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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · 2026-04-25
lilmix
vs
genone
3%
97%
Series win probability
GENO 2–0 82%
GENO 2–1 14%
LILM 2–1 3%
LILM 2–0 0%
Actual result
Dust2 13–1
Model Insights
genone is strongly favored at 97%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#124 vs #177), a strong dust2 (100% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 51% Overpass · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2 33% Overpass · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 15% Overpass · Dust2 · Anubis
Overpass
LILM 8 13 GENO
15%
85%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
T Side
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
4-13 vs ENCE Apr 23
9-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 23
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-9 vs 1win Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 4 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs BET-M Apr 23
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
Inferno
LILM 8 13 GENO
17%
83%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Round Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Map Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Recent on Inferno
lilmix
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
6-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
9-13 vs MANA Mar 27
6-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 19
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
7-13 vs Ursa Apr 22
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
13-8 vs MINLATE Mar 22
5-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
Overpass
LILM 8 13 GENO
15%
85%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
T Side
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
4-13 vs ENCE Apr 23
9-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 23
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-9 vs 1win Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 4 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs BET-M Apr 23
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
Ancient
LILM 8 13 GENO
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Round Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Recent on Ancient
lilmix
13-9 vs The Suspect Apr 24
13-7 vs BET-M Apr 23
11-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 23
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
genone
4-13 vs 1win Apr 21
12-16 vs KOLESIE Mar 30
13-7 vs MINLATE Mar 22
13-1 vs Leo Mar 20
10-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
Overpass
LILM 8 13 GENO
15%
85%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
T Side
LILM
GENO
Recent on Overpass
lilmix
4-13 vs ENCE Apr 23
9-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 23
9-13 vs DONSTU Apr 21
13-8 vs yngods Apr 1
6-13 vs AaB Mar 29
genone
4-13 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
16-19 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-9 vs 1win Apr 21
13-4 vs ALGO Mar 24
4-13 vs Alliance Feb 21
Dust2
LILM 4 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 0%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Recent on Dust2
lilmix
7-13 vs BET-M Apr 23
15-19 vs DONSTU Apr 21
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Apr 2
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 30
6-13 vs MANA Mar 27
genone
13-10 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-10 vs Ursa Apr 22
13-7 vs 1win Apr 21
8-13 vs Acend Apr 18
13-7 vs Phantom Apr 16
Anubis
LILM 8 13 GENO
24%
76%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Recent on Anubis
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
7-13 vs TDK Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
lilmix
genone
W 2-0 vs The Suspect AncientMirage Apr 24 2d ago
W 2-1 vs BET-M Dust2MirageAncient Apr 23 3d ago
L 0-2 vs ENCE OverpassMirage Apr 23 3d ago
L 1-2 vs Young Ninjas OverpassMirageAncient Apr 23 3d ago
L 0-2 vs DONSTU OverpassDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 1-2 vs Rune Eaters InfernoDust2Mirage Apr 2 24d ago
L 1-2 vs yngods MirageOverpassAnubis Apr 1 25d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoDust2 Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs AaB MirageOverpass Mar 29 28d ago
L 0-2 vs MANA Dust2Inferno Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs CSDIILIT MirageAnubis Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs bankaPEPSI OverpassDust2Nuke Apr 23 3d ago
L 1-2 vs Ursa Dust2OverpassInferno Apr 22 4d ago
W 2-1 vs 1win OverpassAncientDust2 Apr 21 5d ago
L 0-2 vs Acend Dust2Inferno Apr 18 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Phantom Dust2Nuke Apr 16 10d ago
L 1-2 vs MOUZ NXT Dust2AnubisNuke Apr 14 12d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoNuke Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa NukeDust2 Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs KOLESIE Dust2NukeAncient Mar 30 27d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO OverpassDust2 Mar 24 33d ago
W 2-1 vs MINLATE NukeInfernoAncient Mar 22 35d ago
Player Matchups
lilmix
Rating 3.0
genone
WA
walleN
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.16
CH
Chucky
AWPADR 71.9KAST 75%
WO
Wonder
AWPADR 67.8KAST 71%
0.99 vs 1.05
BR
Brooxsy
AWPADR 75.5KAST 73%
BS
bsover
AWPADR 78.5KAST 67%
0.99 vs 1.04
DJ
Djoko
AWPADR 75.3KAST 70%
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 69%
0.93 vs
QU
quix
RiflerADR 62.8KAST 66%
0.80 vs
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Nuke
LILM 5 13 GENO
3%
97%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Recent on Nuke
lilmix
no data
genone
13-9 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 23
13-6 vs Phantom Apr 16
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
7-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 10
10-13 vs Ursa Apr 1
Anubis
LILM 8 13 GENO
24%
76%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Recent on Anubis
lilmix
7-13 vs yngods Apr 1
8-13 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Mar 18
genone
13-6 vs MOUZ NXT Apr 14
8-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8
7-13 vs TDK Feb 20
13-9 vs Famalicão Feb 16
8-13 vs VP.Prodigy Feb 14
Ancient
LILM 8 13 GENO
31%
69%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
LILM
GENO
Round Win Rate
LILM
GENO
Head-to-Head
LILM
GENO
Ranking
LILM
GENO
Map Player Rating
LILM
GENO
Recent on Ancient
lilmix
13-9 vs The Suspect Apr 24
13-7 vs BET-M Apr 23
11-13 vs Young Ninjas Apr 23
14-16 vs BIG Academy Mar 20
19-17 vs BIG Academy Mar 18
genone
4-13 vs 1win Apr 21
12-16 vs KOLESIE Mar 30
13-7 vs MINLATE Mar 22
13-1 vs Leo Mar 20
10-13 vs MOUZ NXT Mar 8