Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
lavked
✗
vs
sparta
65%
35%
Series win probability
LAVK
2–1
48%
SPAR
2–0
25%
LAVK
2–0
18%
SPAR
2–1
9%
Actual result
Inferno
16–12
SPAR
Nuke
13–8
LAVK
Mirage
16–13
SPAR
Model Insights
lavked has a moderate edge at 65%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.04), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#104 vs #76), a strong nuke (84% win probability). sparta's best shot is mirage where they hold a 73% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2
29%
Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 3
29%
Mirage · Nuke · Overpass
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
SPAR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Sniper Score
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Mirage
lavked
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs None
Apr 15
10-13
vs None
Apr 14
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-8
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs None
Mar 6
7-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
13-11
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 5
Dust2
LAVK
13
–
10
SPAR
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Sniper Score
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
lavked
7-13
vs None
Apr 21
13-10
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
19-15
vs ASTRAL
Apr 10
7-13
vs None
Apr 2
12-16
vs None
Apr 1
sparta
13-3
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
13-9
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
17-19
vs None
Apr 2
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs None
Mar 10
Nuke
LAVK
13
–
6
SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
lavked
13-8
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-10
vs None
Apr 21
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-2
vs Bebop
Apr 16
13-7
vs None
Apr 15
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs None
Mar 6
11-13
vs None
Mar 3
13-7
vs younglings
Mar 3
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
SPAR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Sniper Score
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Mirage
lavked
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs None
Apr 15
10-13
vs None
Apr 14
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-8
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs None
Mar 6
7-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
13-11
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 5
Nuke
LAVK
13
–
6
SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
lavked
13-8
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-10
vs None
Apr 21
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-2
vs Bebop
Apr 16
13-7
vs None
Apr 15
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs None
Mar 6
11-13
vs None
Mar 3
13-7
vs younglings
Mar 3
Ancient
LAVK
13
–
5
SPAR
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Ancient
lavked
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
19-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
13-3
vs megoshort
Apr 9
13-16
vs ESC
Apr 2
13-5
vs None
Apr 2
sparta
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs None
Mar 10
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
SPAR
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Sniper Score
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Mirage
lavked
13-11
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-5
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-10
vs Bebop
Apr 16
16-14
vs None
Apr 15
10-13
vs None
Apr 14
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-8
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs None
Mar 6
7-13
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
13-11
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 5
Nuke
LAVK
13
–
6
SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 4%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
lavked
13-8
vs OLDBOYS PL
Apr 23
13-10
vs None
Apr 21
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
13-2
vs Bebop
Apr 16
13-7
vs None
Apr 15
sparta
7-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
6-13
vs None
Mar 6
11-13
vs None
Mar 3
13-7
vs younglings
Mar 3
Overpass
LAVK
8
–
13
SPAR
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Rating Spread
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Overpass
lavked
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
sparta
13-1
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
11-13
vs None
Apr 2
13-6
vs None
Mar 25
9-13
vs None
Mar 5
13-9
vs None
Feb 27
Recent Results
last 11 matches
lavked
sparta
W
2-0
vs OLDBOYS PL
NukeMirage
Apr 23
48d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeAnubisDust2
Apr 21
50d ago
L
1-2
vs Oxuji
MirageAncientNuke
Apr 18
53d ago
W
2-0
vs Bebop
NukeMirage
Apr 16
55d ago
W
2-0
vs None
NukeMirage
Apr 15
56d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AnubisMirage
Apr 14
57d ago
L
0-2
vs None
NukeAnubis
Apr 14
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Bebop
MirageNuke
Apr 12
59d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2MirageAncient
Apr 12
59d ago
W
2-0
vs ASTRAL
Dust2Mirage
Apr 10
61d ago
W
2-0
vs Hashiras
OverpassNuke
Apr 9
62d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
AncientDust2Overpass
Apr 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
InfernoDust2
Apr 2
69d ago
L
0-2
vs None
OverpassDust2
Apr 2
69d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
AncientDust2
Apr 2
69d ago
L
1-2
vs None
OverpassMirageNuke
Mar 25
77d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AncientDust2
Mar 10
92d ago
L
1-2
vs 5Actors
MirageNukeAncient
Mar 10
92d ago
W
2-1
vs None
InfernoMirageDust2
Mar 6
96d ago
W
2-1
vs vp.prodigy
MirageAncientDust2
Mar 6
96d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Nuke
Mar 6
96d ago
L
1-2
vs vp.prodigy
MirageAncientDust2
Mar 5
97d ago
Player Matchups
lavked
Ratings
sparta
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 83.8KAST 73%
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 75%
SO
sol
AWPADR 70.9KAST 73%
FO
Forester
EntryADR 75.6KAST 73%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
RiflerADR 79.6KAST 69%
LA
Lack1
RiflerADR 77.1KAST 70%
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 67.6KAST 74%
EL
El1an
AWPADR 68.2KAST 71%
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Inferno
LAVK
4
–
13
SPAR
6%
94%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
CT 4v5
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Inferno
lavked
no data
sparta
13-3
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
9-13
vs None
Mar 6
16-13
vs None
Feb 26
16-14
vs omega
Feb 19
8-13
vs ex-zero tenacity
Feb 17
Ancient
LAVK
13
–
5
SPAR
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Ancient
lavked
6-13
vs Oxuji
Apr 18
19-16
vs Rune Eaters
Apr 12
13-3
vs megoshort
Apr 9
13-16
vs ESC
Apr 2
13-5
vs None
Apr 2
sparta
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
2-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Apr 2
6-13
vs None
Mar 10
5-13
vs 5Actors
Mar 10
13-9
vs vp.prodigy
Mar 6
Overpass
LAVK
8
–
13
SPAR
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
Rating Spread
LAVK
SPAR
Schedule Strength
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Overpass
lavked
13-9
vs Hashiras
Apr 9
13-16
vs G2 Ares
Apr 2
3-13
vs QUAZAR
Mar 30
9-13
vs Atreides
Mar 23
sparta
13-1
vs DONSTU
Apr 23
11-13
vs None
Apr 2
13-6
vs None
Mar 25
9-13
vs None
Mar 5
13-9
vs None
Feb 27
Anubis
LAVK
9
–
13
SPAR
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LAVK
SPAR
After First Kill
LAVK
SPAR
Map Player Rating
LAVK
SPAR
After First Death
LAVK
SPAR
Ranking
LAVK
SPAR
Recent on Anubis
lavked
10-13
vs None
Apr 21
7-13
vs None
Apr 14
4-13
vs None
Apr 14
sparta
8-13
vs None
Feb 18
13-10
vs TNT
Feb 14
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
8 matches