr 22
13-8 vs None Mar 21
13-11 vs None Mar 18
13-11 vs Lilmix Mar 13
nemesis
13-4 vs None Apr 9
13-8 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
13-9 vs ECSTATIC Apr 3
7-13 vs None Apr 2
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 17
Recent Results last 11 matches
the last resort
nemesis
W 2-0 vs Famalicão AncientAnubis Apr 24 47d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-Zero Tenacity InfernoOverpass Apr 23 48d ago
L 0-2 vs None AncientMirage Apr 23 48d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeMirage Apr 22 49d ago
L 0-2 vs eLITenergy NukeInferno Apr 21 50d ago
W 2-1 vs None NukeOverpassInferno Apr 18 53d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU AnubisOverpass Apr 2 69d ago
L 1-2 vs None AncientOverpassNuke Apr 1 70d ago
L 0-2 vs None AncientOverpass Mar 31 71d ago
W 2-0 vs BIG EQUIPA NukeAnubis Mar 30 72d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU AncientOverpassInferno Mar 29 73d ago
W 2-0 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Dust2Overpass Apr 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs ESC NukeDust2 Apr 10 61d ago
W 2-0 vs None InfernoAncient Apr 10 61d ago
W 2-0 vs None NukeMirage Apr 9 62d ago
W 2-1 vs RUSTEC Dust2AncientMirage Apr 8 63d ago
W 2-0 vs ECSTATIC MirageAncient Apr 3 68d ago
W 2-0 vs ESC Dust2Ancient Apr 3 68d ago
W 2-1 vs Rebels OverpassDust2Ancient Apr 2 69d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeMirage Apr 2 69d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemiga OverpassNukeDust2 Apr 1 70d ago
L 0-2 vs None AncientDust2 Apr 1 70d ago
Player Matchups
the last resort
Ratings
nemesis
AR
arTisT
EntryADR 76.1KAST 73%
1.09 vs 1.12
R3
r3salt
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 74%
GI
Girafffe
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 71%
1.07 vs 1.09
SD
Sdaim
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 72%
EX
Extinct
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.08
TE
tex1y
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 74%
BE
bevve
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.06
MA
mag1k3Y
EntryADR 68.3KAST 74%
VA
Vacancy
AWPADR 70.1KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.01
SE
SELLTER
AWPADR 71.4KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
TLR 3 – 13 NEME
4%
96%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Opening Kills
TLR
NEME
Recent on Dust2
the last resort
no data
nemesis
13-7 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Apr 23
13-6 vs ESC Apr 10
9-13 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
13-10 vs ESC Apr 3
12-16 vs Rebels Apr 2
Overpass
TLR 3 – 13 NEME
6%
94%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Round Win Rate
TLR
NEME
Recent on Overpass
the last resort
13-10 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Apr 23
9-13 vs None Apr 18
2-13 vs DONSTU Apr 2
4-13 vs None Apr 1
9-13 vs None Mar 31
nemesis
13-10 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Apr 23
13-8 vs Rebels Apr 2
4-13 vs Nemiga Apr 1
13-10 vs Nemiga Mar 24
13-3 vs TDK Mar 21
Mirage
TLR 5 – 13 NEME
9%
91%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Recent on Mirage
the last resort
3-13 vs None Apr 23
15-19 vs None Apr 22
13-8 vs None Mar 21
13-11 vs None Mar 18
13-11 vs Lilmix Mar 13
nemesis
13-4 vs None Apr 9
13-8 vs RUSTEC Apr 8
13-9 vs ECSTATIC Apr 3
7-13 vs None Apr 2
13-8 vs ex-Zero Tenacity Mar 17
Anubis
TLR 13 – 6 NEME
86%
14%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
TLR
NEME
After First Death
TLR
NEME
Ranking
TLR
NEME
After First Kill
TLR
NEME
Schedule Strength
TLR
NEME
Recent on Anubis
the last resort
16-12 vs Famalicão Apr 24
12-16 vs DONSTU Apr 2
13-2 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 30
13-11 vs CTRL Mar 21
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Mar 19
nemesis
no data
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 8 matches
rustec over aimclub 92% donstu over oldboys pl 57% eternal fire over famalicão 100% hashiras over phantom 54% fnatic over rune eaters 79% leo over big academy 60% genone over lilmix 96% lavked over sparta 65%