Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
phantom
vs
hashiras
✓
46%
54%
Series win probability
HASH
2–1
40%
PHAN
2–0
32%
HASH
2–0
15%
PHAN
2–1
14%
Actual result
Dust2
16–12
PHAN
Ancient
13–11
HASH
Nuke
13–10
HASH
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — hashiras is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#144 vs #100), a strong ancient (74% win probability). phantom's best shot is overpass where they hold a 74% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Nuke · Overpass · Ancient
Scenario 2
42%
Nuke · Overpass · Dust2
Scenario 3
11%
Nuke · Overpass · Anubis
Nuke
PHAN
11
–
13
HASH
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
T Side
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Nuke
phantom
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
7-13
vs Lavked
Apr 15
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
4-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 13
hashiras
16-14
vs None
Apr 12
13-11
vs None
Apr 10
8-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-9
vs None
Apr 4
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
Overpass
PHAN
13
–
8
HASH
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Opening Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Overpass
phantom
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-10
vs None
Feb 23
11-13
vs None
Feb 23
13-8
vs None
Feb 22
13-7
vs None
Feb 21
hashiras
13-6
vs None
Apr 11
9-13
vs None
Apr 9
4-13
vs None
Mar 28
3-13
vs None
Mar 23
13-4
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 22
Ancient
PHAN
8
–
13
HASH
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Ancient
phantom
6-13
vs Atreides
Apr 23
14-16
vs None
Apr 18
16-13
vs None
Apr 1
5-13
vs None
Apr 1
13-8
vs maquinas
Mar 31
hashiras
12-16
vs None
Apr 12
13-6
vs None
Apr 11
8-13
vs None
Mar 28
11-13
vs Persona Grata
Mar 27
1-13
vs None
Mar 25
Nuke
PHAN
11
–
13
HASH
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
T Side
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Nuke
phantom
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
7-13
vs Lavked
Apr 15
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
4-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 13
hashiras
16-14
vs None
Apr 12
13-11
vs None
Apr 10
8-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-9
vs None
Apr 4
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
Overpass
PHAN
13
–
8
HASH
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Opening Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Overpass
phantom
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-10
vs None
Feb 23
11-13
vs None
Feb 23
13-8
vs None
Feb 22
13-7
vs None
Feb 21
hashiras
13-6
vs None
Apr 11
9-13
vs None
Apr 9
4-13
vs None
Mar 28
3-13
vs None
Mar 23
13-4
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 22
Dust2
PHAN
13
–
6
HASH
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 5%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Dust2
phantom
13-8
vs Atreides
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 18
7-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
6-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-5
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 13
hashiras
13-4
vs None
Apr 22
18-22
vs None
Apr 10
11-13
vs None
Apr 4
13-9
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 31
11-13
vs None
Mar 24
Nuke
PHAN
11
–
13
HASH
43%
57%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
T Side
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Nuke
phantom
6-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
7-13
vs Lavked
Apr 15
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
4-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-8
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 13
hashiras
16-14
vs None
Apr 12
13-11
vs None
Apr 10
8-13
vs None
Apr 9
13-9
vs None
Apr 4
13-11
vs None
Mar 28
Overpass
PHAN
13
–
8
HASH
74%
26%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Opening Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Overpass
phantom
9-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-10
vs None
Feb 23
11-13
vs None
Feb 23
13-8
vs None
Feb 22
13-7
vs None
Feb 21
hashiras
13-6
vs None
Apr 11
9-13
vs None
Apr 9
4-13
vs None
Mar 28
3-13
vs None
Mar 23
13-4
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 22
Anubis
PHAN
13
–
5
HASH
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Opening Kills
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Anubis
phantom
13-8
vs ASTRAL
Mar 24
13-5
vs ASTRAL
Mar 5
9-13
vs Lazer Cats
Feb 26
10-13
vs None
Feb 17
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
Feb 8
hashiras
6-13
vs None
Mar 9
Recent Results
last 11 matches
phantom
hashiras
W
2-1
vs Atreides
MirageAncientDust2
Apr 23
48d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AncientDust2
Apr 18
53d ago
L
0-2
vs GenOne
Dust2Nuke
Apr 16
55d ago
L
0-2
vs Lavked
NukeMirage
Apr 15
56d ago
L
0-2
vs None
NukeOverpass
Apr 14
57d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeMirageDust2
Apr 14
57d ago
W
2-0
vs HEROIC Academy
NukeDust2
Apr 13
58d ago
W
2-1
vs None
Dust2NukeMirage
Apr 10
61d ago
L
0-2
vs None
NukeMirage
Apr 1
70d ago
W
2-1
vs None
NukeDust2Ancient
Apr 1
70d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeMirageAncient
Apr 1
70d ago
W
2-0
vs None
Dust2Inferno
Apr 22
49d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AncientNukeInferno
Apr 12
59d ago
W
2-0
vs None
OverpassAncient
Apr 11
60d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeDust2Inferno
Apr 10
61d ago
L
0-2
vs None
OverpassNuke
Apr 9
62d ago
W
2-1
vs None
Dust2NukeInferno
Apr 4
67d ago
W
2-0
vs Imperial Academy
Dust2Inferno
Mar 31
71d ago
L
1-2
vs None
NukeOverpassAncient
Mar 28
74d ago
L
0-2
vs Persona Grata
NukeAncient
Mar 27
75d ago
L
0-2
vs None
NukeAncient
Mar 25
77d ago
L
1-2
vs None
AncientDust2Nuke
Mar 24
78d ago
Player Matchups
phantom
Ratings
hashiras
KY
Kylar
EntryADR 72.4KAST 72%
BU
Burmylov
EntryADR 79.4KAST 72%
KE
KEi
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 72%
QU
Queenix
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 75%
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 68.2KAST 70%
JA
JACKZ
AWPADR 72.3KAST 72%
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 69%
BI
birdfromsky
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Mirage
PHAN
13
–
4
HASH
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Opening Kills
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Mirage
phantom
13-8
vs Atreides
Apr 23
14-16
vs Lavked
Apr 15
16-14
vs None
Apr 14
16-14
vs None
Apr 10
14-16
vs None
Apr 1
hashiras
no data
Anubis
PHAN
13
–
5
HASH
88%
12%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Opening Kills
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Anubis
phantom
13-8
vs ASTRAL
Mar 24
13-5
vs ASTRAL
Mar 5
9-13
vs Lazer Cats
Feb 26
10-13
vs None
Feb 17
13-10
vs Lazer Cats
Feb 8
hashiras
6-13
vs None
Mar 9
Dust2
PHAN
13
–
6
HASH
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Sniper Score
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Dust2
phantom
13-8
vs Atreides
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 18
7-13
vs GenOne
Apr 16
6-13
vs None
Apr 14
13-5
vs HEROIC Academy
Apr 13
hashiras
13-4
vs None
Apr 22
18-22
vs None
Apr 10
11-13
vs None
Apr 4
13-9
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 31
11-13
vs None
Mar 24
Inferno
PHAN
7
–
13
HASH
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
PHAN
HASH
Ranking
PHAN
HASH
After First Death
PHAN
HASH
Opening Kills
PHAN
HASH
After First Kill
PHAN
HASH
Recent on Inferno
phantom
no data
hashiras
13-10
vs None
Apr 22
14-16
vs None
Apr 12
7-13
vs None
Apr 10
13-10
vs None
Apr 4
13-8
vs Imperial Academy
Mar 31
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
8 matches