Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
oldboys pl
vs
donstu
✗
43%
57%
Series win probability
DONS
2–1
36%
OP
2–0
29%
DONS
2–0
21%
OP
2–1
14%
Actual result
Ancient
13–5
OP
Overpass
13–5
DONS
Dust2
13–10
OP
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — donstu is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.03 vs 0.00), a strong anubis (72% win probability). oldboys pl's best shot is ancient where they hold a 60% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 2
38%
Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
22%
Ancient · Dust2 · Overpass
Ancient
OP
13
–
9
DONS
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
Best Player
OP
DONS
Recent on Ancient
oldboys pl
13-8
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
17-19
vs None
Mar 28
13-8
vs enjoy
Mar 27
13-4
vs None
Mar 9
10-13
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs None
Mar 29
16-13
vs None
Mar 15
Dust2
OP
14
–
16
DONS
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Recent on Dust2
oldboys pl
11-13
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
donstu
5-13
vs None
Apr 24
4-13
vs None
Apr 23
3-13
vs None
Apr 23
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs None
Apr 3
Anubis
OP
8
–
13
DONS
28%
72%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Opening Kills
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Recent on Anubis
oldboys pl
13-2
vs None
Apr 22
donstu
13-11
vs None
Apr 22
13-6
vs None
Apr 18
7-13
vs None
Apr 3
16-12
vs None
Apr 2
13-2
vs None
Apr 1
Ancient
OP
13
–
9
DONS
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
Best Player
OP
DONS
Recent on Ancient
oldboys pl
13-8
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
17-19
vs None
Mar 28
13-8
vs enjoy
Mar 27
13-4
vs None
Mar 9
10-13
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs None
Mar 29
16-13
vs None
Mar 15
Dust2
OP
14
–
16
DONS
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Recent on Dust2
oldboys pl
11-13
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
donstu
5-13
vs None
Apr 24
4-13
vs None
Apr 23
3-13
vs None
Apr 23
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs None
Apr 3
Nuke
OP
7
–
13
DONS
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Rating Spread
OP
DONS
Recent on Nuke
oldboys pl
13-8
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
8-13
vs None
Apr 23
13-5
vs None
Mar 9
13-10
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
19-17
vs None
Apr 18
13-8
vs None
Apr 1
13-5
vs None
Mar 12
5-13
vs OLDBOYS PL
Mar 9
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Ancient
OP
13
–
9
DONS
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
Best Player
OP
DONS
Recent on Ancient
oldboys pl
13-8
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
17-19
vs None
Mar 28
13-8
vs enjoy
Mar 27
13-4
vs None
Mar 9
10-13
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-7
vs OlyBet
Mar 31
11-13
vs None
Mar 29
16-13
vs None
Mar 15
Dust2
OP
14
–
16
DONS
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Round Win Rate
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Recent on Dust2
oldboys pl
11-13
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
donstu
5-13
vs None
Apr 24
4-13
vs None
Apr 23
3-13
vs None
Apr 23
19-15
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
9-13
vs None
Apr 3
Overpass
OP
8
–
13
DONS
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Star Player
OP
DONS
Recent on Overpass
oldboys pl
13-8
vs None
Apr 22
donstu
10-13
vs None
Apr 24
8-13
vs None
Apr 23
1-13
vs None
Apr 23
13-10
vs None
Apr 22
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
Recent Results
last 11 matches
oldboys pl
donstu
W
2-1
vs rottweilers
Dust2NukeAncient
Apr 24
47d ago
L
0-2
vs None
NukeMirage
Apr 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs None
OverpassAnubis
Apr 22
49d ago
L
1-2
vs None
Dust2MirageAncient
Mar 28
74d ago
W
2-0
vs enjoy
AncientMirage
Mar 27
75d ago
W
2-0
vs None
AncientNuke
Mar 9
93d ago
W
2-1
vs aurora young blud
AncientNukeMirage
Mar 8
94d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Overpass
Apr 24
47d ago
L
0-2
vs None
OverpassDust2
Apr 23
48d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AncientDust2Overpass
Apr 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs None
AnubisOverpass
Apr 22
49d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
OverpassDust2
Apr 21
50d ago
W
2-0
vs None
NukeAnubis
Apr 18
53d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AnubisOverpassDust2
Apr 3
68d ago
W
2-0
vs None
AnubisOverpass
Apr 2
69d ago
W
2-1
vs None
AncientNukeAnubis
Apr 1
70d ago
W
2-0
vs OlyBet
AnubisAncient
Mar 31
71d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AncientOverpassInferno
Mar 29
73d ago
Player Matchups
oldboys pl
Ratings
donstu
DU
Due1yant
AWPADR 75.6KAST 72%
MA
maQuein
EntryADR 69.0KAST 75%
GL
gleb86rus
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 73%
NE
NeoLife
RiflerADR 73.5KAST 70%
LA
LAKSHERi
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
OP
5
–
13
DONS
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Opening Kills
OP
DONS
Recent on Inferno
oldboys pl
no data
donstu
6-13
vs None
Mar 29
13-8
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Nuke
OP
7
–
13
DONS
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
After First Death
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Rating Spread
OP
DONS
Recent on Nuke
oldboys pl
13-8
vs rottweilers
Apr 24
8-13
vs None
Apr 23
13-5
vs None
Mar 9
13-10
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
19-17
vs None
Apr 18
13-8
vs None
Apr 1
13-5
vs None
Mar 12
5-13
vs OLDBOYS PL
Mar 9
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 7
Overpass
OP
8
–
13
DONS
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
Map Player Rating
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
Star Player
OP
DONS
Recent on Overpass
oldboys pl
13-8
vs None
Apr 22
donstu
10-13
vs None
Apr 24
8-13
vs None
Apr 23
1-13
vs None
Apr 23
13-10
vs None
Apr 22
13-9
vs Lilmix
Apr 21
Mirage
OP
13
–
9
DONS
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
OP
DONS
Head-to-Head
OP
DONS
After First Kill
OP
DONS
T 5v4
OP
DONS
Deaths/Round
OP
DONS
Recent on Mirage
oldboys pl
11-13
vs None
Apr 23
7-13
vs None
Mar 28
13-11
vs enjoy
Mar 27
16-14
vs aurora young blud
Mar 8
donstu
no data
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
8 matches