Bo3 · ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
big academy
vs
leo
✓
40%
60%
Series win probability
LEO
2–0
35%
BA
2–1
30%
LEO
2–1
26%
BA
2–0
9%
Actual result
Ancient
13–7
BA
Nuke
13–10
LEO
Anubis
16–12
LEO
Model Insights
leo has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.07 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#119 vs #155), a strong anubis (84% win probability). big academy's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
58%
Dust2 · Anubis · Ancient
Scenario 2
25%
Dust2 · Ancient · Overpass
Scenario 3
17%
Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Dust2
BA
13
–
10
LEO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Opening Score
BA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
big academy
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
6-13
vs None
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
13-10
vs None
Apr 3
leo
11-13
vs None
Apr 12
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 7
13-8
vs megoshort
Mar 30
9-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs None
Mar 25
Anubis
BA
7
–
13
LEO
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 5%
✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Map Win Rate
BA
LEO
Recent on Anubis
big academy
8-13
vs None
Apr 23
16-14
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
13-7
vs None
Mar 26
leo
13-8
vs ESC
Apr 1
13-5
vs None
Mar 25
10-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs None
Mar 23
3-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 19
Ancient
BA
13
–
10
LEO
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Ancient
big academy
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
11-13
vs None
Apr 3
7-13
vs None
Mar 27
13-5
vs None
Mar 26
13-10
vs INFURITY
Mar 25
leo
7-13
vs ESC
Apr 1
10-13
vs None
Mar 29
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
13-9
vs None
Mar 23
1-13
vs GenOne
Mar 20
Dust2
BA
13
–
10
LEO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Opening Score
BA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
big academy
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
6-13
vs None
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
13-10
vs None
Apr 3
leo
11-13
vs None
Apr 12
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 7
13-8
vs megoshort
Mar 30
9-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs None
Mar 25
Ancient
BA
13
–
10
LEO
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Ancient
big academy
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
11-13
vs None
Apr 3
7-13
vs None
Mar 27
13-5
vs None
Mar 26
13-10
vs INFURITY
Mar 25
leo
7-13
vs ESC
Apr 1
10-13
vs None
Mar 29
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
13-9
vs None
Mar 23
1-13
vs GenOne
Mar 20
Overpass
BA
6
–
13
LEO
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Map Win Rate
BA
LEO
Recent on Overpass
big academy
3-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 20
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 18
7-13
vs None
Mar 16
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 7
leo
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 17
13-6
vs None
Mar 12
8-13
vs kONO
Feb 14
4-13
vs None
Feb 12
13-6
vs ALGO
Feb 10
Dust2
BA
13
–
10
LEO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Opening Score
BA
LEO
Recent on Dust2
big academy
13-11
vs None
Apr 23
13-8
vs Julie&Cie
Apr 22
6-13
vs None
Apr 3
13-7
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
13-10
vs None
Apr 3
leo
11-13
vs None
Apr 12
13-3
vs BRUTE
Apr 7
13-8
vs megoshort
Mar 30
9-13
vs None
Mar 25
5-13
vs None
Mar 25
Ancient
BA
13
–
10
LEO
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Ancient
big academy
13-9
vs HAVENs
Apr 3
11-13
vs None
Apr 3
7-13
vs None
Mar 27
13-5
vs None
Mar 26
13-10
vs INFURITY
Mar 25
leo
7-13
vs ESC
Apr 1
10-13
vs None
Mar 29
13-9
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
13-9
vs None
Mar 23
1-13
vs GenOne
Mar 20
Nuke
BA
4
–
13
LEO
5%
95%
Win prob
OT 1%
✗
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Schedule Strength
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Nuke
big academy
7-13
vs None
Mar 19
leo
5-13
vs None
Apr 12
13-7
vs BRUTE
Apr 7
13-10
vs ALGO
Mar 23
8-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 19
13-7
vs SINQU
Mar 16
Recent Results
last 11 matches
big academy
leo
W
2-1
vs None
AnubisMirageDust2
Apr 23
48d ago
W
2-0
vs Julie&Cie
Dust2Anubis
Apr 22
49d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Mirage
Apr 3
68d ago
W
2-0
vs HAVENs
AncientDust2
Apr 3
68d ago
L
1-2
vs None
Dust2AncientMirage
Apr 3
68d ago
L
0-2
vs japczany
Dust2Mirage
Mar 27
75d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AncientInferno
Mar 27
75d ago
W
2-1
vs None
AncientInfernoAnubis
Mar 26
76d ago
W
2-1
vs INFURITY
InfernoDust2Ancient
Mar 25
77d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Mirage
Mar 21
81d ago
W
2-1
vs Lilmix
OverpassDust2Ancient
Mar 20
82d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Nuke
Apr 12
59d ago
W
2-0
vs BRUTE
NukeDust2
Apr 7
64d ago
L
1-2
vs ESC
AncientAnubisMirage
Apr 1
70d ago
W
2-0
vs megoshort
Dust2Inferno
Mar 30
72d ago
L
0-2
vs None
AncientInferno
Mar 29
73d ago
W
2-0
vs CSDIILIT
MirageAncient
Mar 26
76d ago
L
1-2
vs None
InfernoAnubisDust2
Mar 25
77d ago
L
0-2
vs None
Dust2Anubis
Mar 25
77d ago
W
2-1
vs None
Dust2AnubisAncient
Mar 23
79d ago
W
2-0
vs ALGO
Dust2Nuke
Mar 23
79d ago
W
2-0
vs BIG EQUIPA
InfernoDust2
Mar 21
81d ago
Player Matchups
big academy
Ratings
leo
JB
JBOEN
EntryADR 76.3KAST 72%
ON
OneUn1que
RiflerADR 82.6KAST 74%
DO
doni
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 73%
MA
marat2k
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 75%
PR
prosus
AWPADR 75.8KAST 72%
AM
amster
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 74%
W1
w1dow
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 71%
MA
Malkiss
EntryADR 68.7KAST 74%
TR
tripex17
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 67%
KL
kL1o
AWPADR 70.8KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
BA
4
–
13
LEO
5%
95%
Win prob
OT 1%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
Schedule Strength
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Nuke
big academy
7-13
vs None
Mar 19
leo
5-13
vs None
Apr 12
13-7
vs BRUTE
Apr 7
13-10
vs ALGO
Mar 23
8-13
vs The Last Resort
Mar 19
13-7
vs SINQU
Mar 16
Overpass
BA
6
–
13
LEO
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Map Win Rate
BA
LEO
Recent on Overpass
big academy
3-13
vs Lilmix
Mar 20
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 18
7-13
vs None
Mar 16
14-16
vs Lilmix
Mar 7
leo
13-5
vs Rune Eaters
Mar 17
13-6
vs None
Mar 12
8-13
vs kONO
Feb 14
4-13
vs None
Feb 12
13-6
vs ALGO
Feb 10
Inferno
BA
6
–
13
LEO
17%
83%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Map Player Rating
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Opening Kills
BA
LEO
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Recent on Inferno
big academy
2-13
vs None
Mar 27
8-13
vs None
Mar 26
13-11
vs INFURITY
Mar 25
leo
13-3
vs megoshort
Mar 30
9-13
vs None
Mar 29
11-13
vs None
Mar 25
13-4
vs BIG EQUIPA
Mar 21
7-13
vs wave
Mar 8
Mirage
BA
10
–
13
LEO
29%
71%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BA
LEO
Round Win Rate
BA
LEO
Ranking
BA
LEO
After First Death
BA
LEO
Map Win Rate
BA
LEO
Recent on Mirage
big academy
16-14
vs None
Apr 23
10-13
vs None
Apr 3
7-13
vs None
Apr 3
7-13
vs japczany
Mar 27
8-13
vs None
Mar 21
leo
5-13
vs ESC
Apr 1
13-11
vs CSDIILIT
Mar 26
6-13
vs wave
Mar 8
3-13
vs big academy
Mar 7
More from ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4
8 matches