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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · 2026-04-25
leo ✓
vs
big academy
68%
32%
Series win probability
LEO 2–0 37%
LEO 2–1 32%
BA 2–1 20%
BA 2–0 11%
Actual result
Ancient 13–7
Anubis 16–12
Model Insights
leo has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#117 vs #159), a strong ancient (73% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 58% Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 2 24% Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3 18% Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Dust2
LEO 11 – 13 BA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Opening Score
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Recent on Dust2
leo
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
5-13 vs Ursa Mar 25
9-13 vs MANA Mar 25
big academy
13-11 vs Eternal Fire Apr 23
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
Ancient
LEO 13 – 9 BA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
T Side
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Recent on Ancient
leo
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs ASTRAL Mar 23
1-13 vs GenOne Mar 20
big academy
11-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-9 vs HAVENs Apr 3
7-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
13-5 vs STATE Mar 26
13-10 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Anubis
LEO 13 – 11 BA
61%
39%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Map Win Rate
LEO
BA
Recent on Anubis
leo
13-8 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Ursa Mar 25
13-5 vs MANA Mar 25
5-13 vs ASTRAL Mar 23
3-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
big academy
8-13 vs Eternal Fire Apr 23
16-14 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-7 vs STATE Mar 26
Dust2
LEO 11 – 13 BA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Opening Score
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Recent on Dust2
leo
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
5-13 vs Ursa Mar 25
9-13 vs MANA Mar 25
big academy
13-11 vs Eternal Fire Apr 23
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
Ancient
LEO 13 – 9 BA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
T Side
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Recent on Ancient
leo
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs ASTRAL Mar 23
1-13 vs GenOne Mar 20
big academy
11-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-9 vs HAVENs Apr 3
7-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
13-5 vs STATE Mar 26
13-10 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Overpass
LEO 13 – 6 BA
89%
11%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
After First Kill
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Recent on Overpass
leo
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 17
13-6 vs QWENTRY Mar 12
8-13 vs kONO Feb 14
4-13 vs WHITEBIRD Feb 12
13-6 vs ALGO Feb 10
big academy
3-13 vs Lilmix Mar 20
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 18
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 16
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 7
Dust2
LEO 11 – 13 BA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Opening Score
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Recent on Dust2
leo
11-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-3 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-8 vs megoshort Mar 30
5-13 vs Ursa Mar 25
9-13 vs MANA Mar 25
big academy
13-11 vs Eternal Fire Apr 23
13-8 vs Julie&Cie Apr 22
13-10 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-7 vs HAVENs Apr 3
6-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
Ancient
LEO 13 – 9 BA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
T Side
LEO
BA
Opening Duels
LEO
BA
Recent on Ancient
leo
7-13 vs ESC Apr 1
10-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
13-9 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
13-9 vs ASTRAL Mar 23
1-13 vs GenOne Mar 20
big academy
11-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
13-9 vs HAVENs Apr 3
7-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
13-5 vs STATE Mar 26
13-10 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Nuke
LEO 13 – 4 BA
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Kill
LEO
BA
Schedule Strength
LEO
BA
Recent on Nuke
leo
5-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-7 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-10 vs ALGO Mar 23
8-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
13-7 vs SINQU Mar 16
big academy
7-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Recent Results last 11 matches
leo
big academy
L 0-2 vs Ursa Dust2Nuke Apr 12 14d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE NukeDust2 Apr 7 19d ago
L 1-2 vs ESC AncientAnubisMirage Apr 1 25d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort Dust2Inferno Mar 30 27d ago
L 0-2 vs Rebels AncientInferno Mar 29 28d ago
W 2-0 vs CSDIILIT MirageAncient Mar 26 31d ago
L 0-2 vs Ursa Dust2Anubis Mar 25 32d ago
L 1-2 vs MANA InfernoAnubisDust2 Mar 25 32d ago
W 2-0 vs ALGO Dust2Nuke Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-1 vs ASTRAL Dust2AnubisAncient Mar 23 34d ago
W 2-0 vs BIG EQUIPA InfernoDust2 Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-1 vs Eternal Fire AnubisMirageDust2 Apr 23 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Julie&Cie Dust2Anubis Apr 22 4d ago
L 1-2 vs BESTIA Dust2AncientMirage Apr 3 23d ago
W 2-0 vs HAVENs AncientDust2 Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs BESTIA Dust2Mirage Apr 3 23d ago
L 0-2 vs japczany Dust2Mirage Mar 27 30d ago
L 0-2 vs INFINITE AncientInferno Mar 27 30d ago
W 2-1 vs STATE AncientInfernoAnubis Mar 26 31d ago
W 2-1 vs INFURITY InfernoDust2Ancient Mar 25 32d ago
L 0-2 vs Bebop Dust2Mirage Mar 21 36d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix OverpassDust2Ancient Mar 20 37d ago
Player Matchups
leo
Rating 3.0
big academy
ON
OneUn1que
RiflerADR 82.6KAST 74%
1.14 vs 1.15
JB
JBOEN
AWPADR 76.3KAST 72%
MA
marat2k
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 75%
1.07 vs 1.04
DO
doni
AWPADR 72.1KAST 73%
AM
amster
AWPADR 75.7KAST 74%
1.06 vs 1.03
PR
prosus
AWPADR 75.8KAST 72%
KL
kL1o
AWPADR 70.8KAST 75%
1.01 vs 0.99
W1
w1dow
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 71%
MA
Malkiss
AWPADR 68.7KAST 74%
1.01 vs 0.96
TR
tripex17
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
LEO 13 – 4 BA
96%
4%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
After First Kill
LEO
BA
Schedule Strength
LEO
BA
Recent on Nuke
leo
5-13 vs Ursa Apr 12
13-7 vs BRUTE Apr 7
13-10 vs ALGO Mar 23
8-13 vs The Last Resort Mar 19
13-7 vs SINQU Mar 16
big academy
7-13 vs ENCE Academy Mar 19
Inferno
LEO 13 – 6 BA
89%
11%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Ban Rate
LEO
BA
Recent on Inferno
leo
13-3 vs megoshort Mar 30
9-13 vs Rebels Mar 29
11-13 vs MANA Mar 25
13-4 vs BIG EQUIPA Mar 21
7-13 vs wave Mar 8
big academy
2-13 vs INFINITE Mar 27
8-13 vs STATE Mar 26
13-11 vs INFURITY Mar 25
Overpass
LEO 13 – 6 BA
89%
11%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
LEO
BA
After First Kill
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Recent on Overpass
leo
13-5 vs Rune Eaters Mar 17
13-6 vs QWENTRY Mar 12
8-13 vs kONO Feb 14
4-13 vs WHITEBIRD Feb 12
13-6 vs ALGO Feb 10
big academy
3-13 vs Lilmix Mar 20
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 18
7-13 vs Ursa Mar 16
14-16 vs Lilmix Mar 7
Mirage
LEO 13 – 9 BA
79%
21%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
LEO
BA
Round Win Rate
LEO
BA
Ranking
LEO
BA
Schedule Strength
LEO
BA
After First Death
LEO
BA
Recent on Mirage
leo
5-13 vs ESC Apr 1
13-11 vs CSDIILIT Mar 26
6-13 vs wave Mar 8
3-13 vs big academy Mar 7
big academy
16-14 vs Eternal Fire Apr 23
7-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
10-13 vs BESTIA Apr 3
7-13 vs japczany Mar 27
8-13 vs Bebop Mar 21