Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · 2026-04-25
hashiras
vs
phantom
39%
61%
Series win probability
PHAN 2–0 38%
HASH 2–1 27%
PHAN 2–1 23%
HASH 2–0 12%
Actual result
Nuke 13–10
Ancient 13–11
Model Insights
phantom has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#98 vs #154), a strong overpass (78% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 52% Overpass · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 35% Overpass · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3 13% Overpass · Nuke · Anubis
Overpass
HASH 8 13 PHAN
23%
77%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Schedule Strength
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
phantom
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
11-13 vs Sashi Feb 23
13-10 vs illwill Feb 23
13-8 vs SINNERS Feb 22
12-16 vs Young Ninjas Feb 21
Nuke
HASH 11 13 PHAN
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
T Side
HASH
PHAN
Sniper Score
HASH
PHAN
Experience
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
hashiras
16-14 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-11 vs MANA Apr 10
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-11 vs TNC Mar 28
phantom
6-13 vs GenOne Apr 16
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 15
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 13
Ancient
HASH 11 13 PHAN
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
CT Side
HASH
PHAN
T Side
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Ancient
hashiras
12-16 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
8-13 vs TNC Mar 28
11-13 vs MINLATE Mar 27
1-13 vs Lavked Mar 25
phantom
6-13 vs Atreides Apr 23
14-16 vs FAVBET Apr 18
5-13 vs B8 Apr 1
16-13 vs AM Apr 1
13-6 vs Z7 Mar 31
Overpass
HASH 8 13 PHAN
23%
77%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Schedule Strength
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
phantom
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
11-13 vs Sashi Feb 23
13-10 vs illwill Feb 23
13-8 vs SINNERS Feb 22
12-16 vs Young Ninjas Feb 21
Nuke
HASH 11 13 PHAN
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
T Side
HASH
PHAN
Sniper Score
HASH
PHAN
Experience
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
hashiras
16-14 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-11 vs MANA Apr 10
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-11 vs TNC Mar 28
phantom
6-13 vs GenOne Apr 16
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 15
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 13
Dust2
HASH 9 13 PHAN
22%
78%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
hashiras
13-4 vs RUSTEC Apr 22
18-22 vs MANA Apr 10
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-9 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
11-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
phantom
13-8 vs Atreides Apr 23
10-13 vs FAVBET Apr 18
7-13 vs GenOne Apr 16
6-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 13
Overpass
HASH 8 13 PHAN
23%
77%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Schedule Strength
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Overpass
hashiras
13-6 vs UNiTY Apr 11
9-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
4-13 vs TNC Mar 28
3-13 vs RUSTEC Mar 23
13-4 vs Rune Eaters Mar 22
phantom
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
11-13 vs Sashi Feb 23
13-10 vs illwill Feb 23
13-8 vs SINNERS Feb 22
12-16 vs Young Ninjas Feb 21
Nuke
HASH 11 13 PHAN
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
T Side
HASH
PHAN
Sniper Score
HASH
PHAN
Experience
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Nuke
hashiras
16-14 vs Bebop Apr 12
13-11 vs MANA Apr 10
8-13 vs Lavked Apr 9
13-9 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-11 vs TNC Mar 28
phantom
6-13 vs GenOne Apr 16
7-13 vs Lavked Apr 15
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
9-13 vs Metizport Apr 14
13-8 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 13
Anubis
HASH 7 13 PHAN
15%
85%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
CT 4v5
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
hashiras
6-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 9
phantom
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17
13-10 vs Lazer Cats Feb 8
Recent Results last 11 matches
hashiras
phantom
W 2-0 vs RUSTEC Dust2Inferno Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs Bebop AncientNukeInferno Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs UNiTY OverpassAncient Apr 11 15d ago
L 1-2 vs MANA NukeDust2Inferno Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked OverpassNuke Apr 9 17d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy Dust2NukeInferno Apr 4 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Imperial Academy Dust2Inferno Mar 31 26d ago
L 1-2 vs TNC NukeOverpassAncient Mar 28 29d ago
L 0-2 vs MINLATE NukeAncient Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeAncient Mar 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs QWENTRY AncientDust2Nuke Mar 24 33d ago
W 2-1 vs Atreides MirageAncientDust2 Apr 23 3d ago
L 0-2 vs FAVBET AncientDust2 Apr 18 8d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne Dust2Nuke Apr 16 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Lavked NukeMirage Apr 15 11d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeMirageDust2 Apr 14 12d ago
L 0-2 vs Metizport NukeOverpass Apr 14 12d ago
W 2-0 vs HEROIC Academy NukeDust2 Apr 13 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Ursa Dust2NukeMirage Apr 10 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BESTIA NukeMirage Apr 1 25d ago
L 1-2 vs B8 NukeMirageAncient Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-1 vs AM NukeDust2Ancient Apr 1 25d ago
Player Matchups
hashiras
Rating 3.0
phantom
BU
Burmylov
AWPADR 79.4KAST 72%
1.11 vs 1.10
KY
Kylar
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 72%
QU
Queenix
AWPADR 71.8KAST 75%
1.07 vs 1.06
KE
KEi
AWPADR 77.8KAST 72%
JA
JACKZ
AWPADR 72.3KAST 72%
1.04 vs 1.02
MW
mwlky
AWPADR 68.2KAST 70%
BI
birdfromsky
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 70%
0.86 vs 1.00
KU
Kunai
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
HASH 6 13 PHAN
8%
92%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Star Player
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Mirage
hashiras
no data
phantom
13-8 vs Atreides Apr 23
14-16 vs Lavked Apr 15
16-14 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
16-14 vs Ursa Apr 10
14-16 vs BESTIA Apr 1
Anubis
HASH 7 13 PHAN
15%
85%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
CT 4v5
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Anubis
hashiras
6-13 vs HYPERSPIRIT Mar 9
phantom
13-8 vs ASTRAL Mar 24
13-5 vs ASTRAL Mar 5
9-13 vs Lazer Cats Feb 26
10-13 vs Alliance Feb 17
13-10 vs Lazer Cats Feb 8
Inferno
HASH 13 8 PHAN
80%
20%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Star Player
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Inferno
hashiras
13-10 vs RUSTEC Apr 22
14-16 vs Bebop Apr 12
7-13 vs MANA Apr 10
13-10 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-8 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
phantom
no data
Dust2
HASH 9 13 PHAN
22%
78%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
HASH
PHAN
Ranking
HASH
PHAN
Map Player Rating
HASH
PHAN
After First Death
HASH
PHAN
Opening Score
HASH
PHAN
Recent on Dust2
hashiras
13-4 vs RUSTEC Apr 22
18-22 vs MANA Apr 10
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 4
13-9 vs Imperial Academy Mar 31
11-13 vs QWENTRY Mar 24
phantom
13-8 vs Atreides Apr 23
10-13 vs FAVBET Apr 18
7-13 vs GenOne Apr 16
6-13 vs ex-RUBY Apr 14
13-5 vs HEROIC Academy Apr 13