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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · 2026-04-25
donstu ✗
vs
oldboys pl
70%
30%
Series win probability
DONS 2–0 37%
DONS 2–1 33%
OP 2–1 17%
OP 2–0 13%
Actual result
Ancient 13–5
Dust2 13–10
Model Insights
donstu has a moderate edge at 70%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.03 vs 0.00), a significant ranking advantage (#173 vs #206), a strong nuke (76% win probability). oldboys pl's best shot is ancient where they hold a 57% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Ancient · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 2 39% Ancient · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 22% Ancient · Nuke · Overpass
Ancient
DONS 11 – 13 OP
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Ranking
DONS
OP
Round Win Rate
DONS
OP
Recent on Ancient
donstu
13-11 vs SPARTA Apr 23
10-13 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-7 vs OlyBet Mar 31
11-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 29
16-13 vs Young Ninjas Mar 15
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
17-19 vs Qwentry Mar 28
13-8 vs enjoy Mar 27
13-4 vs donstu Mar 9
10-13 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Nuke
DONS 13 – 9 OP
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Recent on Nuke
donstu
19-17 vs VP.Prodigy Apr 18
13-8 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-5 vs Misa Mar 12
5-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Mar 9
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 7
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 23
13-5 vs donstu Mar 9
13-10 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Dust2
DONS 13 – 11 OP
66%
34%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
DONS
OP
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
Recent on Dust2
donstu
5-13 vs BRUTE Apr 24
3-13 vs SPARTA Apr 23
4-13 vs INOX Division Apr 23
19-15 vs Lilmix Apr 21
9-13 vs G2 Ares Apr 3
oldboys pl
11-13 vs rottweilers Apr 24
13-11 vs Qwentry Mar 28
Ancient
DONS 11 – 13 OP
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Ranking
DONS
OP
Round Win Rate
DONS
OP
Recent on Ancient
donstu
13-11 vs SPARTA Apr 23
10-13 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-7 vs OlyBet Mar 31
11-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 29
16-13 vs Young Ninjas Mar 15
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
17-19 vs Qwentry Mar 28
13-8 vs enjoy Mar 27
13-4 vs donstu Mar 9
10-13 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Nuke
DONS 13 – 9 OP
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Recent on Nuke
donstu
19-17 vs VP.Prodigy Apr 18
13-8 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-5 vs Misa Mar 12
5-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Mar 9
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 7
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 23
13-5 vs donstu Mar 9
13-10 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Anubis
DONS 13 – 8 OP
73%
27%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Recent on Anubis
donstu
13-11 vs G2 Ares Apr 22
13-6 vs VP.Prodigy Apr 18
7-13 vs G2 Ares Apr 3
16-12 vs The Last Resort Apr 2
13-2 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
oldboys pl
13-2 vs MASONIC Apr 22
Ancient
DONS 11 – 13 OP
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Ranking
DONS
OP
Round Win Rate
DONS
OP
Recent on Ancient
donstu
13-11 vs SPARTA Apr 23
10-13 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-7 vs OlyBet Mar 31
11-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 29
16-13 vs Young Ninjas Mar 15
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
17-19 vs Qwentry Mar 28
13-8 vs enjoy Mar 27
13-4 vs donstu Mar 9
10-13 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Nuke
DONS 13 – 9 OP
74%
26%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Recent on Nuke
donstu
19-17 vs VP.Prodigy Apr 18
13-8 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
13-5 vs Misa Mar 12
5-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Mar 9
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 7
oldboys pl
13-8 vs rottweilers Apr 24
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 23
13-5 vs donstu Mar 9
13-10 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Overpass
DONS 13 – 10 OP
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
Recent on Overpass
donstu
10-13 vs BRUTE Apr 24
1-13 vs SPARTA Apr 23
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 23
13-10 vs G2 Ares Apr 22
13-9 vs Lilmix Apr 21
oldboys pl
13-8 vs MASONIC Apr 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
donstu
oldboys pl
L 0-2 vs BRUTE Dust2Overpass Apr 24 2d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA AncientDust2Overpass Apr 23 3d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division OverpassDust2 Apr 23 3d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares AnubisOverpass Apr 22 4d ago
W 2-0 vs Lilmix OverpassDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
W 2-0 vs VP.Prodigy NukeAnubis Apr 18 8d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AnubisOverpassDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs The Last Resort AnubisOverpass Apr 2 24d ago
W 2-1 vs brazylijski luz AncientNukeAnubis Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-0 vs OlyBet AnubisAncient Mar 31 26d ago
L 1-2 vs The Last Resort AncientOverpassInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-1 vs rottweilers Dust2NukeAncient Apr 24 2d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeMirage Apr 23 3d ago
W 2-0 vs MASONIC OverpassAnubis Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Qwentry Dust2MirageAncient Mar 28 29d ago
W 2-0 vs enjoy AncientMirage Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-0 vs donstu AncientNuke Mar 9 48d ago
W 2-1 vs aurora young blud AncientNukeMirage Mar 8 49d ago
Player Matchups
donstu
Rating 3.0
oldboys pl
DU
Due1yant
AWPADR 75.6KAST 72%
1.10 vs —
MA
maQuein
AWPADR 69.0KAST 75%
1.08 vs —
GL
gleb86rus
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 73%
1.06 vs —
NE
NeoLife
AWPADR 73.5KAST 70%
1.01 vs —
LA
LAKSHERi
AWPADR 74.8KAST 70%
0.93 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
DONS 13 – 7 OP
85%
15%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
Recent on Inferno
donstu
6-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 29
13-8 vs CSDIILIT Mar 7
oldboys pl
no data
Mirage
DONS 9 – 13 OP
26%
74%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Ranking
DONS
OP
Opening Score
DONS
OP
Recent on Mirage
donstu
no data
oldboys pl
11-13 vs Lavked Apr 23
7-13 vs Qwentry Mar 28
13-11 vs enjoy Mar 27
16-14 vs aurora young blud Mar 8
Anubis
DONS 13 – 8 OP
73%
27%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
After First Death
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Recent on Anubis
donstu
13-11 vs G2 Ares Apr 22
13-6 vs VP.Prodigy Apr 18
7-13 vs G2 Ares Apr 3
16-12 vs The Last Resort Apr 2
13-2 vs brazylijski luz Apr 1
oldboys pl
13-2 vs MASONIC Apr 22
Overpass
DONS 13 – 10 OP
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
DONS
OP
After First Kill
DONS
OP
Map Player Rating
DONS
OP
Head-to-Head
DONS
OP
Star Player
DONS
OP
Recent on Overpass
donstu
10-13 vs BRUTE Apr 24
1-13 vs SPARTA Apr 23
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 23
13-10 vs G2 Ares Apr 22
13-9 vs Lilmix Apr 21
oldboys pl
13-8 vs MASONIC Apr 22