Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
· 2026-04-25
nemesis
✓
vs
the last resort
62%
38%
Series win probability
NEME
2–1
39%
TLR
2–0
25%
NEME
2–0
23%
TLR
2–1
13%
Actual result
Ancient
13–9
Model Insights
nemesis has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#30 vs #128), a strong inferno (70% win probability). the last resort's best shot is nuke where they hold a 61% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
40%
Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2
35%
Nuke · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Nuke
NEME
10
–
13
TLR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Opening Score
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Nuke
nemesis
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
4-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 2
13-7
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-11
vs QWENTRY
Mar 30
the last resort
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
3-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
8-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
Ancient
NEME
13
–
11
TLR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
Opening Duels
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Ancient
nemesis
13-5
vs BIG
Apr 10
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 3
16-14
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
13-11
vs Rebels
Apr 2
the last resort
13-4
vs Famalicão
Apr 24
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 23
16-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
13-11
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
Inferno
NEME
13
–
10
TLR
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
CT Side
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Recent on Inferno
nemesis
13-8
vs BIG
Apr 10
13-8
vs STATE
Mar 31
13-11
vs rottweilers
Mar 19
9-13
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 17
13-10
vs ARCRED
Mar 11
the last resort
13-7
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 23
4-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-4
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
13-6
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
13-9
vs MANA
Mar 21
Nuke
NEME
10
–
13
TLR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Opening Score
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Nuke
nemesis
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
4-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 2
13-7
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-11
vs QWENTRY
Mar 30
the last resort
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
3-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
8-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
Ancient
NEME
13
–
11
TLR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
Opening Duels
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Ancient
nemesis
13-5
vs BIG
Apr 10
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 3
16-14
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
13-11
vs Rebels
Apr 2
the last resort
13-4
vs Famalicão
Apr 24
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 23
16-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
13-11
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
Overpass
NEME
13
–
5
TLR
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Recent on Overpass
nemesis
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-8
vs Rebels
Apr 2
4-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-10
vs Nemiga
Mar 24
13-3
vs TDK
Mar 21
the last resort
13-10
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 23
9-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
2-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 2
4-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
Nuke
NEME
10
–
13
TLR
39%
61%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Opening Score
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Nuke
nemesis
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
4-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 2
13-7
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-11
vs QWENTRY
Mar 30
the last resort
11-13
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
3-13
vs eLITenergy
Apr 21
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
8-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
Ancient
NEME
13
–
11
TLR
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
Opening Duels
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Ancient
nemesis
13-5
vs BIG
Apr 10
13-11
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 3
16-14
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
13-11
vs Rebels
Apr 2
the last resort
13-4
vs Famalicão
Apr 24
6-13
vs MANA
Apr 23
16-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
13-11
vs DONSTU
Mar 29
Mirage
NEME
13
–
10
TLR
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Map Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Recent on Mirage
nemesis
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-8
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 2
13-8
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 17
the last resort
3-13
vs MANA
Apr 23
15-19
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-8
vs MANA
Mar 21
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18
13-11
vs Lilmix
Mar 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
nemesis
the last resort
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Dust2Overpass
Apr 23
3d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG
InfernoAncient
Apr 10
16d ago
W
2-0
vs ESC
NukeDust2
Apr 10
16d ago
W
2-0
vs EYEBALLERS
NukeMirage
Apr 9
17d ago
W
2-1
vs RUSTEC
Dust2AncientMirage
Apr 8
18d ago
W
2-0
vs ESC
Dust2Ancient
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-0
vs ECSTATIC
MirageAncient
Apr 3
23d ago
W
2-1
vs Rebels
OverpassDust2Ancient
Apr 2
24d ago
L
0-2
vs HEROIC
NukeMirage
Apr 2
24d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemiga
OverpassNukeDust2
Apr 1
25d ago
L
0-2
vs G2
AncientDust2
Apr 1
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Famalicão
AncientAnubis
Apr 24
2d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
InfernoOverpass
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs MANA
AncientMirage
Apr 23
3d ago
L
0-2
vs Young Ninjas
NukeMirage
Apr 22
4d ago
L
0-2
vs eLITenergy
NukeInferno
Apr 21
5d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC Academy
NukeOverpassInferno
Apr 18
8d ago
L
0-2
vs DONSTU
AnubisOverpass
Apr 2
24d ago
L
1-2
vs QWENTRY
AncientOverpassNuke
Apr 1
25d ago
L
0-2
vs Johnny Speeds
AncientOverpass
Mar 31
26d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG EQUIPA
NukeAnubis
Mar 30
27d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
AncientOverpassInferno
Mar 29
28d ago
Player Matchups
nemesis
Rating 3.0
the last resort
R3
r3salt
AWPADR 80.1KAST 74%
AR
arTisT
AWPADR 76.1KAST 73%
SD
Sdaim
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 72%
GI
Girafffe
AWPADR 74.4KAST 71%
TE
tex1y
AWPADR 74.8KAST 74%
EX
Extinct
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 71%
MA
mag1k3Y
AWPADR 68.3KAST 74%
BE
bevve
AWPADR 71.4KAST 72%
SE
SELLTER
AWPADR 71.4KAST 71%
VA
Vacancy
AWPADR 70.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
NEME
13
–
5
TLR
95%
5%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Star Player
NEME
TLR
Recent on Dust2
nemesis
13-7
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-6
vs ESC
Apr 10
9-13
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-10
vs ESC
Apr 3
12-16
vs Rebels
Apr 2
the last resort
no data
Overpass
NEME
13
–
5
TLR
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Round Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Recent on Overpass
nemesis
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 23
13-8
vs Rebels
Apr 2
4-13
vs Nemiga
Apr 1
13-10
vs Nemiga
Mar 24
13-3
vs TDK
Mar 21
the last resort
13-10
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Apr 23
9-13
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 18
2-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 2
4-13
vs QWENTRY
Apr 1
9-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Mar 31
Anubis
NEME
7
–
13
TLR
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
Ranking
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Schedule Strength
NEME
TLR
Recent on Anubis
nemesis
no data
the last resort
16-12
vs Famalicão
Apr 24
12-16
vs DONSTU
Apr 2
13-2
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 30
13-11
vs CTRL
Mar 21
13-3
vs Leo
Mar 19
Mirage
NEME
13
–
10
TLR
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
NEME
TLR
Map Player Rating
NEME
TLR
After First Death
NEME
TLR
After First Kill
NEME
TLR
Map Win Rate
NEME
TLR
Recent on Mirage
nemesis
13-4
vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 9
13-8
vs RUSTEC
Apr 8
13-9
vs ECSTATIC
Apr 3
7-13
vs HEROIC
Apr 2
13-8
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 17
the last resort
3-13
vs MANA
Apr 23
15-19
vs Young Ninjas
Apr 22
13-8
vs MANA
Mar 21
13-11
vs ex-RUBY
Mar 18
13-11
vs Lilmix
Mar 13