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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
fnatic ✓
vs
rune eaters
79%
21%
Series win probability
FNAT 2–0 45%
FNAT 2–1 34%
RE 2–1 14%
RE 2–0 7%
Actual result
Ancient 13–9 FNAT
Anubis 13–4 FNAT
Model Insights
fnatic is strongly favored at 79%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#88 vs #150), a strong mirage (84% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 34% Mirage · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 34% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3 32% Mirage · Dust2 · Overpass
Mirage
FNAT 13 – 7 RE
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Recent on Mirage
fnatic
10-13 vs None Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 14
13-10 vs INFINITE Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
9-13 vs aimclub Mar 24
rune eaters
7-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs None Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
Dust2
FNAT 13 – 11 RE
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Recent on Dust2
fnatic
13-5 vs Qual4 Apr 21
5-13 vs None Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
10-13 vs None Feb 26
1-13 vs None Feb 22
rune eaters
10-13 vs None Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs None Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Ancient
FNAT 13 – 9 RE
71%
29%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
After First Death
FNAT
RE
Recent on Ancient
fnatic
13-10 vs Project 91 Apr 23
5-13 vs None Apr 12
16-14 vs None Mar 30
13-9 vs INFINITE Mar 30
8-13 vs aimclub Mar 24
rune eaters
13-8 vs None Apr 23
13-7 vs rottweilers Apr 22
16-19 vs None Apr 12
11-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
5-13 vs None Apr 4
Mirage
FNAT 13 – 7 RE
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Recent on Mirage
fnatic
10-13 vs None Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 14
13-10 vs INFINITE Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
9-13 vs aimclub Mar 24
rune eaters
7-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs None Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
Dust2
FNAT 13 – 11 RE
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Recent on Dust2
fnatic
13-5 vs Qual4 Apr 21
5-13 vs None Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
10-13 vs None Feb 26
1-13 vs None Feb 22
rune eaters
10-13 vs None Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs None Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Anubis
FNAT 13 – 3 RE
96%
4%
Win prob OT 0% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Sniper Score
FNAT
RE
Recent on Anubis
fnatic
13-6 vs None Mar 31
9-13 vs None Mar 31
10-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 24
7-13 vs None Mar 7
13-10 vs None Feb 27
rune eaters
13-10 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
17-19 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs None Mar 28
16-14 vs None Mar 19
13-11 vs None Mar 17
Mirage
FNAT 13 – 7 RE
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Recent on Mirage
fnatic
10-13 vs None Apr 23
8-13 vs None Apr 14
13-10 vs INFINITE Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
9-13 vs aimclub Mar 24
rune eaters
7-13 vs None Apr 23
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 22
13-4 vs None Apr 12
16-13 vs BRUTE Apr 8
13-11 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
Dust2
FNAT 13 – 11 RE
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Recent on Dust2
fnatic
13-5 vs Qual4 Apr 21
5-13 vs None Mar 30
13-11 vs aimclub Mar 24
10-13 vs None Feb 26
1-13 vs None Feb 22
rune eaters
10-13 vs None Apr 12
10-13 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
13-10 vs BRUTE Apr 6
13-5 vs None Apr 3
13-8 vs Lilmix Apr 2
Overpass
FNAT 13 – 7 RE
80%
20%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Recent on Overpass
fnatic
11-13 vs None Apr 23
13-5 vs None Mar 31
16-14 vs ENCE Mar 5
5-13 vs None Feb 27
8-13 vs None Feb 26
rune eaters
16-13 vs None Apr 23
4-13 vs None Mar 22
5-13 vs None Mar 17
4-13 vs None Mar 13
13-16 vs None Mar 5
Recent Results last 11 matches
fnatic
rune eaters
L 0-2 vs None OverpassMirage Apr 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs Project 91 AncientInferno Apr 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs Qual4 Dust2Inferno Apr 21 50d ago
L 0-1 vs None Mirage Apr 14 57d ago
L 0-1 vs None Ancient Apr 12 59d ago
W 2-0 vs None AnubisOverpass Mar 31 71d ago
L 0-2 vs None AnubisInferno Mar 31 71d ago
L 1-2 vs None AncientDust2Inferno Mar 30 72d ago
W 2-0 vs INFINITE AncientMirage Mar 30 72d ago
W 1-0 vs aimclub Mirage Mar 24 78d ago
L 0-1 vs MOUZ NXT Anubis Mar 24 78d ago
W 2-1 vs None AncientMirageOverpass Apr 23 48d ago
W 2-0 vs rottweilers AncientMirage Apr 22 49d ago
L 1-2 vs None Dust2MirageAncient Apr 12 59d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE NukeMirage Apr 8 63d ago
W 2-1 vs eLITenergy InfernoDust2Anubis Apr 7 64d ago
L 1-2 vs Basement Bobs InfernoMirageAncient Apr 6 65d ago
L 1-2 vs BRUTE NukeDust2Anubis Apr 6 65d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeAncient Apr 4 67d ago
L 1-2 vs None AncientDust2Mirage Apr 3 68d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 69d ago
L 0-2 vs TNT NukeDust2 Apr 1 70d ago
Player Matchups
fnatic
Ratings
rune eaters
JA
jackasmo
AWPADR 86.0KAST 74%
1.19 vs 1.09
DE
demente
EntryADR 72.0KAST 69%
JA
jambo
EntryADR 71.8KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.06
FO
forkyz
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 70%
KR
KRIMZ
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 72%
1.04 vs 1.05
HE
her1tage
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 71%
BR
Br4tkO
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.03
NO
noni
AWPADR 70.3KAST 70%
FE
fEAR
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 73%
0.92 vs 1.00
KU
kumao
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Anubis
FNAT 13 – 3 RE
96%
4%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Sniper Score
FNAT
RE
Recent on Anubis
fnatic
13-6 vs None Mar 31
9-13 vs None Mar 31
10-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 24
7-13 vs None Mar 7
13-10 vs None Feb 27
rune eaters
13-10 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
17-19 vs BRUTE Apr 6
6-13 vs None Mar 28
16-14 vs None Mar 19
13-11 vs None Mar 17
Overpass
FNAT 13 – 7 RE
80%
20%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
RE
Map Player Rating
FNAT
RE
Ranking
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Recent on Overpass
fnatic
11-13 vs None Apr 23
13-5 vs None Mar 31
16-14 vs ENCE Mar 5
5-13 vs None Feb 27
8-13 vs None Feb 26
rune eaters
16-13 vs None Apr 23
4-13 vs None Mar 22
5-13 vs None Mar 17
4-13 vs None Mar 13
13-16 vs None Mar 5
Inferno
FNAT 13 – 8 RE
65%
35%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
FNAT
RE
After First Kill
FNAT
RE
Round Win Rate
FNAT
RE
Opening Kills
FNAT
RE
Schedule Strength
FNAT
RE
Recent on Inferno
fnatic
13-8 vs Project 91 Apr 23
13-4 vs Qual4 Apr 21
13-16 vs None Mar 31
7-13 vs None Mar 30
13-10 vs SAW Feb 20
rune eaters
13-4 vs eLITenergy Apr 7
9-13 vs Basement Bobs Apr 6
10-13 vs Lilmix Apr 2
6-13 vs None Mar 19
16-13 vs zajezdzacze Mar 15
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