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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
lilmix
vs
genone ✓
4%
96%
Series win probability
GENO 2–0 80%
GENO 2–1 16%
LILM 2–1 4%
LILM 2–0 0%
Actual result
Ancient 13–2 GENO
Dust2 13–1 GENO
Model Insights
genone is strongly favored at 96%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#124 vs #172), a strong dust2 (98% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 52% Overpass · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2 33% Overpass · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 15% Overpass · Dust2 · Anubis
Overpass
LILM 7 – 13 GENO
18%
82%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Schedule Strength
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
9-13 vs None Apr 23
4-13 vs None Apr 23
9-13 vs None Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs None Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs None Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs None Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 2 – 13 GENO
2%
98%
Win prob ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs None Apr 23
15-19 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 2
8-13 vs None Mar 30
6-13 vs None Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs None Apr 22
13-7 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 18
13-7 vs None Apr 16
Inferno
LILM 8 – 13 GENO
21%
79%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Round Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Map Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Recent on Inferno
lilmix
13-10 vs None Apr 2
6-13 vs None Mar 30
9-13 vs None Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
7-13 vs None Apr 22
8-13 vs None Apr 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
13-8 vs Persona Grata Mar 22
5-13 vs None Feb 21
Overpass
LILM 7 – 13 GENO
18%
82%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Schedule Strength
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
9-13 vs None Apr 23
4-13 vs None Apr 23
9-13 vs None Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs None Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs None Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs None Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 2 – 13 GENO
2%
98%
Win prob ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs None Apr 23
15-19 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 2
8-13 vs None Mar 30
6-13 vs None Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs None Apr 22
13-7 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 18
13-7 vs None Apr 16
Ancient
LILM 3 – 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0% ✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Recent on Ancient
lilmix
13-9 vs The Suspect Apr 24
11-13 vs None Apr 23
13-7 vs None Apr 23
14-16 vs None Mar 20
19-17 vs None Mar 18
genone
4-13 vs None Apr 21
12-16 vs None Mar 30
13-7 vs Persona Grata Mar 22
13-1 vs None Mar 20
10-13 vs None Mar 8
Overpass
LILM 7 – 13 GENO
18%
82%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Schedule Strength
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
9-13 vs None Apr 23
4-13 vs None Apr 23
9-13 vs None Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs None Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs None Apr 22
13-9 vs None Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs None Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 2 – 13 GENO
2%
98%
Win prob ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs None Apr 23
15-19 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 2
8-13 vs None Mar 30
6-13 vs None Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs None Apr 22
13-7 vs None Apr 21
8-13 vs None Apr 18
13-7 vs None Apr 16
Anubis
LILM 6 – 13 GENO
16%
84%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Recent on Anubis
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
13-6 vs None Apr 14
8-13 vs None Mar 8
7-13 vs None Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs None Feb 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
lilmix
genone
W 2-0 vs The Suspect AncientMirage Apr 24 47d ago
L 1-2 vs None OverpassMirageAncient Apr 23 48d ago
W 2-1 vs None Dust2MirageAncient Apr 23 48d ago
L 0-2 vs None OverpassMirage Apr 23 48d ago
L 0-2 vs None OverpassDust2 Apr 21 50d ago
L 1-2 vs None InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 69d ago
L 1-2 vs yngods MirageOverpassAnubis Apr 1 70d ago
L 0-2 vs None InfernoDust2 Mar 30 72d ago
L 0-2 vs None MirageOverpass Mar 29 73d ago
L 0-2 vs None Dust2Inferno Mar 27 75d ago
L 0-2 vs CSDIILIT MirageAnubis Mar 26 76d ago
W 2-1 vs bankaPEPSI OverpassDust2Nuke Apr 23 48d ago
L 1-2 vs None Dust2OverpassInferno Apr 22 49d ago
W 2-1 vs None OverpassAncientDust2 Apr 21 50d ago
L 0-2 vs None Dust2Inferno Apr 18 53d ago
W 2-0 vs None Dust2Nuke Apr 16 55d ago
L 1-2 vs None Dust2AnubisNuke Apr 14 57d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoNuke Apr 10 61d ago
L 0-2 vs None NukeDust2 Apr 1 70d ago
L 1-2 vs None Dust2NukeAncient Mar 30 72d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO OverpassDust2 Mar 24 78d ago
W 2-1 vs Persona Grata NukeInfernoAncient Mar 22 80d ago
Player Matchups
lilmix
Ratings
genone
WA
walleN
EntryADR 72.6KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.16
CH
Chucky
EntryADR 71.9KAST 75%
BS
bsover
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 67%
0.99 vs 1.05
BR
Brooxsy
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 73%
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 67.8KAST 71%
0.99 vs 1.04
DJ
Djoko
AWPADR 75.3KAST 70%
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
0.93 vs —
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 66%
0.80 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Ancient
LILM 3 – 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Recent on Ancient
lilmix
13-9 vs The Suspect Apr 24
11-13 vs None Apr 23
13-7 vs None Apr 23
14-16 vs None Mar 20
19-17 vs None Mar 18
genone
4-13 vs None Apr 21
12-16 vs None Mar 30
13-7 vs Persona Grata Mar 22
13-1 vs None Mar 20
10-13 vs None Mar 8
Nuke
LILM 4 – 13 GENO
5%
95%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Recent on Nuke
lilmix
no data
genone
13-9 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-6 vs None Apr 16
7-13 vs None Apr 14
7-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
10-13 vs None Apr 1
Anubis
LILM 6 – 13 GENO
16%
84%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Recent on Anubis
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
13-6 vs None Apr 14
8-13 vs None Mar 8
7-13 vs None Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs None Feb 14
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